Courageous-Duck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

280

lifetime

Volume

$51.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-26 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

83% 100% +$0

Politics

13% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No		+13	$12	100¢	$13	+$1	06-26 20:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 440 459	10	$8.1K	4,063	4,063	+0	open	—	01-05 16:07
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 400 419	22	$5.1K	2,581	2,581	+0	open	—	01-01 20:54
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 320 339	2	$2.9K	1,434	1,434	+0	open	—	01-06 20:37
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 4	5	$2.6K	1,326	1,326	+0	open	—	01-03 07:31
us strikes yemen by december 31	2	$2.6K	1,324	1,324	+0	open	—	01-02 19:39
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	12	$2.5K	1,314	1,314	+0	open	—	02-05 17:37
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$2.5K	1,255	1,255	+0	open	—	01-04 05:15
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	4	$1.7K	861	861	+0	open	—	02-03 19:01
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	1	$1.4K	1,482	0	+1,482	open	—	01-08 01:21
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 70 79	1	$1.4K	1,434	0	+1,434	open	—	01-06 20:39
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$1.2K	1,197	1,197	+0	open	—	02-01 07:38
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	3	$1.1K	782	388	+394	open	—	02-09 18:08
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	16	$1.0K	565	565	+0	open	—	02-02 01:36
us government funding lapse on january 31	4	$922	790	790	+0	open	—	01-24 18:43
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$862	432	432	+0	open	—	02-03 19:43
will hyperliquid hit 38 in january	2	$862	459	459	+0	open	—	01-30 02:09
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	4	$861	432	432	+0	open	—	02-01 11:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$860	441	441	+0	open	—	02-04 03:52
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	2	$812	416	416	+0	open	—	01-29 19:05
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 16 2026	2	$782	413	413	+0	open	—	02-16 17:32
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$764	406	406	+0	open	—	02-13 13:09
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	2	$755	437	437	+0	open	—	02-16 07:28
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	2	$754	379	379	+0	open	—	02-09 07:13
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	2	$753	429	429	+0	open	—	01-31 05:50
will the dhs shutdown last 7 days or more	3	$750	389	386	+3	open	—	02-18 21:23
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	2	$745	378	378	+0	open	—	02-08 19:19
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$731	370	370	+0	open	—	02-07 03:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$579	3,693	2,391	+1,302	open	—	02-28 21:27
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 40 64	2	$573	290	290	+0	open	—	01-25 16:30
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 65 89	4	$506	257	257	+0	open	—	01-18 00:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 20:35:38	Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xc2c627…
06-17 14:48:23	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x386e47…
06-05 19:35:03	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7e8710…
06-02 12:46:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x98c0da…
05-31 20:50:41	Will Trump say "Goat" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc566a…
05-31 20:50:36	Will Trump say "Turtle" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x527c43…
05-31 20:50:29	Will Trump say "Mouse" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x014525…
05-31 20:50:20	Will Trump say "Frog" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x782496…
05-31 20:50:13	Will Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc507bf…
05-31 20:50:05	Will Trump say "Whale" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6a5a86…
05-31 20:49:58	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x863720…
05-31 20:49:51	Will Trump say "Panther" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a7a71…
05-31 20:49:44	Will Trump say "Rabbit" or "Bunny" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd8fad9…
05-31 20:49:38	Will Trump say "Mosquito" in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78f715…
05-31 20:49:31	Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x550732…
05-30 18:13:07	Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc03c1f…
05-16 20:37:36	Will MrBeast say "America" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x133416…
05-16 20:37:22	Will MrBeast say "World Cup" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x289464…
05-16 20:37:13	Will MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x446cb4…
05-16 20:37:04	Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e364f…
05-16 20:36:57	Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc6b3b3…
05-16 20:36:50	Will MrBeast say "Donate" or "Donated" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb46ced…
05-16 20:36:43	Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x84834c…
05-16 20:36:34	Will MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8cc3e…
05-16 20:36:29	Will MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34f9b2…
05-16 20:36:20	Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc066fa…
05-16 20:36:13	Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47ffb8…
05-14 19:55:39	Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x449543…
05-14 19:55:21	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xed6e42…
05-14 19:54:38	Will Trump say "Dynasty" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x27bf5e…
05-14 19:54:32	Will Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6281b3…
05-14 19:54:25	Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4609b8…
05-14 19:54:20	Will Trump say "Nixon" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf2e82a…
05-14 19:54:13	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4fecc6…
05-14 19:53:42	Will Trump say "Tiger" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf7b9db…
05-14 19:53:31	Will Trump say "Heaven" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab088c…
05-14 19:53:22	Will Trump say "Ping-pong" or "Ping Pong" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5e647…
05-14 19:53:15	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda83be…
05-11 21:45:39	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x28d952…
05-11 21:45:28	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c8fce…
05-11 21:45:19	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34c46d…
05-11 21:45:11	Will Trump say "Hot" or "Hottest" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b92b1…
05-11 21:44:51	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b830c…
05-11 21:44:43	Will Trump say "Judge" or "Court" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72606f…
05-11 21:44:37	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e9914…
05-11 21:44:29	Will Trump say "Radical" or "Left" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4bd060…
05-11 21:44:16	Will Trump say "America" or "American" 6+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81fd4e…
05-11 21:44:09	Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26ca5a…
05-11 21:44:04	Will Trump say "Football" 8+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26fd30…
05-07 22:54:41	Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9e74a…
05-07 22:54:34	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6f6b7…
05-07 22:54:22	Will Trump say "President Xi" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a5137…
05-07 22:54:17	Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4fbf3a…
05-07 22:54:10	Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ef98a…
05-07 22:54:03	Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x66870b…
05-07 22:53:57	Will Trump say "Delcy" or "Rodriguez" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb95cf…
05-07 22:53:50	Will Trump say "Maduro" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ad4e5…
05-07 22:53:45	Will Trump say "Cuba" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3d2c1…
05-07 22:53:38	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc56526…
05-07 22:53:31	Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6dc9ab…
05-05 20:53:48	Will "Pyramid" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x159d6d…
05-05 20:53:40	Will "Octopus" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18536f…
05-05 20:53:34	Will "Hegemony" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93c0a5…
05-05 20:53:28	Will "Vaccine" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e56a1…
05-05 20:53:22	Will "Pig" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe64f06…
05-05 20:53:18	Will "Rat" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa84d93…
05-05 20:53:12	Will "NFL" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x94a7f9…
05-05 20:53:06	Will "NBA" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73648f…
05-05 20:53:02	Will "Chocolate" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a0266…
05-05 20:52:56	Will "Cookie" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1289a9…
05-05 20:52:44	Will "Crack" or "Dope" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb845d5…
04-29 01:06:56	James Comey arrested by April 28?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x446fd8…
04-27 18:29:54	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x04c68b…
04-26 19:40:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x707103…
04-21 18:21:42	will posture be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x0f38ab…
04-19 01:29:18	will red card be said during the 2026 sidemen charity match	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x439398…
04-06 21:28:47	will trump say plastic egg during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x343cf3…
04-02 04:39:27	will trump say democrat during the easter lunch on wednesday	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x830f5b…
03-30 22:52:27	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x036142…
02-28 21:27:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,302	10¢	$130	0x1c8b34…
02-28 21:24:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	1,024	10¢	$107	0xd10a15…
02-28 21:23:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xc073ea…
02-28 21:23:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x22b630…
02-28 21:23:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,015	10¢	$101	0x76459c…
02-28 21:06:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	633	9¢	$58	0xbc8c61…
02-28 21:06:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	723	9¢	$67	0xa2c151…
02-28 21:06:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x903dea…
02-28 20:44:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,319	8¢	$111	0x1e99d0…
02-28 19:58:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	48	7¢	$3	0x58f921…
02-24 21:56:48	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0fcaa7…
02-20 11:47:22	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0ae690…
02-18 21:23:48	will the dhs shutdown last 7 days or more	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x362399…
02-17 11:19:43	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 17 2026	No	SELL	444	9¢	$39	0x570cb0…
02-16 17:32:27	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 17 2026	No	BUY	444	92¢	$407	0x65aedf…
02-16 17:32:01	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 16 2026	No	SELL	413	99¢	$407	0xe86d95…
02-16 07:28:55	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 16 2026	No	BUY	413	91¢	$375	0x8c69e7…
02-16 07:28:19	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	SELL	437	86¢	$375	0x5d5c6e…
02-16 07:11:35	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	437	87¢	$380	0x57a075…
02-16 07:10:45	will the dhs shutdown last 7 days or more	Yes	SELL	386	98¢	$380	0xaab932…
02-15 21:47:47	will the dhs shutdown last 7 days or more	Yes	BUY	386	95¢	$367	0xf98af3…