Yellow-Inequality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.98K

Unrealized P&L

+$402

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

1,207

Trades

4,410

lifetime

Volume

$612.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

$4.92K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Politics

56% 76% +$3,258

Other

30% 49% -$994

Sports

9% 47% +$440

Crypto

4% 62% +$258

Tech

1% 100% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+1,503	$1,378	97¢	$1.5K	+$85	10-29 17:51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+1,190	$1,027	94¢	$1.1K	+$86	10-29 17:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+1,215	$999	85¢	$1.0K	+$39	07-09 16:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+1,000	$843	82¢	$825	-$18	10-12 16:23
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-500	-$695	97¢	$-485	+$210	10-29 17:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$36.9K	18,496	18,496	-0	Yes	+$47	04-08 18:45
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	7	$21.5K	13,537	8,003	+5,534	Yes	+$25	06-07 22:09
italy nordio reform referendum passes	32	$19.9K	10,399	10,313	+86	No	-$85	03-23 16:17
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	38	$17.8K	11,000	7,000	+4,000	Yes	-$100	04-30 21:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	15	$17.7K	17,900	500	+17,400	No	+$199	06-02 22:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	25	$16.9K	11,173	7,130	+4,043	Yes	+$206	04-09 16:28
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	8	$13.1K	6,577	6,577	+0	No	+$7	04-16 22:55
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	21	$12.9K	8,241	5,714	+2,527	No	+$17	04-30 22:10
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	3	$11.0K	5,491	5,491	+0	Yes	-$1	05-13 13:21
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	16	$10.1K	5,086	5,086	+0	Yes	+$18	05-11 19:58
will trump say heritage or culture during taoiseach events	3	$9.7K	4,867	4,867	+0	Yes	+$5	03-17 18:34
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	7	$9.1K	5,821	3,321	+2,500	Yes	+$12	05-03 13:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$8.2K	4,213	4,213	+0	No	+$31	05-20 00:11
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$8.1K	8,068	10	+8,058	No	+$8	07-06 21:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	9	$7.8K	5,581	4,082	+1,500	No	+$45	05-30 01:37
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	3	$7.1K	4,866	2,250	+2,616	Yes	+$28	02-01 03:45
will trump say transgender this week april 19	2	$7.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	+$0	04-15 15:12
will trump say nato or friend or ally 7 times during events with japanese pm	25	$7.0K	6,754	755	+5,999	Yes	+$156	03-20 00:51
iran closes its airspace by june 8	5	$6.3K	5,430	856	+4,574	Yes	+$19	06-07 23:04
Will Marco Rubio say "Regime" or "Administration" 5+ times during press briefing today?	12	$6.0K	4,952	1,250	+3,701	Yes	+$201	05-05 20:09
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$3	05-29 03:02
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$5.7K	5,000	750	+4,250	Yes	+$9	07-09 22:44
will trump say six seven this week february 1	9	$5.4K	2,714	2,714	+0	Yes	+$25	01-29 20:17
will trump say transgender this week february 8	4	$5.2K	5,239	0	+5,239	Yes	+$6	02-05 16:43
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	6	$5.1K	2,556	2,556	+0	Yes	+$4	05-13 11:51
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$4.6K	3,177	1,674	+1,503	open	—	10-29 17:51
will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 22	14	$4.3K	4,310	0	+4,310	Yes	+$18	03-16 23:20
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	1	$4.2K	4,222	0	+4,222	Yes	+$4	02-04 02:27
will trump say terrible or horrible during the announcement on thursday	9	$4.2K	2,087	2,087	-0	Yes	+$1	01-29 23:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$4.2K	2,143	2,143	+0	Yes	-$39	02-28 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:56:40	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	810	93¢	$753	0x03eee0…
10-29 17:53:08	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,900	97¢	$1,845	0x45c8dc…
10-29 17:51:10	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,674	97¢	$1,623	0x78676b…
10-20 00:31:42	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xb05182…
10-12 16:23:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	218	82¢	$179	0xefeda3…
10-08 20:42:30	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	1,935	0¢	$4	0x433592…
10-08 18:27:18	Will anyone say "Blind" during Big Brother E36?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x8a405d…
10-08 15:55:44	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	762	0¢	$2	0x13b236…
10-08 15:41:14	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	1,173	0¢	$2	0x51551e…
10-07 23:10:10	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	565	7¢	$38	0xee071f…
10-07 00:21:06	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6b5b64…
10-07 00:18:47	Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x61785f…
10-07 00:04:07	Will Trump say "Hyundai" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf17606…
10-06 23:59:46	Will Trump say "Hyundai" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x6235c0…
10-06 23:55:17	Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfffb3b…
10-06 23:47:14	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x858f81…
10-06 23:47:11	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x352461…
10-06 23:47:07	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xefdc23…
10-06 23:45:32	Will Trump say "Wind" or "Scam" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9ecbf4…
10-06 23:45:32	Will Trump say "Wind" or "Scam" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x4a13e2…
10-06 23:45:31	Will Trump say "Wind" or "Scam" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x39dd02…
10-06 23:44:10	Will Trump say "Hyundai" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfab751…
10-06 23:44:04	Will Trump say "Hyundai" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3f1047…
10-06 23:42:25	Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8f6193…
10-06 23:42:19	Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0483c0…
10-06 23:41:56	Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x38ae90…
10-06 23:40:11	Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x08f49c…
10-06 23:27:08	Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xede758…
10-06 23:18:52	Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2f0dc4…
10-06 23:18:47	Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x219b4a…
10-06 23:18:44	Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe3087a…
10-06 22:49:17	Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x496d12…
10-06 21:09:38	Will Trump say "Fury" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x342585…
10-06 21:04:54	Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x5549d5…
10-06 21:04:53	Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x998bb7…
10-06 21:04:51	Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x98103d…
10-06 21:04:27	Will Trump say "Fury" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x004dfe…
10-06 21:00:20	Will Trump say "Fury" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9b73b8…
10-06 21:00:18	Will Trump say "Fury" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x14fe0a…
10-06 21:00:17	Will Trump say "Fury" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2133e6…
10-06 20:59:56	Will Trump say "Merit" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	605	0¢	$1	0x385bd1…
10-06 20:59:38	Will Trump say "National Security" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x0fbf59…
10-06 20:58:45	Will Trump say "National Security" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7981f4…
10-06 20:58:44	Will Trump say "National Security" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xf7e459…
10-06 20:58:42	Will Trump say "National Security" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x66761d…
10-06 20:56:36	Will Trump say "Merit" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb60815…
10-06 20:56:30	Will Trump say "Merit" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xa7a383…
10-06 20:56:29	Will Trump say "Merit" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x05f949…
10-06 20:49:59	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc8e6cf…
10-06 20:48:48	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x5fd240…
10-06 20:48:47	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x933ef5…
10-06 20:48:45	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa4197d…
10-06 00:25:23	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	560	0¢	$1	0xb0aa11…
10-05 23:38:31	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8aab96…
10-02 22:29:23	Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	780	100¢	$779	0xa3fee7…
10-02 22:28:21	Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9390a6…
10-02 22:07:42	Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	830	93¢	$772	0x5d81ea…
10-01 18:23:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	680	0¢	$1	0xc74026…
10-01 18:22:48	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xaa13eb…
10-01 18:22:47	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	564	0¢	$1	0x0d023c…
10-01 18:22:06	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	869	100¢	$868	0xe9062f…
09-28 20:45:48	Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?	Yes	BUY	472	99¢	$466	0xfbacac…
09-28 19:08:02	will trump say si during his announcement september 28	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x0cfcc5…
09-28 19:08:00	will trump say ai during his announcement september 28	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0xae6a5f…
09-24 11:06:21	Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E36?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x0bdd9d…
09-24 11:01:36	Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E36?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xf13f11…
09-24 10:36:06	Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E36?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xadb33b…
09-24 10:36:06	Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E36?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x91d018…
09-24 10:36:06	Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E36?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5f3596…
09-24 10:36:03	Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E36?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x650cd2…
09-24 02:20:54	Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E36?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x799ddd…
09-23 01:44:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	782	85¢	$664	0x02c12b…
09-22 21:00:46	Will Trump say "Cook" or "Cooked" this week?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x036204…
09-20 22:55:47	Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?	Yes	SELL	300	19¢	$57	0x1450b4…
09-20 21:46:47	Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x03e725…
09-20 01:55:10	Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x869cac…
09-17 00:33:04	Will Trump say "Crazy" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf65338…
09-17 00:32:37	will trump say save america act remarks in north carolina	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x484149…
09-17 00:32:30	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0cb564…
09-17 00:24:37	will trump say million 20 times remarks in north carolina	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x814e29…
09-17 00:24:03	Will Trump say "Egg" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd113d3…
09-17 00:17:07	Will Trump say "Crazy" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x20b1dd…
09-17 00:09:40	Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x29b529…
09-17 00:09:34	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9b0145…
09-16 23:57:31	Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" this week?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8aee7a…
09-16 19:01:24	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x750f17…
09-16 18:59:58	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	18	70¢	$12	0x2f5a45…
09-16 18:59:45	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x13725e…
09-16 18:58:24	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x384b03…
09-16 18:57:57	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	235	99¢	$232	0xe5444a…
09-16 18:36:07	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	346	99¢	$342	0xaa9360…
09-15 06:17:46	Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Cowboys vs Giants game?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd4a151…
09-10 21:22:40	Will Oracle say "Security" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa4c54b…
09-10 21:22:04	Will Oracle say "Health" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x104e63…
09-10 21:20:51	Will Oracle say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3d3254…
09-05 16:07:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	50¢	$26	0xbe3593…
09-05 16:05:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3791bc…
09-05 16:04:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	460	50¢	$230	0x420742…
09-05 15:35:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xea1974…
09-05 15:13:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x863bdf…