Imaginative-Doughnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.1%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$181

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-21 01:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

63% 25% $-0

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

7% — —

Tech

7% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	17	$22	12	11	+0	open	—	02-02 02:43
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	8	$9	4	5	-1	open	—	01-14 04:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-18 03:34
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	03-23 02:08
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-22 07:54
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-20 03:24
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	03-14 08:43
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 01:01
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 01:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 03:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 01:38
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 02:08
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 06:55
nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 03:24
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 07:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 01:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 05:56
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 01:35
will trump dance during tpusa event on april 17	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-17 02:32
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-11 02:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 01:31
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 07:39
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 08:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 05:57
nhl chi phi 2026 03 26	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 01:19
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 07:59
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-23 05:29
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 07:40
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 01:31
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-03 02:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 01:31:26	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9f586e…
05-21 01:31:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf8027b…
05-21 01:30:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x337146…
05-21 01:27:36	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdff427…
05-15 07:18:37	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x08d8c9…
05-15 07:15:19	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xda6feb…
05-15 03:03:40	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1a3696…
05-15 03:02:56	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x569af4…
05-14 02:49:13	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x765ae5…
05-14 02:48:41	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xba370c…
05-14 02:47:35	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8e8438…
05-14 02:36:46	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc7fd4c…
05-13 01:07:56	Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumar	Alastair Gray	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xe77f42…
05-13 01:06:53	Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumar	Alastair Gray	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbd3275…
05-06 02:33:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x273945…
04-27 01:01:26	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6171ca…
04-27 01:01:18	Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny	Alexis Galarneau	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x4c9ee7…
04-27 00:58:40	Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x739fce…
04-27 00:55:40	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x861e07…
04-24 01:37:56	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2b48b5…
04-24 01:35:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3d11d9…
04-24 01:34:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd3acd3…
04-17 02:33:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcf04bc…
04-17 02:32:52	will trump dance during tpusa event on april 17	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe26b43…
04-17 02:31:30	will trump dance during tpusa event on april 17	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x52f94a…
04-15 01:52:36	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0fb3da…
04-13 02:06:03	val eterna bjk 2026 04 13	Eternal Fire Passion	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xef22e7…
04-13 02:05:15	val eterna bjk 2026 04 13	Eternal Fire Passion	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xeb4a11…
04-08 05:57:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbfb866…
04-08 05:56:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5e0e7f…
04-08 05:56:23	dota2 pari gl 2026 04 08	PARIVISION	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x940db4…
04-08 05:55:47	dota2 pari gl 2026 04 08	PARIVISION	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf21eca…
04-08 05:55:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x194d77…
04-07 06:42:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2a747e…
04-02 01:38:37	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x567405…
04-02 01:38:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4a20af…
04-02 01:36:59	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb57983…
04-02 01:35:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4c364…
04-01 07:40:17	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x07fbc8…
04-01 07:39:55	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe83b93…
04-01 07:37:53	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8223b1…
04-01 07:36:23	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x36462b…
03-31 01:14:15	will bitcoin reach 74k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x494cf8…
03-31 01:13:29	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x11ffa7…
03-31 01:09:43	will bitcoin reach 74k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xffbb1c…
03-31 01:04:07	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ee0d5…
03-31 00:59:47	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf883c9…
03-28 01:55:57	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xa0a568…
03-28 01:55:41	nba nop tor 2026 03 27	Raptors	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9bc3f0…
03-28 01:55:09	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa2d5f4…
03-28 01:54:09	nba nop tor 2026 03 27	Raptors	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc57466…
03-27 01:19:47	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3a8ff1…
03-27 01:19:35	nhl chi phi 2026 03 26	Flyers	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0be46d…
03-27 01:19:15	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x50c993…
03-27 01:18:29	nhl chi phi 2026 03 26	Flyers	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb27c8…
03-24 02:04:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xeecc4b…
03-24 02:04:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x888031…
03-24 02:03:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb763d8…
03-24 02:02:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xefc458…
03-23 07:59:33	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2efd83…
03-23 07:59:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x320837…
03-23 07:58:45	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x07eb3d…
03-23 07:57:57	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ed86a…
03-23 02:08:39	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4481bb…
03-23 02:08:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9864a1…
03-23 02:07:25	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd1daba…
03-23 02:06:23	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2305dd…
03-21 03:56:59	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x922d1d…
03-21 03:56:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9393ae…
03-21 03:56:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b5082…
03-21 03:54:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5da5fd…
03-21 03:53:21	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf10df5…
03-20 03:24:27	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x317c86…
03-20 03:24:13	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xad46a5…
03-20 03:23:45	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2f325f…
03-20 03:23:39	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x531a63…
03-20 03:22:39	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0cb1c7…
03-19 01:07:03	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3717bd…
03-19 01:06:51	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x806136…
03-19 01:02:13	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x80060a…
03-19 00:57:37	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2b3028…
03-18 07:06:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2cacf0…
03-18 07:06:11	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x96dc82…
03-18 07:04:55	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x30b16d…
03-18 06:55:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x354745…
03-17 02:08:53	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x328428…
03-17 02:08:25	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe1a07d…
03-17 02:07:23	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf17cb7…
03-17 02:06:57	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x624455…
03-17 02:05:49	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9eaea8…
03-14 08:43:07	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xee3aad…
03-14 08:42:47	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x41057f…
03-14 08:40:47	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x17026b…
03-14 08:39:01	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x00a566…
03-09 02:40:13	tsla above 375 on march 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x182eb9…
03-09 02:40:01	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1df154…
03-09 02:39:41	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1f1f21…
03-09 02:38:15	tsla above 375 on march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xaaf856…
03-05 10:00:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x99bf9f…
03-05 09:59:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x68726c…