Paltry-Hugger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.2%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-14 21:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-16

Politics

36% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% 0% $-5

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	14	$245	64,589	28,339	+36,250	open	—	03-01 12:10
epl tot mac 2026 02 01 mac	8	$175	171	127	+44	open	—	02-01 18:03
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	11	$175	1,731	1,731	+0	open	—	03-01 12:10
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	8	$143	687	399	+288	open	—	02-15 08:53
epl tot mac 2026 02 01 draw	4	$76	225	225	+0	open	—	02-01 18:01
epl che wes 2026 01 31 wes	8	$75	197	194	+4	open	—	01-31 19:26
epl sun bur 2026 02 02 bur	5	$74	232	179	+53	open	—	02-02 05:43
epl liv new 2026 01 31 liv	3	$62	39	39	+0	open	—	01-31 22:08
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 30 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	01-30 12:45
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	4	$36	28	28	+0	open	—	01-31 18:29
epl ast bre 2026 02 01 ast	2	$36	84	0	+84	open	—	02-01 14:00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$36	83	83	+0	open	—	01-31 19:35
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	2	$34	31	31	+0	open	—	01-29 05:22
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$34	225	225	+0	open	—	02-01 02:35
epl bre ars 2026 02 12 draw	2	$29	28	28	+0	open	—	02-12 21:47
sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	02-13 21:11
epl che wes 2026 01 31 draw	2	$22	48	48	+0	open	—	01-31 17:41
epl lee ars 2026 01 31 btts	2	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	01-31 14:16
epl tot mac 2026 02 01 tot	2	$19	53	53	+0	open	—	02-01 16:23
epl liv new 2026 01 31 btts	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	01-31 22:08
epl mac new 2026 02 21 new	1	$16	96	0	+96	open	—	02-21 19:28
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$16	1,164	1,164	+0	No	$-5	03-29 13:11
fl1 ren psg 2026 02 13 draw	2	$13	26	26	+0	open	—	02-13 19:35
will trump say beautiful 5 times during the black history month reception	3	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	02-18 20:37
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	2	$12	38	38	+0	open	—	02-21 20:43
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	3	$11	2,720	0	+2,720	Yes	$-11	05-13 20:34
spl hil ahl 2026 02 02 ahl	1	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	02-02 13:31
sea par juv 2026 02 01 par	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	02-01 19:19
lal get cel 2026 02 01 cel	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	02-01 18:39
lal bil rso 2026 02 01 rso	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	02-01 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:13:59	Will Trump say "Tiger" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x2d93ea…
05-14 21:13:51	Will Trump say "Ping-pong" or "Ping Pong" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x22ee03…
05-14 21:13:26	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0xfcb087…
05-14 10:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa955e8…
05-14 10:45:20	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x175482…
05-14 10:43:14	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc047cd…
05-14 10:42:58	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8766e9…
05-14 10:42:46	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xd60123…
05-14 10:41:59	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x4f2a5c…
05-14 10:41:41	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xb99e5e…
05-14 10:40:36	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x718002…
05-14 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf6c010…
05-13 20:34:53	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc5b3e9…
05-13 11:45:10	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9eec3a…
05-13 11:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x29df35…
05-13 11:31:54	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	1,220	0¢	$5	0x1c5c54…
03-29 21:18:18	btc updown 5m 1774818900	Up	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xbaa243…
03-29 13:11:02	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,164	0¢	$6	0xf1a025…
03-09 10:51:23	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x089985…
03-09 10:51:11	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x40a197…
03-09 10:50:43	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	915	1¢	$8	0x0e42cc…
03-01 12:10:37	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	6,250	0¢	$25	0x46463b…
03-01 12:10:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	453	7¢	$31	0xa757fb…
02-24 17:21:50	will trump say border 7 times during the 2026 state of the union address 135	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x1ecb0b…
02-24 17:20:50	will trump say cookie during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfb5dae…
02-24 17:20:06	will trump say six seven during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe708d2…
02-24 17:19:56	will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x0f2290…
02-24 17:18:36	will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd07ee6…
02-21 22:37:50	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	125	6¢	$7	0x14906d…
02-21 20:43:06	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	38	18¢	$7	0x5e1cd0…
02-21 19:28:44	epl mac new 2026 02 21 new	Yes	BUY	96	17¢	$16	0x1679ee…
02-21 04:19:48	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc35de5…
02-21 01:31:50	btc updown 5m 1771637400	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x55d89d…
02-20 22:46:00	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0x07814a…
02-20 15:44:24	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xf8b6aa…
02-20 15:43:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xfe2231…
02-19 20:06:08	btc updown 5m 1771531500	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x959c8a…
02-19 20:03:26	btc updown 5m 1771531200	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x12aed2…
02-19 20:02:46	btc updown 5m 1771531200	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x18e750…
02-19 20:00:54	btc updown 5m 1771531200	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x143798…
02-19 13:12:06	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0xbd73ad…
02-19 11:23:04	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xd1d1b6…
02-19 08:20:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	278	5¢	$15	0x466d40…
02-18 21:01:58	will trump say nato during board of peace events on february 19	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9a6b48…
02-18 21:01:46	will trump say peace or war 15 times during board of peace events on february 19	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x27c34e…
02-18 21:01:36	will trump say please or thank 20 times during board of peace events on february 19	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0d7730…
02-18 20:44:54	will trump say border during the black history month reception	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe6a55a…
02-18 20:44:32	will trump say hat or maga during the black history month reception	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x493b72…
02-18 20:37:02	will trump say beautiful 5 times during the black history month reception	Yes	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x719508…
02-18 20:04:22	will trump say tunnel during board of peace events on february 19	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x356549…
02-18 20:03:14	will trump say eight war or 8th war during board of peace events on february 19	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x366920…
02-18 20:03:06	will trump say palestine or palestinian during board of peace events on february 19	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xc557c4…
02-18 20:02:50	will trump say peace or war 15 times during board of peace events on february 19	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xfaa899…
02-18 20:02:20	will trump say eight war or 8th war during board of peace events on february 19	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x059ff2…
02-18 20:02:12	will trump say nato during board of peace events on february 19	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe3df3f…
02-18 19:59:56	will trump say iran or israel or gaza 10 times during board of peace events on february 19	No	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x839ecd…
02-18 19:59:14	will trump say please or thank 20 times during board of peace events on february 19	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xae3b3f…
02-18 19:58:54	will trump say iran or israel or gaza 10 times during board of peace events on february 19	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1fc4a2…
02-18 18:35:34	will trump say beautiful 5 times during the black history month reception	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0ea4de…
02-18 18:02:40	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the black history month reception	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x807a05…
02-18 18:02:30	will trump say hat or maga during the black history month reception	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd7133f…
02-18 18:01:44	will trump say blm or black lives matter during the black history month reception	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe39c24…
02-18 18:00:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	600	6¢	$34	0x9d984c…
02-18 16:48:58	will trump say jesse or jackson during the black history month reception	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x31aa00…
02-18 16:42:40	will trump say voterid or voter id during the black history month reception	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xac50e1…
02-18 16:42:24	will trump say blm or black lives matter during the black history month reception	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xef9023…
02-18 16:41:28	will trump say border during the black history month reception	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x604181…
02-18 16:41:00	will trump say beautiful 5 times during the black history month reception	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc8b986…
02-17 21:01:51	ucl asm1 psg 2026 02 17 asm1	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa0fd33…
02-17 13:19:03	btc updown 5m 1771334100	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaddcea…
02-16 20:05:59	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 draw	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4c9f37…
02-16 17:25:49	btc updown 5m 1771262700	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xeecd89…
02-16 11:10:33	btc updown 5m 1771240200	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x49e5f0…
02-15 17:52:35	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$16	0xbb331a…
02-15 15:30:41	btc updown 5m 1771169400	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x79348d…
02-15 14:41:11	lal ovi bil 2026 02 15 draw	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x150a10…
02-15 13:33:53	btc updown 5m 1771162200	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf70405…
02-15 13:29:45	btc updown 5m 1771161900	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb0e4c3…
02-15 13:26:25	btc updown 5m 1771161900	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x99592e…
02-15 12:25:57	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$60	0x4407d0…
02-15 12:25:29	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	28,339	0¢	$57	0xd6863d…
02-15 08:53:45	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x05ff56…
02-15 00:49:45	btc updown 5m 1771116300	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7e0d94…
02-15 00:42:39	btc updown 5m 1771116000	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4ed1ed…
02-14 20:40:07	sea int juv 2026 02 14 juv	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x66307e…
02-14 19:56:55	sea int juv 2026 02 14 juv	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6ad101…
02-14 19:42:43	btc updown 5m 1771098000	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9e79b2…
02-14 19:30:27	btc updown 5m 1771097400	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4114d6…
02-14 19:13:47	efa ast new 2026 02 14 ast	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x0f9167…
02-14 19:11:19	efa ast new 2026 02 14 draw	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x16e7da…
02-14 18:23:55	efa ast new 2026 02 14 draw	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x1d80d8…
02-14 18:04:01	btc updown 5m 1771092000	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd90066…
02-14 17:54:17	btc updown 5m 1771091400	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xebdbb1…
02-14 17:45:17	btc updown 5m 1771091100	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3f12ce…
02-14 17:39:43	btc updown 5m 1771090500	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x4b4feb…
02-14 17:37:15	btc updown 5m 1771090500	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb9299b…
02-14 17:30:31	btc updown 5m 1771090200	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4d0455…
02-14 16:26:55	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x45e1b2…
02-13 21:11:51	sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	Yes	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0xbf679d…
02-13 19:35:53	fl1 ren psg 2026 02 13 draw	Yes	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x796482…