Jumbo-Deployment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$359

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-25 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 79% $-1

Other

17% 95% +$9

Sports

5% 100% +$5

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$32	23	16	+7	Up	+$3	05-07 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$23	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	8	$19	18	11	+8	open	—	05-18 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$15	15	3	+12	Down	$-9	05-11 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	05-05 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-17 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	5	$6	6	4	+1	open	—	05-17 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-07 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-07 14:15
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	1	$5	6	0	+6	Chicago White Sox	+$1	05-13 01:14
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$5	6	0	+6	FaZe	+$1	05-12 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-11 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$5	6	2	+5	open	—	05-15 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 12:32
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$4	5	0	+5	TheMongolz	+$1	05-09 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-17 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 12:05
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$3	4	0	+4	Spurs	+$1	05-12 18:18
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 12:14
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	1	$3	4	0	+4	Chinggis Warriors	+$1	05-13 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 15:34:44	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4480eb…
05-18 15:39:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x29d268…
05-18 14:31:04	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6d6f39…
05-18 14:31:00	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe3717a…
05-18 14:30:58	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xec7236…
05-18 14:30:34	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc08a9c…
05-18 14:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2f3cf7…
05-18 14:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf23c27…
05-18 14:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x19ee6e…
05-18 14:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7d1ddf…
05-18 14:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd0cd7d…
05-18 14:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x04a21d…
05-18 14:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x8a4940…
05-18 14:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5f3271…
05-18 14:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc5aa8c…
05-18 14:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb091b5…
05-18 14:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4c60d9…
05-18 14:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xbab396…
05-18 13:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x9fa711…
05-17 14:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x067ce4…
05-17 14:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbbb2d1…
05-17 14:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x744128…
05-17 12:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x9198e5…
05-17 12:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x91f383…
05-17 12:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x312fbc…
05-17 12:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6b876a…
05-17 12:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xc318b2…
05-17 12:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4d9ef9…
05-17 12:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x0ce7db…
05-17 12:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9a6582…
05-17 12:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x436dc1…
05-17 10:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xed25e6…
05-17 10:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9e5f2b…
05-17 10:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf8c8d9…
05-15 12:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x04c532…
05-15 12:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe94bb4…
05-15 12:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc64370…
05-15 12:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc41c87…
05-15 12:14:20	Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Aurora	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x2eb9d7…
05-15 12:13:49	Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x432ca1…
05-15 03:47:27	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x751027…
05-14 19:40:10	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9b61ba…
05-14 19:38:39	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5afc88…
05-14 17:41:15	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd36889…
05-14 17:40:49	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf7a2f8…
05-14 17:40:42	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd044dc…
05-14 13:47:22	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x96727a…
05-14 13:46:41	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3d3167…
05-14 13:46:12	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x60a978…
05-14 12:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x31465d…
05-14 12:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x188f66…
05-14 12:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1b9aba…
05-14 12:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x23a325…
05-14 12:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x65278a…
05-14 12:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0x4c93af…
05-14 12:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3453d7…
05-14 12:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x65d22d…
05-14 12:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x4ac0a3…
05-14 12:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9786ab…
05-14 12:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x8a10ab…
05-14 12:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa06203…
05-14 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1d15f9…
05-14 12:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x99957c…
05-14 11:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x0d6c15…
05-14 10:28:06	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe293f2…
05-13 18:53:37	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 13?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1786c8…
05-13 14:42:42	Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquet	Diane Parry	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x622922…
05-13 13:44:55	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8818ac…
05-13 11:40:39	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xac3a40…
05-13 11:39:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd4952d…
05-13 02:52:17	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xabd09e…
05-13 02:51:04	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xeb892e…
05-13 02:26:41	Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	Chinggis Warriors	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc7b25c…
05-13 01:14:59	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf360f7…
05-12 18:48:34	Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Lavked	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x84ef46…
05-12 18:41:48	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xab4b92…
05-12 18:18:21	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x41819b…
05-12 18:16:36	Valorant: Pcific Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1	GIANTX	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x242c7d…
05-12 16:30:08	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FaZe	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd8c219…
05-12 05:24:00	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	JiJieHao	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7d7986…
05-11 18:43:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x828ec3…
05-11 18:38:34	Counter-Strike: Galorys vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage	Galorys	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa2e8e6…
05-11 18:21:50	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x101831…
05-11 18:20:05	LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	Estral Esports	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x37b45c…
05-11 18:18:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe8d683…
05-11 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4ffcc6…
05-11 13:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x43eb72…
05-11 13:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x503bb7…
05-11 13:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x7dd8c2…
05-11 13:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x63f8a3…
05-10 15:26:24	Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc043aa…
05-10 15:23:55	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb96e59…
05-09 07:19:55	LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6e50d2…
05-09 07:19:39	LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb52c5f…
05-09 01:02:39	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe46a95…
05-09 01:02:39	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x263c6f…
05-08 14:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xff2b9d…
05-08 14:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcaffa3…
05-08 14:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x25adbd…
05-08 14:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb3c130…