Flashy-Lock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$512

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-29 07:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

34% 50% $-283

Sports

29% 0% —

Crypto

20% 0% $-228

Other

17% 60% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$319	399	399	+0	No	+$0	01-22 17:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$285	500	0	+500	Yes	$-285	02-07 12:10
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$128	182	0	+182	Yes	$-128	02-08 16:18
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?	1	$100	139	0	+139	No	$-100	02-04 19:36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	04-19 15:23
will the us tariff rate on china be less than 5 on march 31	1	$48	49	0	+49	No	+$0	03-29 01:35
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$1	04-25 15:22
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	06-29 07:54
Will Trump say "Frog" in May?	1	$43	45	0	+45	No	+$1	05-26 10:42
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$3	1,540	1,540	+0	No	+$0	04-04 11:47
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	1,490	1,490	+0	No	+$0	04-30 15:39
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	1	$2	1,990	0	+1,990	No	$-2	04-17 08:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 07:54:22	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xc4f615…
05-26 10:42:37	Will Trump say "Frog" in May?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0x2b6f47…
04-30 15:39:26	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,490	0¢	$1	0xc4b347…
04-30 13:59:18	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,490	0¢	$1	0x35cf66…
04-25 15:22:08	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xdb592d…
04-19 15:23:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xda9331…
04-17 08:28:46	Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1,990	0¢	$2	0x3b5b2f…
04-12 06:44:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x81ee24…
04-04 11:47:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	Yes	SELL	1,540	0¢	$2	0x38a87e…
04-04 00:01:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	Yes	BUY	1,540	0¢	$2	0x8b976e…
03-29 01:35:28	will the us tariff rate on china be less than 5 on march 31	No	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0xa03200…
02-08 16:18:33	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	182	70¢	$128	0x0ac0f9…
02-07 12:10:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	57¢	$285	0x2a31d5…
02-04 19:36:53	Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x9096fa…
01-22 17:22:10	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	399	40¢	$160	0x254703…
01-13 21:29:36	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	399	40¢	$160	0xc9bb9f…