Worse-Cofactor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

346

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 11:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

40% 100% +$7

Other

39% 100% +$40

Crypto

19% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$2.5K	1,865	1,111	+754	open	—	06-03 13:08
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	6	$2.1K	1,245	1,245	+0	open	—	05-01 12:50
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	3	$1.9K	951	951	+0	open	—	05-01 09:32
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	4	$1.6K	842	842	+0	open	—	06-18 01:51
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	6	$1.6K	875	768	+107	open	—	08-04 22:47
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	11	$1.2K	614	614	+0	open	—	04-30 17:30
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	11	$1.0K	560	560	+0	open	—	07-16 21:52
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$819	448	448	+0	open	—	07-01 14:00
israel closes its airspace by june 8	6	$735	497	496	+0	open	—	06-08 07:25
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	3	$714	358	358	+0	open	—	06-05 20:03
spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	1	$285	288	0	+288	open	—	08-04 21:28
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 06:39
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	2	$177	101	101	+0	open	—	06-01 05:24
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$169	200	49	+151	open	—	06-13 07:37
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	2	$164	102	102	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$40	05-09 18:49
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 27)	1	$151	153	0	+153	open	—	04-28 18:32
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	4	$149	201	201	+0	open	—	07-29 14:36
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	4	$141	796	796	+0	open	—	05-01 22:47
starmer out by june 22 2026	2	$117	101	101	+0	open	—	06-21 07:57
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India	3	$114	200	200	+0	open	—	06-02 20:07
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?	2	$111	59	59	+0	No	+$7	05-06 09:39
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	3	$109	214	214	+0	open	—	05-22 15:24
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	2	$100	300	300	+0	open	—	06-30 17:55
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5	2	$100	0	103	-103	open	—	05-22 20:32
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$88	1,094	1,094	+0	open	—	04-30 03:10
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	3	$81	300	300	+0	open	—	05-03 16:20
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	2	$79	148	148	+0	open	—	06-01 12:41
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	1	$68	100	0	+100	open	—	05-21 18:44
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$64	94	94	+0	open	—	01-26 20:03
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$51	37	37	+0	open	—	01-24 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:51:34	will no episode air 20260731211505810	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x6f4752…
08-10 11:29:00	will no episode air 20260731211505810	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x881b65…
08-04 22:47:36	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0x3a653a…
08-04 22:32:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd6b168…
08-04 22:21:38	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x06752d…
08-04 21:28:20	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	BUY	288	99¢	$285	0x397984…
08-04 20:43:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	384	100¢	$382	0xfd396b…
08-04 07:48:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	384	100¢	$383	0x12af4a…
08-04 07:48:11	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	384	100¢	$383	0xdbd4f8…
07-31 23:48:23	cs2 lag spo 2026 07 31	LAG Gaming	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x682c11…
07-29 14:36:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	31	50¢	$15	0x921ae1…
07-29 14:30:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	171	50¢	$85	0x581edd…
07-28 15:54:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x3e2bf4…
07-28 13:48:04	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	102	26¢	$26	0xab4e7d…
07-19 23:24:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	167	2¢	$3	0x974409…
07-19 23:08:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0x95960a…
07-16 21:52:49	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	SELL	333	89¢	$296	0x09f24c…
07-16 21:32:16	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	SELL	111	89¢	$99	0xb3e09f…
07-16 21:32:14	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x886387…
07-16 21:31:04	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x542a28…
07-16 20:52:35	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x1fc40f…
07-16 20:52:25	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	52	89¢	$46	0x5f2b5c…
07-16 20:52:19	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	51	89¢	$46	0xeed85f…
07-16 20:52:19	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x037427…
07-16 20:43:58	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	SELL	109	92¢	$100	0x3633ee…
07-16 20:43:16	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	195	89¢	$174	0x6fb9b4…
07-14 18:47:59	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	No	BUY	96	46¢	$44	0xfdc512…
07-01 14:00:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	448	99¢	$444	0x8216e8…
06-30 19:43:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	448	84¢	$375	0x815dfe…
06-30 18:23:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x5cc83d…
06-30 17:55:38	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0x5021b4…
06-30 17:22:49	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	300	33¢	$100	0xfbbad8…
06-26 20:57:17	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0xfa11e6…
06-26 20:53:40	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2ba4d4…
06-26 20:46:41	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x168488…
06-24 17:32:13	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x01db20…
06-24 17:25:01	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x46e505…
06-24 17:24:58	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9ad36d…
06-21 11:44:02	bnb updown 5m 1782042000	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8c428e…
06-21 07:57:58	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	101	38¢	$38	0xde28e1…
06-20 06:09:56	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	101	78¢	$79	0xfc0fb7…
06-18 01:51:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	414	100¢	$414	0x7647cc…
06-17 14:51:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	414	100¢	$413	0x80b4da…
06-13 23:46:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	428	97¢	$413	0xa8730b…
06-13 19:02:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	428	95¢	$405	0xca9d9b…
06-13 07:37:24	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x1490e4…
06-13 07:36:42	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x9c40ed…
06-13 05:55:54	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	34	80¢	$27	0x9d6ec1…
06-10 04:59:54	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xa9d783…
06-08 07:25:51	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	437	76¢	$332	0xd9f46c…
06-08 07:25:13	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x846d6f…
06-08 07:25:07	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	58	76¢	$44	0x731dba…
06-08 07:16:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	469	72¢	$338	0x3cacee…
06-08 07:16:24	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xe2acd9…
06-08 07:16:09	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x1b68b6…
06-05 20:03:04	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf2d499…
06-05 20:02:45	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	SELL	355	100¢	$355	0xd434b6…
06-05 19:57:06	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	100¢	$357	0x9c6b26…
06-03 13:08:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	349	99¢	$347	0x30982a…
06-02 20:07:33	T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India	India	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0xc93110…
06-02 19:48:55	T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India	India	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x0c55dd…
06-02 19:10:08	T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India	India	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x34ec54…
06-02 14:09:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	420	100¢	$418	0x77c7fa…
06-02 05:47:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	420	99¢	$418	0xbd9cff…
06-01 23:36:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	405	99¢	$403	0x28db4a…
06-01 16:31:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	53¢	$72	0x376adf…
06-01 16:31:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	53¢	$30	0x28088b…
06-01 16:31:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x888a56…
06-01 16:31:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	53¢	$213	0xb4653a…
06-01 13:28:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x1cfd77…
06-01 13:12:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x34f8a7…
06-01 13:11:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	125	6¢	$7	0xef8796…
06-01 13:09:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	72¢	$71	0x5fafd4…
06-01 13:09:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x9e5f57…
06-01 13:09:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	72¢	$67	0x1d6564…
06-01 12:41:52	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	148	1¢	$1	0x43013f…
06-01 12:36:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7773a1…
06-01 12:34:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x3d1ca1…
06-01 12:22:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x360c6c…
06-01 12:21:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xff20dd…
06-01 12:21:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x214192…
06-01 12:21:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x10dd9b…
06-01 11:42:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	6¢	$7	0xb05c03…
06-01 11:37:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	148	53¢	$78	0xd33516…
06-01 05:24:15	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	SELL	101	85¢	$86	0x2872e5…
06-01 05:19:27	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x4c6146…
05-31 21:04:40	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab62cc…
05-31 21:04:34	Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa15f11…
05-31 21:04:29	Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6eca53…
05-31 21:04:20	Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x053e2c…
05-31 21:04:17	Will Trump say "CIA" this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x58c643…
05-31 21:04:10	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7bea6a…
05-31 21:04:05	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xab93cd…
05-31 21:03:58	Will Trump say "Damn" this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0dce0b…
05-31 21:03:42	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	101	90¢	$91	0xe092c0…
05-31 21:02:32	Will Trump say "Uber" this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c6537…
05-31 21:02:25	Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92912c…
05-31 21:01:55	Will Trump say "Trump Coin" or "Trump Meme" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9eb603…
05-31 21:01:48	Will Trump say "Trump Card" or "Trump Gold Card" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4d67e…
05-31 21:01:43	Will Trump say "Trump Plan" in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6dc2b7…