Mushy-Inlaws — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

1,434

Trades

2,616

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 09-14 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 77% +$106

Other

19% 36% -$75

Pop-Culture

1% 50% +$7

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	6	$302	260	260	+0	Yes	+$103	05-12 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$190	150	150	+0	Yes	+$100	06-05 15:18
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$179	192	192	+0	No	-$71	05-12 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$147	76	76	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 17:15
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	5	$116	81	79	+2	Yes	+$21	04-21 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$113	59	59	+0	Up	+$5	05-04 17:20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$109	121	121	+0	No	+$21	06-02 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$94	103	0	+103	Down	-$9	05-24 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$93	96	9	+87	Up	-$3	05-22 16:13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	2	$80	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	3	$72	56	56	+0	Yes	+$39	05-01 16:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	4	$68	72	72	+0	Yes	+$5	09-08 00:45
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$67	101	0	+101	Yes	+$34	05-05 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$65	67	0	+67	Up	+$2	05-24 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$63	52	48	+3	Up	$0	04-29 18:59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$62	100	100	+0	No	+$2	06-11 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-15 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	11	$55	147	147	+0	No	-$18	05-26 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$51	98	0	+98	Yes	+$47	07-27 15:44
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	2	$50	45	45	+0	Yes	+$18	05-22 02:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	2	$50	89	0	+89	No	-$50	09-04 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$49	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$49	51	0	+51	Down	-$9	05-22 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$49	27	27	+0	Up	+$4	05-04 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$48	145	145	+0	No	-$22	06-04 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$48	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$47	24	24	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$46	42	42	+0	Down	-$1	05-20 20:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$46	83	83	+0	Yes	-$14	06-11 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$44	23	23	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 18:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 18:58:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x5559ee…
09-14 17:31:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	9¢	$4	0xf6cf46…
09-12 04:51:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0x5b4060…
09-12 04:51:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0xd7b670…
09-11 14:28:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	73¢	$11	0x970d1d…
09-10 16:32:33	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x400e2a…
09-09 07:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x531817…
09-09 07:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x95e0da…
09-09 06:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x845295…
09-09 06:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1d805d…
09-09 06:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x339eac…
09-09 06:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x165bd1…
09-09 06:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x6e2fef…
09-09 06:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbe7be8…
09-09 06:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x70d1ca…
09-09 06:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6df3c7…
09-09 06:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x5b24dd…
09-09 06:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6a4207…
09-09 06:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfdac00…
09-09 06:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x605b34…
09-09 06:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc73505…
09-08 00:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	62¢	$22	0x117d79…
09-07 20:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x07e21e…
09-07 20:29:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xeb1e6c…
09-07 16:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	40¢	$15	0x654e04…
09-07 06:31:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0xd8103a…
09-04 09:20:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	57¢	$49	0x42687f…
09-04 06:24:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa2273c…
09-03 16:41:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	2¢	$1	0x2eee8c…
09-02 23:14:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	45¢	$29	0x7b6823…
09-02 23:14:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	17¢	$11	0xd410d1…
09-01 01:22:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x5d90d1…
08-31 02:40:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x36e7e9…
08-30 07:50:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xcf92b2…
08-30 07:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe1e53a…
08-30 07:47:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x728fa5…
08-28 16:34:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x038c14…
08-28 16:34:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x64df83…
08-27 05:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x23ec73…
08-26 21:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x45f4fd…
08-24 21:28:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x539e7d…
08-24 16:22:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7d5859…
08-21 00:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xb9fe05…
08-21 00:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xc3e3a0…
08-17 23:10:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x7a4391…
08-17 05:45:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xaafc20…
08-11 17:44:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x79f72e…
08-11 16:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd1dffe…
08-11 15:50:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x528ac2…
08-09 19:31:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x3081b2…
08-07 00:57:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x0565cc…
08-06 02:06:38	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x3071d7…
08-04 15:42:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x7d6c43…
08-02 18:51:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x521d15…
08-02 18:51:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x69e7c3…
07-30 16:56:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x403c78…
07-29 15:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xe654c7…
07-29 15:58:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x133272…
07-29 15:58:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x90f07b…
07-29 15:57:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa74e32…
07-27 15:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	52¢	$51	0xa28372…
07-27 15:43:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	30¢	$27	0xfe60fc…
07-17 15:29:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x4cb6f3…
07-17 13:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x0c83e9…
07-16 23:25:16	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x9a259e…
07-16 18:20:02	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x01cf07…
07-16 07:08:25	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0x2c61e2…
07-16 00:43:50	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb71aee…
07-14 15:44:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	93¢	$25	0x011123…
07-14 15:40:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xd930e2…
07-12 20:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe39d64…
07-09 06:46:02	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0x3cbb4a…
07-07 16:25:43	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0xf0364a…
07-06 05:41:55	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0xac54d8…
07-06 03:02:14	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0xab0d2c…
07-05 23:11:01	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x40f1fe…
07-05 18:37:08	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x702297…
07-05 17:58:16	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x705388…
07-04 21:53:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xbe81ad…
07-04 17:59:41	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe1a495…
07-03 23:46:56	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x217498…
07-03 23:43:37	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$2	0x6a8045…
07-03 23:22:31	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xa3dc8e…
07-03 22:34:34	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x895cc4…
07-03 18:45:01	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x16086a…
07-03 04:38:49	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xebf528…
07-02 17:35:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x87645d…
07-01 06:30:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xaf7cd6…
07-01 05:19:26	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x51518a…
07-01 05:16:41	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xed937e…
06-30 16:57:11	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xab467e…
06-29 18:42:37	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9ddd5e…
06-24 21:03:35	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x4e0b08…
06-23 15:14:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x00a30f…
06-23 15:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x28d4a8…
06-23 15:14:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xfb5f4e…
06-23 15:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3cf6e4…
06-23 14:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3e5533…
06-23 14:44:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa005d8…
06-23 14:44:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xd11db6…