Mountainous-Assist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.63K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

34.7%

Resolved

1,513

Trades

5,817

lifetime

Volume

$47.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$776

30 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-10 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

48% 42% -$918

Crypto

36% 67% -$291

Sports

10% 5% -$269

Tech

3% 4% -$112

Politics

2% 12% -$39

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+100	$56	96¢	$96	+$40	06-08 01:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+101	$79	94¢	$96	+$17	06-15 18:05
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	+77	$42	100¢	$76	+$34	06-15 20:53
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	+80	$59	92¢	$74	+$15	06-07 06:10
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	+75	$36	88¢	$67	+$31	06-10 20:39
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	No	+78	$46	78¢	$62	+$15	06-12 03:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+50	$37	94¢	$47	+$10	06-19 17:18
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+45	$20	89¢	$40	+$20	06-16 07:05
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$23	89¢	$35	+$12	06-18 07:16
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+20	$12	93¢	$19	+$7	06-17 11:32
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+20	$11	92¢	$18	+$8	06-17 04:59
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+20	$15	92¢	$18	+$4	06-16 05:38
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+25	$13	73¢	$18	+$5	06-16 06:19
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	+78	$39	22¢	$17	-$22	06-12 03:30
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	+20	$5	81¢	$16	+$11	06-04 01:54
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+16	$12	93¢	$15	+$2	06-16 06:11
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	+75	$40	12¢	$9	-$31	06-10 20:36
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	+10	$4	80¢	$8	+$4	06-16 07:28
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	+80	$34	8¢	$7	-$27	06-07 06:10
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+25	$11	27¢	$7	-$4	06-16 06:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+101	$22	6¢	$6	-$17	06-15 15:52
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+45	$25	11¢	$5	-$20	06-16 06:50
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$17	11¢	$4	-$12	06-18 07:20
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+100	$49	4¢	$4	-$45	06-08 01:44
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	+20	$15	19¢	$4	-$11	06-04 01:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+50	$15	6¢	$3	-$12	06-19 17:35
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	+10	$6	20¢	$2	-$4	06-16 06:53
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$5	8¢	$2	-$4	06-16 06:20
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$9	8¢	$2	-$8	06-17 04:53
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$9	7¢	$1	-$7	06-17 17:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?	23	$299	341	269	+71	Yes	-$10	06-07 10:08
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	8	$295	449	221	+228	Yes	-$26	06-15 09:58
ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	18	$295	367	347	+20	open	—	06-15 17:27
will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	21	$263	444	66	+378	open	—	06-08 02:35
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	7	$259	270	250	+20	Yes	-$8	06-12 14:57
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	5	$259	200	200	+0	No	-$1	07-03 02:11
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	27	$255	231	231	+0	open	—	06-03 18:47
will oro launch a token by december 31 2027	10	$248	418	84	+335	open	—	06-11 14:39
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	8	$237	310	153	+157	open	—	06-12 03:40
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?	7	$219	241	241	+0	open	—	06-13 17:16
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	13	$211	252	168	+83	open	—	06-10 07:14
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	21	$208	221	214	+7	open	—	06-03 20:45
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	15	$199	313	152	+161	open	—	06-07 06:10
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	21	$199	105	165	-60	Yes	+$0	03-02 07:02
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	5	$186	287	109	+178	No	-$10	06-10 01:50
will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	2	$185	100	100	+0	No	-$1	06-13 16:52
will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	11	$184	208	208	+0	Yes	-$15	06-15 02:40
will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	8	$183	307	137	+170	open	—	06-12 03:37
will surf launch a token by december 31 2026	12	$171	256	143	+113	open	—	06-12 06:09
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$167	334	0	+333	No	$0	06-12 15:56
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	20	$167	280	111	+169	No	-$20	06-07 17:57
will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	9	$162	194	134	+60	open	—	06-19 19:31
will reppo launch a token by june 30 2027	7	$162	270	65	+205	No	-$29	06-10 22:40
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	2	$158	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-03 00:39
Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	14	$157	271	74	+197	Yes	-$2	06-12 12:45
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?	8	$155	217	117	+100	No	-$12	06-15 21:05
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	7	$152	256	22	+233	Yes	-$8	06-15 09:42
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	15	$149	197	78	+119	No	-$10	06-06 11:04
will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	7	$144	279	7	+272	open	—	06-15 18:05
tread fdv above 80m one day after launch	7	$144	191	66	+125	No	-$1	06-12 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 22:44:44	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xaaeb4d…
07-06 21:57:02	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0x1c4a6e…
07-06 21:56:17	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe92c23…
07-05 06:24:01	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	No	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x4dd722…
07-03 03:07:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xa6d348…
07-03 03:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x3dc075…
07-03 03:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 4?	No	SELL	28	46¢	$13	0x78e0be…
07-03 03:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	22	31¢	$7	0xadd548…
07-03 03:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x542f1f…
07-03 03:04:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xa93af4…
07-03 02:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x5f2f37…
07-03 02:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 4?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xf58c4d…
07-03 02:54:37	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	75¢	$29	0xc4344e…
07-03 02:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x2cdf28…
07-03 02:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 4?	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xf7ccfd…
07-03 02:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5031f2…
07-03 02:54:11	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	76¢	$29	0x5ac841…
07-03 02:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 4?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x6eb704…
07-03 02:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 4?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1ed4b7…
07-03 02:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	29	47¢	$14	0x92a25e…
07-03 02:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x934bd1…
07-03 02:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x5e1a3e…
07-03 02:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 4?	No	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xa29aa3…
07-03 02:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?	No	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0xfb6efd…
07-03 02:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xca5fdb…
07-03 02:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0xdfd69f…
07-03 02:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x185af9…
07-03 02:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 4?	No	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xe63066…
07-03 02:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xe05e76…
07-03 02:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	38	51¢	$19	0x09c8eb…
07-03 02:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 4?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xedf81b…
07-03 02:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	74	35¢	$26	0x008f60…
07-03 02:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x512f50…
07-03 02:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 4?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0xafec78…
07-03 02:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x0a8795…
07-03 02:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x81d5f0…
07-03 02:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 4?	No	BUY	28	48¢	$14	0xd9fc16…
07-03 02:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd9486c…
07-03 02:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x7059ca…
07-03 02:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x9444c3…
07-03 02:20:22	Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?	Yes	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x94d8a5…
07-03 02:20:16	Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x0f1cda…
07-03 02:19:41	Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x32cd52…
07-03 02:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xdb9f1f…
07-03 02:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xdb3a77…
07-03 02:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?	No	SELL	28	45¢	$13	0x290693…
07-03 02:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?	No	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x01e974…
07-03 02:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xba97a3…
07-03 02:11:34	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x60a26e…
07-03 02:08:04	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0x690850…
07-03 02:08:01	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	58	64¢	$37	0x443364…
07-03 02:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xb32270…
07-03 02:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x8cc7b8…
07-03 02:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x3c3baa…
07-03 02:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xff944d…
07-03 02:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xe635b6…
07-03 02:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0x1860b0…
07-03 02:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0xb269dd…
07-03 02:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 4?	No	SELL	23	64¢	$15	0xca934f…
07-03 02:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 4?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x81deb9…
07-03 02:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 4?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4290e6…
07-03 01:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?	No	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x1e4ddc…
07-03 01:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?	No	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0x23ca1f…
07-03 01:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xadcc6b…
07-03 01:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x9ac9d0…
07-03 01:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd0d0af…
07-03 01:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x910f0b…
07-03 01:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x13752b…
07-03 01:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?	Yes	SELL	27	54¢	$15	0xa04516…
07-03 01:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x358678…
07-03 01:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x6bf4fb…
07-03 01:32:41	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x0616ad…
07-03 01:30:35	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x0bc443…
07-03 01:19:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0xf2faea…
07-03 01:17:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xbc243c…
07-03 00:59:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x1cc362…
07-03 00:58:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x56c5fa…
07-03 00:47:08	Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?	No	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0x72afb4…
07-03 00:46:26	Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf6eeee…
07-03 00:43:11	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xd95dfc…
07-03 00:43:05	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0x561c61…
07-03 00:42:58	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x8c5228…
07-03 00:40:59	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x4341af…
07-03 00:40:22	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x248174…
07-03 00:39:43	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x9c7595…
07-03 00:38:08	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xb9c6f4…
07-03 00:22:05	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	43	28¢	$12	0xabe1a2…
07-03 00:18:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0xd2ce2a…
07-03 00:03:32	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x98739e…
07-03 00:02:02	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xed8446…
07-02 23:13:31	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0xcfc9f1…
07-02 23:12:02	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x37f982…
07-02 23:12:02	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x24af1a…
07-02 23:07:05	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x916c1e…
07-02 23:05:05	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x4aa437…
07-02 22:34:20	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	45	48¢	$22	0x8aaed5…
07-02 22:34:14	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x811360…
07-02 22:32:28	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x4ff0d0…
06-27 23:35:37	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	47	26¢	$12	0x860bc9…
06-21 02:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 22?	No	SELL	42	70¢	$29	0x587588…