Will Trump say "Frog" in May?
open
Total volume
$422
Trades
81
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$361
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-01
last 06-01 08:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+62.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $17
vs crowd: 37% YES on $404)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $36 | $67 | $32 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $86 | $52 | +$34 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $17 | $69 | $52 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $12 | $66 | $54 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $103 | $72 | +$32 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $4 | $54 | $50 |
| Median | 6 | $19 | $3 | +$17 |
| Below median | 8 | $4 | $15 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $2 | $43 | $41 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $57 | $57 |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Small-Bee 0xcb59…e21d | Yes | +92 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-01 20:12 |
| Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | +70 | $48 | $48 | 4 | 05-19 19:26 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +70 | $19 | $19 | 6 | 05-19 19:26 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +57 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 06-01 08:45 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-01 06:04 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-01 20:12 |
| Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | +48 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-26 10:42 |
| Flashy-Lock 0x4c6b…d8f6 | No | +45 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-26 10:42 |
| Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | +30 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 05-01 20:12 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +30 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 05-24 03:17 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 05-30 16:25 |
| Buoyant-Nurture 0xe0dc…3944 | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-29 00:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-01 20:12 |
| Sick-Cycle 0x7511…582e | Yes | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-01 20:12 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-29 06:11 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 21:10 |
| Loose-Airbus 0x6867…63be | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 17:55 |
| Motherly-Hacienda 0xfb3a…7f61 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-18 12:51 |
| Metallic-Advocacy 0xb37f…fdcf | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-25 20:56 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-01 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-31 10:52 |
| Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-31 10:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa9e1…97ad | Yes | +5 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 05-28 21:10 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 10:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-30 16:25 |
| Formal-Turf 0xc21e…94b2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 06:36 |
| Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $1 | 4 | 05-30 06:36 |
| Victorious-Roundabout 0x41b8…2fd8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-24 18:11 |
| Pastel-Distributor 0xea41…0782 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-02 22:40 |
| Infantile-Coleslaw 0x45e7…3577 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-19 03:00 |
| Cold-Accompanist 0x3ed7…1fd9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-26 07:03 |
| Other-Experimentation 0xdde4…7bfd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 20:35 |
| Courageous-Duck 0xb714…a191 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 20:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 08:45:37 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x75cfee… |
| 06-01 08:45:37 | Silver-Mainland 0xf0aa…96f5 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x75cfee… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 47 | 100¢ | $47 | 0xeb1f3e… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb1f3e… |
| 06-01 04:01:18 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce2144… |
| 06-01 04:01:18 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce2144… |
| 06-01 01:15:00 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68f80c… |
| 06-01 01:15:00 | Another-Commotion 0xbeec…707b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68f80c… |
| 06-01 01:15:00 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68f80c… |
| 05-31 20:50:20 | Courageous-Duck 0xb714…a191 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x782496… |
| 05-31 20:50:20 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x782496… |
| 05-31 20:35:58 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d2c95… |
| 05-31 20:35:58 | Other-Experimentation 0xdde4…7bfd | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0d2c95… |
| 05-31 10:52:32 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec4fb1… |
| 05-31 10:52:32 | Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xec4fb1… |
| 05-31 10:52:32 | (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec4fb1… |
| 05-30 16:25:28 | (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7f184b… |
| 05-30 16:25:28 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7f184b… |
| 05-30 16:25:28 | (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7f184b… |
| 05-30 06:36:12 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9c14df… |
| 05-30 06:36:12 | Formal-Turf 0xc21e…94b2 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x9c14df… |
| 05-29 06:11:34 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x14bcbb… |
| 05-29 06:11:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x14bcbb… |
| 05-29 00:45:10 | Buoyant-Nurture 0xe0dc…3944 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x008fc1… |
| 05-29 00:45:10 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x008fc1… |
| 05-28 21:10:16 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe897d7… |
| 05-28 21:10:16 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe897d7… |
| 05-28 21:10:16 | (anonymous) 0xa9e1…97ad | Yes | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe897d7… |
| 05-26 12:02:42 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x054868… |
| 05-26 12:02:42 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x054868… |
| 05-26 12:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xa9e1…97ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc9f23b… |
| 05-26 12:02:42 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xc9f23b… |
| 05-26 12:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xa9e1…97ad | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x054868… |
| 05-26 10:42:37 | Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2b6f47… |
| 05-26 10:42:37 | Flashy-Lock 0x4c6b…d8f6 | No | BUY | 45 | 97¢ | $43 | 0x2b6f47… |
| 05-26 07:03:19 | Cold-Accompanist 0x3ed7…1fd9 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x678729… |
| 05-26 07:03:19 | Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x678729… |
| 05-25 20:56:56 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x844039… |
| 05-25 20:56:56 | Metallic-Advocacy 0xb37f…fdcf | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x844039… |
| 05-24 18:11:38 | Victorious-Roundabout 0x41b8…2fd8 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x242d5e… |
| 05-24 18:11:38 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x242d5e… |
| 05-24 03:17:11 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa2d139… |
| 05-24 03:17:11 | Silver-Mainland 0xf0aa…96f5 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xa2d139… |
| 05-23 04:25:49 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x88ee5e… |
| 05-23 04:25:49 | Buoyant-Nurture 0xe0dc…3944 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x88ee5e… |
| 05-19 19:26:06 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0xbd3c5c… |
| 05-19 19:26:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xbd3c5c… |
| 05-19 19:26:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x7cb226… |
| 05-19 19:26:02 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x7cb226… |
| 05-19 19:25:41 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 40 | 69¢ | $28 | 0x7c1b72… |
| 05-19 19:25:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x7c1b72… |
| 05-19 19:24:54 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x6123ef… |
| 05-19 19:24:54 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x6123ef… |
| 05-19 03:00:49 | Another-Commotion 0xbeec…707b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xdb75b8… |
| 05-19 03:00:49 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xdb75b8… |
| 05-19 03:00:49 | Infantile-Coleslaw 0x45e7…3577 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xdb75b8… |
| 05-18 12:51:27 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x3254d4… |
| 05-18 12:51:27 | Motherly-Hacienda 0xfb3a…7f61 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x3254d4… |
| 05-08 17:55:28 | Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xbf7e5d… |
| 05-08 17:55:28 | Loose-Airbus 0x6867…63be | No | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0xbf7e5d… |
| 05-08 17:55:28 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xbf7e5d… |
| 05-08 13:49:52 | (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xb7d898… |
| 05-08 13:49:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xb7d898… |
| 05-02 22:40:46 | Pastel-Distributor 0xea41…0782 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x34eb18… |
| 05-02 22:40:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x34eb18… |
| 05-01 23:31:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x51a5d9… |
| 05-01 23:31:40 | (anonymous) 0xed12…246a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x51a5d9… |
| 05-01 23:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x5bfd…0986 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x2f0164… |
| 05-01 23:31:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x2f0164… |
| 05-01 20:12:10 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf84204… |
| 05-01 20:12:10 | (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf84204… |
| 05-01 20:12:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0xbfd073… |
| 05-01 20:12:08 | Small-Bee 0xcb59…e21d | Yes | BUY | 92 | 83¢ | $76 | 0xbfd073… |
| 05-01 20:12:08 | Sick-Cycle 0x7511…582e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0xc29155… |
| 05-01 20:12:08 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbfd073… |
| 05-01 20:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf1a38f… |
| 05-01 20:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc29155… |
| 05-01 20:12:08 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xfb6e65… |
| 05-01 20:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xed12…246a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xfb6e65… |
| 05-01 20:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x5bfd…0986 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xf1a38f… |
| 05-01 20:12:08 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf1a38f… |