Uncomfortable-Thrift-Steamroller — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$265

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-18 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 37% -$202

Other

2% 10% -$26

Politics

2% 0% -$36

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	5	$191	297	272	+25	Down	+$145	05-15 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	8	$136	90	77	+13	Up	+$14	05-15 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	15	$121	771	0	+771	Up	-$121	05-15 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	5	$87	193	169	+24	Down	+$7	05-15 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	33	$78	155	55	+100	Up	+$18	05-15 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	10	$73	102	0	+102	Up	-$73	05-15 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	15	$59	286	34	+251	Down	+$5	05-15 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	5	$56	166	26	+140	Down	-$6	05-15 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	10	$51	69	40	+30	Down	+$13	05-15 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	8	$50	42	42	+0	Up	+$34	05-15 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	10	$47	73	0	+73	Down	+$26	05-15 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$40	371	0	+371	Up	-$40	05-15 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$40	1,244	0	+1,244	Down	-$40	05-15 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	4	$40	64	0	+64	Up	-$40	05-15 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	10	$37	61	20	+40	Down	+$1	05-15 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	9	$34	101	17	+84	Down	+$0	05-15 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	7	$33	42	42	+0	Up	-$17	05-15 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$30	422	0	+422	Up	-$30	05-15 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$23	144	0	+144	Up	-$23	05-15 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	11	$21	17	11	+6	Down	+$1	05-15 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$21	111	0	+111	Down	-$21	05-18 20:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$20	34	0	+34	Up	+$14	05-15 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	8	$19	12	12	+0	Down	+$5	05-15 04:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	2	$15	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$5	05-15 04:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	2	$15	47	47	+0	No	-$3	05-15 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$13	69	0	+69	Up	-$13	05-15 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$13	31	0	+31	Down	+$16	05-18 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	10	$13	51	0	+51	Down	-$13	05-15 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$12	37	0	+37	Down	-$12	05-18 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	5	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-15 04:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 20:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x13a0ec…
05-18 20:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcefe18…
05-18 20:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x721882…
05-18 20:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xf891dd…
05-18 20:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9936dd…
05-18 20:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9a0a57…
05-18 20:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x54246c…
05-18 20:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3aac53…
05-18 20:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9db636…
05-18 01:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0bdbac…
05-18 01:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xebd8c8…
05-18 01:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe8ea3a…
05-18 01:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xad34aa…
05-18 01:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8551e5…
05-17 09:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb08ceb…
05-17 09:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3a1ad2…
05-17 09:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcf4f4b…
05-17 09:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7e141e…
05-17 09:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x641aa8…
05-17 09:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0eb248…
05-17 09:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x429433…
05-17 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0xa36ae8…
05-16 06:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa274de…
05-15 06:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb49c67…
05-15 06:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9aa434…
05-15 06:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x7b0889…
05-15 06:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x77ef60…
05-15 06:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0x623697…
05-15 06:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x4c8a8e…
05-15 06:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x606af3…
05-15 06:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x11e41c…
05-15 06:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	19¢	$7	0x08f1eb…
05-15 06:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xebf9a2…
05-15 06:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2fd10b…
05-15 06:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x8e6ede…
05-15 06:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x408675…
05-15 06:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xe1fd19…
05-15 06:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0a89fb…
05-15 06:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xfa0b8b…
05-15 06:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	113	9¢	$10	0x298891…
05-15 06:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x0ec54c…
05-15 06:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xfbba6d…
05-15 06:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	169	28¢	$47	0x3e799e…
05-15 06:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x7152e4…
05-15 06:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0x892599…
05-15 06:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf013ff…
05-15 06:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xaf64b7…
05-15 06:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9443dd…
05-15 06:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xc98242…
05-15 06:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xc89370…
05-15 06:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3e3fe4…
05-15 06:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x46b1d1…
05-15 06:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x034b6f…
05-15 06:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	137	7¢	$10	0x7ddcf2…
05-15 06:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x45f773…
05-15 06:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3f767d…
05-15 06:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	272	62¢	$168	0xf711d3…
05-15 06:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x0ed4f8…
05-15 06:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0x61f4ef…
05-15 06:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x73dd85…
05-15 06:16:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xf11781…
05-15 06:16:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xe0d143…
05-15 06:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xbef8cd…
05-15 06:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x831f36…
05-15 06:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x61d3cd…
05-15 06:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	812	1¢	$5	0xb0130c…
05-15 06:08:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	554	1¢	$4	0xb0caaf…
05-15 06:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x958843…
05-15 06:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x079687…
05-15 06:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x787cc3…
05-15 06:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x442e3d…
05-15 06:03:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb9e92a…
05-15 06:03:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x5025ee…
05-15 06:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x970ae7…
05-15 06:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfa15ed…
05-15 05:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc880db…
05-15 05:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb531e9…
05-15 05:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x1e15b8…
05-15 05:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xea178a…
05-15 05:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xde71e5…
05-15 05:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5d2084…
05-15 05:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x3c9523…
05-15 05:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x84bc97…
05-15 05:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x7e7bae…
05-15 05:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x6a2273…
05-15 05:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5764ec…
05-15 05:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf31624…
05-15 05:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe27dfe…
05-15 05:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc68308…
05-15 05:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7627ca…
05-15 05:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5c15f6…
05-15 05:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x8634b3…
05-15 05:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0xe7c6d4…
05-15 05:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x833c94…
05-15 05:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x32e8ca…
05-15 05:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x74bebc…
05-15 05:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x932a9c…
05-15 05:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3cbf45…
05-15 05:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98e593…
05-15 05:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x6081de…