Broken-Colonisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

Trades

373

lifetime

Volume

$7.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-29 23:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

58% 33% +$53

Crypto

17% 50% $-4

Politics

17% 100% +$46

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
James Comey arrested by April 30?	48	$1.2K	1,305	1,305	+0	open	—	04-29 18:50
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$726	400	400	+0	open	—	04-28 14:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	6	$654	600	600	+0	No	+$46	05-05 06:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 27 2026?	13	$441	421	421	+0	open	—	04-29 19:53
James Comey arrested by May 15?	7	$373	391	391	+0	open	—	04-29 14:00
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	26	$265	230	230	+0	open	—	05-20 07:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	11	$227	221	221	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 10:05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	10	$226	227	227	+0	open	—	04-30 07:00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	5	$216	150	250	-100	Down	+$54	05-04 08:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $108 on April 30?	7	$205	205	205	+0	open	—	04-30 08:54
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	5	$202	104	204	-100	open	—	04-30 10:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 1?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 20:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on April 30?	3	$151	100	200	-100	open	—	04-30 10:06
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	4	$100	500	500	+0	open	—	04-28 10:14
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 3?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	05-04 01:52
will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	06-12 21:31
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	05-02 01:18
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	4	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 17:16
will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	06-12 19:44
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	8	$81	56	56	+0	open	—	05-16 19:12
will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	6	$76	88	88	+0	open	—	06-21 07:16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	4	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 06:49
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$69	60	60	+0	open	—	05-16 19:37
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$64	51	51	+0	open	—	06-09 20:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	2	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 07:13
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	2	$60	250	250	+0	open	—	04-28 16:12
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in May?	2	$52	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 07:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 3?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-03 14:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	4	$45	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 08:11
will the announcers say visa during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729502	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	06-22 22:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 23:26:55	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	37	52¢	$19	0xb5410e…
06-29 23:24:07	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xac3619…
06-29 23:19:53	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xaf39c1…
06-29 23:16:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x0b4be4…
06-29 22:50:02	will ansem reach 1pt5 before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x6681cd…
06-29 22:48:47	will ansem reach 1pt5 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x4a8702…
06-29 22:47:31	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xbbedb9…
06-29 22:46:02	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x9b2705…
06-29 22:32:11	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the germany vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260629141841628	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x38d219…
06-29 22:28:29	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the germany vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260629141841628	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x1602d4…
06-29 22:27:11	will the announcers say in the middle during the germany vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260629141841626	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x648611…
06-29 21:40:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xbba32b…
06-29 21:38:46	will the announcers say set piece 5 times during brazil vs japan 20260628222111468	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x719422…
06-28 19:57:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd74f0d…
06-27 19:48:58	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt2b	Yes	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x31c006…
06-27 19:48:05	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	No	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x5e634e…
06-27 19:47:35	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x83d1bf…
06-27 19:47:32	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	No	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x18e7b7…
06-27 19:42:46	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt2b	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x723685…
06-27 19:42:46	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x61e8ff…
06-27 19:38:05	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x28a24a…
06-27 19:37:47	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x4adda2…
06-23 13:23:19	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xc74ca3…
06-23 08:30:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x880eb3…
06-23 08:30:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc9aced…
06-23 08:29:34	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xa79cb8…
06-23 08:28:05	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x403817…
06-22 22:39:25	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548689	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xbf8573…
06-22 22:23:50	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548689	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xa90f61…
06-22 22:16:47	will the announcers say visa during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729502	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xa2d016…
06-22 22:16:17	will the announcers say visa during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729502	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xf0c938…
06-22 22:16:17	will the announcers say visa during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729502	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xa834a7…
06-22 22:15:55	will the announcers say visa during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729502	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xd044c3…
06-22 22:15:14	will the announcers say visa during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729502	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x7a6746…
06-21 07:23:58	will bilibili gaming golden road in 2026 20260619191254883	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xf1a0f1…
06-21 07:18:55	will bilibili gaming golden road in 2026 20260619191254883	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xb21dc1…
06-21 07:16:16	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x792562…
06-21 07:12:56	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x39ac27…
06-17 18:57:17	will warsh say inflation 60 times during june press conference 20260608181156647	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9cb63e…
06-17 18:54:43	will warsh say inflation 60 times during june press conference 20260608181156647	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xeb9652…
06-17 18:51:22	will warsh say inflation 60 times during june press conference 20260608181156647	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x407567…
06-17 17:17:22	will wti dip to 70 by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x15ffde…
06-17 17:15:59	will wti dip to 70 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x52ef32…
06-13 06:58:43	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0xf6161c…
06-13 06:52:03	diogo dalot 20260609175357517	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x7acc94…
06-13 06:50:58	diogo dalot 20260609175357517	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xa32c62…
06-13 06:50:51	diogo dalot 20260609175357517	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x0d380d…
06-13 06:50:01	diogo dalot 20260609175357517	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xde0938…
06-13 06:49:42	diogo dalot 20260609175357517	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb229ec…
06-13 06:34:37	Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x777d30…
06-13 06:34:12	Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8d2762…
06-13 06:12:48	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xc35458…
06-12 21:44:42	Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x6923ae…
06-12 21:42:25	Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xf90365…
06-12 21:39:03	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf1d279…
06-12 21:31:49	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0xc07cea…
06-12 21:29:25	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x262b04…
06-12 21:08:00	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	No	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x0e1a7b…
06-12 21:06:36	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	No	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x3f9727…
06-12 20:56:39	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955329	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4fe358…
06-12 20:41:34	will the announcers say trump during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955332	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xe6656d…
06-12 20:40:48	will the announcers say trump during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955332	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x95e448…
06-12 20:37:25	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x2443fc…
06-12 20:36:25	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x699f16…
06-12 19:44:36	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xe8cd0a…
06-12 19:42:51	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xce61b4…
06-12 17:38:24	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x3e3f7b…
06-12 17:38:19	will ismala sarr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x3e590d…
06-12 17:38:03	will ibrahim sangar score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xe434d1…
06-12 17:37:52	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x157896…
06-12 16:29:04	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x0bac06…
06-09 21:34:57	will ismala sarr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcc8549…
06-09 21:24:42	will ibrahim sangar score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x986396…
06-09 20:51:31	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x48d809…
06-09 20:50:34	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcbb142…
06-09 20:30:34	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3e88b9…
06-09 20:24:01	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	51	62¢	$32	0x8201e6…
06-09 20:18:57	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0x570668…
06-03 21:21:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x26d956…
06-03 21:20:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	0¢	$1	0xc95425…
05-22 11:04:18	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa1e21b…
05-21 17:13:11	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x68e9f9…
05-21 17:11:14	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x58d0d9…
05-21 16:08:42	Will Trump say "AOC" or "Ocasio-Cortez" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xf278de…
05-21 15:51:26	Will Trump say "AOC" or "Ocasio-Cortez" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x9b2153…
05-21 15:45:57	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xe29ee4…
05-21 15:45:50	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x02bbac…
05-21 15:45:24	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x742b9b…
05-21 15:44:52	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xcc6759…
05-21 10:20:06	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x6ff4d3…
05-21 10:18:56	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9cb05c…
05-21 10:18:42	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x19b6ac…
05-21 10:18:21	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x948ca6…
05-21 08:00:24	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winner	Lynn Vision	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x067d30…
05-21 07:55:16	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winner	Lynn Vision	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x88c752…
05-21 07:30:49	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 Winner	Lynn Vision	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc21c6b…
05-20 11:46:43	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe673c3…
05-20 11:44:38	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 1 Winner	M80	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa9b51b…
05-20 11:43:35	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 1 Winner	M80	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6670ff…
05-20 07:31:46	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xe54cd0…