Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?
open
Total volume
$525
$471 in 24h
Trades
56
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$849
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 16:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $9 | $472 | $463 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $142 | $142 |
| Median | 18 | $5 | $263 | $258 |
| Below median | 16 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 6 | — | $52 | $52 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | No | +160 | $138 | $138 | 2 | 05-14 10:34 |
| Yellow-Inequality 0xc975…2c68 | No | +143 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 05-14 16:34 |
| Entire-Dirndl 0x569f…5561 | No | +134 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 05-14 10:34 |
| Teeming-Forum 0x3429…6eb2 | Yes | +73 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 15:23 |
| Merry-Rowing 0x90a0…7e0a | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-13 21:03 |
| 100xFarmer 0x6345…6718 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:39 |
| Pristine-Tail 0x0298…93c4 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb3c…3b57 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x82cf…81f8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:03 |
| Sure-Footed-Fries 0x407a…c11a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:04 |
| Acclaimed-Church 0x211c…558d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:04 |
| Minor-Hat 0x2558…878e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:04 |
| Dizzy-Seaweed 0x63fa…67d7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:04 |
| Loyal-Trail 0x1a55…df56 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:11 |
| Self-Assured-Corporation 0x4705…bb4c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:11 |
| Able-Nick 0x5592…eba3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:11 |
| Comfortable-Watercress 0xb52c…ebb7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:20 |
| Equatorial-Minister 0x94fa…b8d9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:11 |
| Zigzag-Cradle 0x01ab…3028 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:29 |
| Grubby-Pilaf 0x60f1…8eaf | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:11 |
| Free-Boysenberry 0x85e1…92b3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:20 |
| Fuzzy-Semiconductor 0x2949…bcca | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:11 |
| Esteemed-Mist 0x751c…fe44 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 16:34:40 | Yellow-Inequality 0xc975…2c68 | No | BUY | 143 | 99¢ | $142 | 0x15165c… |
| 05-14 15:23:58 | Teeming-Forum 0x3429…6eb2 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xb2c6c7… |
| 05-14 15:14:32 | Dear-Turning 0x99c4…0c89 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xc399a5… |
| 05-14 12:42:44 | Humble-Tuber 0xb162…310e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf155af… |
| 05-14 10:54:38 | Broken-Colonisation 0x2be2…82fa | No | SELL | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xa7ffa0… |
| 05-14 10:34:34 | Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | No | BUY | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x4d150d… |
| 05-14 10:34:22 | Entire-Dirndl 0x569f…5561 | No | BUY | 134 | 86¢ | $115 | 0x0720af… |
| 05-14 10:34:20 | Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | No | BUY | 120 | 86¢ | $103 | 0x5cba28… |
| 05-14 03:08:35 | Grand-Verb 0x077b…71a9 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x072529… |
| 05-14 03:08:30 | Medium-Omega 0x7a2a…609e | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x4d35fa… |
| 05-14 03:08:26 | Accurate-Cinnamon 0x9bb3…92cf | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xdfb707… |
| 05-14 03:08:24 | Strange-Ornament 0x55f7…dfc3 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x93d2fd… |
| 05-14 03:08:24 | Strict-Stopwatch 0xc988…4b3d | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x7f3988… |
| 05-14 03:04:16 | Dizzy-Seaweed 0x63fa…67d7 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x3a665c… |
| 05-14 03:04:07 | Acclaimed-Church 0x211c…558d | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x0dfc26… |
| 05-14 03:04:07 | Sure-Footed-Fries 0x407a…c11a | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x78678f… |
| 05-14 03:04:07 | Strange-Ornament 0x55f7…dfc3 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x537a18… |
| 05-14 03:04:07 | Strict-Stopwatch 0xc988…4b3d | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x0567a4… |
| 05-14 03:04:07 | Minor-Hat 0x2558…878e | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x036e63… |
| 05-14 03:04:07 | Accurate-Cinnamon 0x9bb3…92cf | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xb4ccc4… |
| 05-14 03:04:07 | Medium-Omega 0x7a2a…609e | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x3d8e0d… |
| 05-14 02:48:55 | Bulky-Coordination 0xb688…0673 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xefcd74… |
| 05-14 02:32:07 | Glum-Buddy 0x3d30…9d42 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xde44ed… |
| 05-14 02:32:07 | Breakable-Riverbed 0x26e8…213c | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xefbb43… |
| 05-14 02:32:00 | Distant-Hound 0xcb69…042d | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xb382b2… |
| 05-14 02:29:09 | Zigzag-Cradle 0x01ab…3028 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xe6d10a… |
| 05-14 02:23:42 | Bite-Sized-Regionalism 0x8ad2…a974 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x2aa7bc… |
| 05-14 02:23:42 | Venerated-Boyfriend 0xaa3d…95e1 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xfc9f85… |
| 05-14 02:23:35 | Solid-Pace 0xc64d…a753 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x07cf05… |
| 05-14 02:22:09 | Wobbly-Commerce 0xaf16…645d | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x499ef5… |
| 05-14 02:20:12 | Wobbly-Commerce 0xaf16…645d | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x7f074f… |
| 05-14 02:20:12 | Comfortable-Watercress 0xb52c…ebb7 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xc6c1bf… |
| 05-14 02:20:10 | Venerated-Boyfriend 0xaa3d…95e1 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x6e2b52… |
| 05-14 02:20:10 | Bite-Sized-Regionalism 0x8ad2…a974 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x9c8c2d… |
| 05-14 02:20:08 | Solid-Pace 0xc64d…a753 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xd77113… |
| 05-14 02:20:08 | Free-Boysenberry 0x85e1…92b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x4d9781… |
| 05-14 02:14:01 | Popular-Pupa 0xa89e…48b9 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x4ff3f4… |
| 05-14 02:13:57 | Aching-Rhinoceros 0x824f…8984 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xb9cf58… |
| 05-14 02:11:46 | Esteemed-Mist 0x751c…fe44 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xc4123b… |
| 05-14 02:11:46 | Loyal-Trail 0x1a55…df56 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xeded32… |
| 05-14 02:11:46 | Fuzzy-Semiconductor 0x2949…bcca | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xa2848b… |
| 05-14 02:11:44 | Popular-Pupa 0xa89e…48b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xb2a1ec… |
| 05-14 02:11:42 | Aching-Rhinoceros 0x824f…8984 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x79f2d1… |
| 05-14 02:11:42 | Able-Nick 0x5592…eba3 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x3b34e6… |
| 05-14 02:11:39 | Self-Assured-Corporation 0x4705…bb4c | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xd54268… |
| 05-14 02:11:39 | Equatorial-Minister 0x94fa…b8d9 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x1e4f9d… |
| 05-14 02:11:39 | Grubby-Pilaf 0x60f1…8eaf | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x6eaed5… |
| 05-14 02:10:34 | Academic-Merchandise 0x4d03…45d3 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x5e8e55… |
| 05-14 02:10:11 | Academic-Merchandise 0x4d03…45d3 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x6c53d2… |
| 05-14 01:57:09 | Rash-Hook 0x4770…4dda | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x0cc871… |
| 05-14 01:56:57 | Rash-Hook 0x4770…4dda | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xffab45… |
| 05-13 22:39:49 | 100xFarmer 0x6345…6718 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x3702f5… |
| 05-13 21:03:51 | (anonymous) 0x82cf…81f8 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x9d5c2a… |
| 05-13 21:03:48 | Merry-Rowing 0x90a0…7e0a | No | BUY | 40 | 82¢ | $33 | 0x39c45f… |
| 05-13 20:03:50 | Pristine-Tail 0x0298…93c4 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xde5515… |
| 05-13 05:33:00 | (anonymous) 0xeb3c…3b57 | No | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x4f2f54… |