Shady-Vitality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$452

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

6,403

Trades

18,471

lifetime

Volume

$694.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$1.66K

18 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-08 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 302 days

Categories

Other

80% 94% +$15,300

Politics

15% 90% +$832

Tech

2% 92% +$745

Crypto

2% 84% -$78

Sports

1% 94% +$83

Pop-Culture

0% 85% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will coreweave say fiscal 10 during earnings call november 10	No	+295	$291	98¢	$289	-$3	11-07 06:45
will coreweave say quarter 10 during earnings call november 10	Yes	+379	$375	52¢	$195	-$180	11-07 06:45
Will Constellation Energy say "PJM" during earnings call?	Yes	+167	$164	100¢	$167	+$3	11-08 18:33
Will Cisco say "AI" 25+ times during earnings call?	Yes	+164	$161	80¢	$130	-$31	11-08 17:45
Will Applied Materials say "Growth" 20+ times during earnings call?	Yes	+123	$121	96¢	$119	-$2	11-08 17:02
Will Applied Materials say "Customer" 25+ times during earnings call?	Yes	+123	$121	92¢	$114	-$7	11-08 13:43
Will "United Nations" be in the headlines on Sunday?	No	+105	$102	99¢	$104	+$2	11-07 21:37
Will Constellation Energy say "Power" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	+100	$96	100¢	$100	+$4	11-08 18:32
Will Applied Materials say "AI" 7+ times during earnings call?	Yes	+122	$121	80¢	$97	-$24	11-08 17:06
Will Applied Materials say "DRAM" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	+122	$121	80¢	$97	-$24	11-08 17:05
will applied materials earnings call not air november 12	No	+164	$162	50¢	$83	-$79	11-08 21:22
will coreweaves earnings call not air november 10	No	+64	$63	50¢	$32	-$31	11-07 06:38
will ciscos earnings call not air november 12	No	+59	$58	50¢	$30	-$29	11-07 06:39
will constellation energys earnings call not air november 9	No	+59	$58	50¢	$30	-$29	11-07 06:37
Will Cisco say "Infrastructure" during earnings call?	Yes	+34	$34	84¢	$29	-$5	11-08 17:47
Will "Rigged" be in the headlines on Sunday?	No	+37	$37	50¢	$19	-$18	11-07 21:36
Will Cisco say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	+20	$19	96¢	$19	-$1	11-08 17:41
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	No	+6	$6	95¢	$6	+$0	10-31 23:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will lvaro roberto ramos chaves win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	89	$3.8K	2,060	2,059	+1	No	+$66	02-02 03:56
Will "Left" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	27	$3.3K	3,767	3,171	+596	Yes	+$3,603	05-21 19:58
Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21?	3	$2.3K	2,327	0	+2,327	Yes	+$2	09-22 21:09
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 20+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	3	$2.1K	1,125	1,000	+125	Yes	+$10	05-26 04:56
Will "Right" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 26?	2	$2.1K	2,092	0	+2,092	Yes	+$2	10-28 21:08
will problem be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957177	2	$2.1K	2,053	0	+2,053	Yes	+$2	07-15 21:06
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be less than $554,000 on June 30?	14	$2.0K	1,491	667	+824	Yes	+$90	06-30 12:24
will mamdani say safe or safer or safety during his announcement 20260915	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$2	09-16 15:15
Will "People" be said 111+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	3	$1.6K	1,317	300	+1,017	Yes	+$15	05-26 04:19
will anyone say space during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117498	3	$1.5K	751	751	+0	Yes	+$37	07-20 03:55
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,173,000 and $1,180,000 on May 31?	5	$1.5K	1,221	377	+844	Yes	+$138	05-31 20:51
highest temperature in london on january 1 5c	10	$1.4K	722	722	+0	No	+$16	01-01 12:23
Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,466	0	+1,466	No	+$43	10-12 09:49
Will "Dude" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	6	$1.4K	1,179	226	+953	Yes	+$11	05-26 04:20
will the next official us iran meeting be in turkey	3	$1.4K	930	465	+465	No	+$1	02-06 22:57
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	31	$1.4K	792	692	+100	Yes	+$18	02-02 11:32
donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 60 79	42	$1.3K	701	701	+0	No	-$6	02-16 13:18
Will the median home value in the US be between $438,000 and $440,000 on May 31?	11	$1.3K	696	696	+0	No	+$26	05-31 12:26
will turnout in the 2026 japanese snap election be between 56 and 58	18	$1.2K	1,245	0	+1,245	Yes	+$5	02-10 05:57
donald trump of truth social posts february 17 february 24 0 19	33	$1.2K	801	479	+322	No	+$23	02-16 17:44
highest temperature in seattle on january 5 46 47f	15	$1.2K	1,129	127	+1,002	No	+$14	01-05 23:40
will island be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	9	$1.2K	642	590	+52	Yes	+$0	03-03 19:00
will anthropic be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	10	$1.2K	598	598	+0	Yes	+$12	03-06 11:18
highest temperature in seattle on january 4 52 53f	12	$1.2K	800	404	+396	No	+$38	01-04 23:54
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 0 19	19	$1.1K	796	356	+440	No	+$14	02-17 07:45
Will no Rogan episode air?	3	$1.1K	1,134	0	+1,134	No	+$3	08-25 18:05
Will Donald Trump dance on May 22, 2026?	6	$1.1K	1,116	0	+1,116	Yes	+$4	05-22 22:16
will big brother episode not air 20260823	7	$1.1K	560	560	+0	No	+$1	08-21 04:37
Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Tennessee not air?	4	$1.1K	1,102	0	+1,102	No	+$4	10-10 20:16
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $562,000 and $566,000 on June 30?	6	$1.1K	1,092	0	+1,092	No	+$4	06-30 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 21:22:15	Will the earnings call not air?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa32c9d…
11-08 18:35:09	Will CoreWeave say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfa184f…
11-08 18:33:48	Will Constellation Energy say "PJM" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	167	98¢	$164	0x61eb7d…
11-08 18:32:46	Will Constellation Energy say "Power" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x89902a…
11-08 17:47:01	Will Cisco say "Infrastructure" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xd774c7…
11-08 17:45:51	Will Cisco say "AI" 25+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x5a90a0…
11-08 17:45:39	Will Cisco say "AI" 25+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	134	98¢	$132	0xb9a02a…
11-08 17:41:03	Will Cisco say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xca70c8…
11-08 17:06:49	Will Applied Materials say "AI" 7+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x5c8279…
11-08 17:05:48	Will Applied Materials say "DRAM" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0xa3f4ee…
11-08 17:02:19	Will Applied Materials say "Growth" 20+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0x2ab706…
11-08 13:43:39	Will Applied Materials say "Customer" 25+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0x61ae78…
11-07 21:37:24	Will "United Nations" be in the headlines on Sunday?	No	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0x2981ba…
11-07 21:36:54	Will "Rigged" be in the headlines on Sunday?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xca70d5…
11-07 06:45:45	will coreweave say fiscal 10 during earnings call november 10	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xec4e33…
11-07 06:45:21	will coreweave say quarter 10 during earnings call november 10	Yes	BUY	379	99¢	$375	0x1da3fb…
11-07 06:44:54	will coreweave say fiscal 10 during earnings call november 10	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xcbae53…
11-07 06:44:18	will coreweave say fiscal 10 during earnings call november 10	No	BUY	267	99¢	$265	0x1d184e…
11-07 06:43:58	will coreweave say fiscal 10 during earnings call november 10	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb4eaac…
11-07 06:43:57	will coreweave say fiscal 10 during earnings call november 10	No	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xe4c3bb…
11-07 06:39:51	will ciscos earnings call not air november 12	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xb89de2…
11-07 06:39:16	will applied materials earnings call not air november 12	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xab4d97…
11-07 06:38:04	will coreweaves earnings call not air november 10	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x69d236…
11-07 06:37:27	will constellation energys earnings call not air november 9	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x4d18d5…
11-05 20:33:49	Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x6b7614…
11-05 20:32:43	Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0xa366e6…
11-05 20:32:30	Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x6682da…
11-05 20:32:06	Will "Legality" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x989a8a…
11-04 16:19:01	Will Uber say "Growth" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	157	100¢	$156	0x8268d2…
11-04 16:15:19	Will Uber say "Disruptive" during earnings call?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2f276b…
11-04 16:04:49	Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1def0e…
11-04 16:03:52	Will Airbnb say "Growth" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0xd3cf26…
11-04 16:03:22	Will Airbnb say "Growth" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x0acb75…
11-04 16:01:09	will airbnbs earnings call not air november 5	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x673c90…
11-03 22:35:31	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0xf0d626…
11-02 22:59:37	Will Apple say "Creator Studio" during earnings call?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x83b925…
11-02 22:59:01	Will Apple say "Creator Studio" during earnings call?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xfef444…
11-02 22:32:18	Will Apple say "Apple Music" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb01273…
11-02 22:31:52	Will Apple say "Vision Pro" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc25eef…
11-02 22:28:54	Will Uber say "Autonomous" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x8837d1…
11-02 22:27:58	Will Uber say "Delivery" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	270	99¢	$267	0x6b6c26…
11-02 22:27:15	Will Uber say "Delivery" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	146	96¢	$141	0xc5acdb…
11-02 22:24:27	will uber say mobility 5 during earnings call november 4	Yes	BUY	174	99¢	$171	0xfc3357…
11-02 22:23:24	will uber say growth 10 during earnings call november 4	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb594d5…
11-02 22:19:33	will ubers earnings call not air november 4	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xbf1a4e…
11-02 22:10:15	Will Apple say "Tariff" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0x39fe30…
11-02 22:09:48	Will Apple say "Homepod" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa47df0…
11-02 22:09:37	Will Apple say "Revenue" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0xa689f7…
11-02 13:28:34	Will Apple say "Tariff" during earnings call?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xace87b…
11-02 06:36:00	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xacf12b…
11-02 00:10:42	Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85964b…
11-01 23:56:46	Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xd77263…
11-01 23:56:43	Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xf6c280…
11-01 23:56:09	Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x180e27…
11-01 23:52:36	will amd say data center during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	271	99¢	$268	0xbaf79b…
11-01 23:52:31	will amd say data center during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x4dddbd…
11-01 23:51:33	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	45	92¢	$42	0x4d2a11…
11-01 23:51:22	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x0240d9…
11-01 23:51:04	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xd6dc1c…
11-01 23:51:01	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x6379b2…
11-01 23:50:58	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3dd219…
11-01 23:50:57	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0x211911…
11-01 23:46:27	Will Apple say "iPhone" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	472	99¢	$467	0xca45dd…
11-01 23:45:51	Will Apple say "iPhone" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x34b125…
11-01 23:45:07	Will Apple say "iPhone" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x35fc93…
11-01 23:41:46	Will Apple say "Tariff" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	333	99¢	$328	0xfafa57…
11-01 23:40:54	Will Apple say "Tariff" during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x128ac0…
10-31 23:31:30	Will Trump say "Ranked Choice" this week?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0xaa67d9…
10-31 23:24:43	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xd7071b…
10-31 23:24:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf0074b…
10-31 23:22:15	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xca8a6e…
10-31 23:22:03	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa29292…
10-31 23:21:57	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe91268…
10-31 23:19:43	Will Trump say "Ferrari" in October?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa260ad…
10-31 23:19:39	Will Trump say "Oracle" in October?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x249a02…
10-31 23:19:36	Will Trump say "Qualcomm" in October?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xe04700…
10-31 23:19:28	Will Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xc758ef…
10-31 23:10:18	Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0xe99cee…
10-31 23:10:12	Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xce4d07…
10-31 23:10:07	Will Trump post "Trump Ocean" or "Trump Strait" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7388e7…
10-31 23:09:25	Will Trump say "Weave" in October?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5fdc29…
10-31 23:09:18	Will Trump say "Weave" in October?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x04dc88…
10-31 23:09:07	Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in October?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x528dec…
10-29 22:37:37	Will Amazon say "Layoff / Job Cut" during earnings call?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xd80afb…
10-29 22:37:16	Will Amazon say "Layoff / Job Cut" during earnings call?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x331c0a…
10-29 22:36:36	Will Amazon say "Data Center" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5203ae…
10-29 22:36:12	Will Amazon say "Robotic / Robotics" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e66bc…
10-29 22:35:48	Will Amazon say "Anthropic" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcd91f9…
10-29 22:35:01	Will Amazon say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x93adfc…
10-29 22:34:24	Will Amazon say "Prime" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x19f44c…
10-29 22:33:19	will no rogan episode air 20261108	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x71b811…
10-29 22:33:07	will no rogan episode air 20261108	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe8c709…
10-29 22:32:31	will different be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast november 4	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x09f7df…
10-29 22:32:18	will problem be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast november 4	Yes	BUY	229	99¢	$227	0x6cca07…
10-29 22:32:01	will problem be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast november 4	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xddf4d4…
10-29 22:31:37	will no lemonade stand episode air november 4	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xc1fca2…
10-29 10:54:56	Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 26 above $880?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4de1a5…
10-29 10:41:29	Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 29?	No	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0x4a88ac…
10-29 10:38:47	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $560-$570 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbcde69…
10-29 10:38:25	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$570 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1e93e0…