Yellow-Inequality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$601

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

Trades

4,108

lifetime

Volume

$570.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

$3.09K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

58% 81% +$219

Other

28% 24% +$400

Sports

10% 0% $-19

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+2,177	$2,055	95¢	$2.1K	+$14	07-11 19:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+1,048	$933	90¢	$938	+$5	07-16 05:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+79	$75	99¢	$78	+$3	07-09 15:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$36.9K	18,496	18,496	-0	open	—	04-08 18:45
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	7	$21.5K	13,537	8,003	+5,534	open	—	06-07 22:09
italy nordio reform referendum passes	32	$19.9K	10,399	10,313	+86	open	—	03-23 16:17
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	38	$17.8K	11,000	7,000	+4,000	open	—	04-30 21:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	15	$17.7K	17,900	500	+17,400	open	—	06-02 22:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	25	$16.9K	11,173	7,130	+4,043	open	—	04-09 16:28
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	8	$13.1K	6,577	6,577	+0	open	—	04-16 22:55
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	21	$12.9K	8,241	5,714	+2,527	open	—	04-30 22:10
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	3	$11.0K	5,491	5,491	+0	Yes	$-1	05-13 13:21
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	16	$10.1K	5,086	5,086	+0	Yes	+$18	05-11 19:58
will trump say heritage or culture during taoiseach events	3	$9.7K	4,867	4,867	+0	open	—	03-17 18:34
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	7	$9.1K	5,821	3,321	+2,500	Yes	+$12	05-03 13:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$8.2K	4,213	4,213	+0	open	—	05-20 00:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	9	$7.8K	5,581	4,082	+1,500	open	—	05-30 01:37
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	3	$7.1K	4,866	2,250	+2,616	open	—	02-01 03:45
will trump say transgender this week april 19	2	$7.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	04-15 15:12
will trump say nato or friend or ally 7 times during events with japanese pm	25	$7.0K	6,754	755	+5,999	open	—	03-20 00:51
iran closes its airspace by june 8	5	$6.3K	5,430	856	+4,574	open	—	06-07 23:04
Will Marco Rubio say "Regime" or "Administration" 5+ times during press briefing today?	12	$6.0K	4,952	1,250	+3,701	Yes	+$201	05-05 20:09
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-29 03:02
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$5.7K	5,000	750	+4,250	open	—	07-09 22:44
will trump say six seven this week february 1	9	$5.4K	2,714	2,714	+0	open	—	01-29 20:17
will trump say transgender this week february 8	4	$5.2K	5,239	0	+5,239	open	—	02-05 16:43
will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 22	14	$4.3K	4,310	0	+4,310	open	—	03-16 23:20
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	1	$4.2K	4,222	0	+4,222	open	—	02-04 02:27
will trump say terrible or horrible during the announcement on thursday	9	$4.2K	2,087	2,087	-0	open	—	01-29 23:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$4.2K	2,143	2,143	+0	open	—	02-28 22:11
will the super bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds 745	5	$4.1K	2,089	2,089	-0	open	—	02-08 23:50
will trump say kid or child 10 times during remarks on january 28	19	$3.8K	1,876	1,965	-89	open	—	01-28 19:28
Will Marco Rubio say "Congress" during press briefing today?	4	$3.8K	1,933	1,933	+0	Yes	+$100	05-05 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 16:20:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x709dfb…
07-16 22:58:19	will netflix say squid game during earnings call 20260709145309026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x607ca9…
07-16 22:58:19	will netflix say squid game during earnings call 20260709145309026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x21754f…
07-16 22:56:02	will netflix say squid game during earnings call 20260709145309026	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0xe45925…
07-16 19:07:08	will leavitt say administration 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953929 373	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x998ea5…
07-16 18:43:23	will leavitt say commander in chief during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953942 837	Yes	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0xd1f192…
07-16 18:27:34	will leavitt say commander in chief during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953942 837	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x1d6887…
07-16 18:25:59	will leavitt say administration 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953929 373	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6db4de…
07-16 17:59:31	will leavitt say president 20 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953927	Yes	SELL	324	100¢	$324	0xec52ab…
07-16 17:50:59	will leavitt say president 20 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953927	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4b6f93…
07-16 17:50:53	will leavitt say administration 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953929 373	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xbd03a4…
07-16 17:43:53	will leavitt say president 20 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953927	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3e06e7…
07-16 17:41:08	will leavitt say president 30 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953928	Yes	SELL	261	100¢	$260	0xfc8596…
07-16 17:40:38	will leavitt say president 20 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953927	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x8a9b88…
07-16 17:40:34	will leavitt say president 30 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953928	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x2f1057…
07-16 17:40:26	will leavitt say president 30 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953928	Yes	BUY	241	99¢	$239	0x93dc31…
07-16 17:29:04	will leavitt say president 20 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953927	Yes	BUY	630	99¢	$620	0xbf43c0…
07-16 09:50:56	will futuro nazionale get at least 3 of the vote in the next italian general elections 20260609164706854	Yes	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0xc59d35…
07-16 05:09:43	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0xc52c9f…
07-15 22:55:53	will futuro nazionale get at least 3 of the vote in the next italian general elections 20260609164706854	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x7c0fda…
07-15 22:46:49	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905978	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x3efe54…
07-15 22:46:29	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905981	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x2b7040…
07-15 22:46:05	will the announcers say hand of god during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905969	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x1e12f6…
07-15 22:44:58	will the announcers say golden boot during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905977	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x8adb2e…
07-15 22:42:32	will the announcers say corner 22 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905963	Yes	BUY	720	0¢	$1	0x54bcd5…
07-15 22:41:20	will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905975	No	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x1adda1…
07-15 22:39:32	will the announcers say shot 15 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905965	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0xdde964…
07-15 22:38:38	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905971	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0x0451f8…
07-15 21:11:22	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x23478b…
07-15 19:58:13	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x78dcf6…
07-14 23:04:56	will futuro nazionale get at least 3 of the vote in the next italian general elections 20260609164706854	Yes	BUY	153	70¢	$106	0x02174e…
07-14 20:28:02	will the announcers say nutmeg or nutmegs during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716377	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x420963…
07-14 17:11:14	will bank of america say deteriorating during earnings call 20260710144833036	Yes	BUY	525	0¢	$1	0x55b7d2…
07-14 17:11:11	will bank of america say deteriorating during earnings call 20260710144833036	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9e4dd8…
07-14 17:11:11	will bank of america say deteriorating during earnings call 20260710144833036	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x95b4e1…
07-14 17:11:11	will bank of america say deteriorating during earnings call 20260710144833036	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x6bd241…
07-14 17:11:11	will bank of america say deteriorating during earnings call 20260710144833036	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x02e150…
07-14 17:11:10	will bank of america say deteriorating during earnings call 20260710144833036	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6bfc82…
07-14 17:08:59	will bank of america say disappointing during earnings call 20260710144833031	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0x7c71c0…
07-14 17:07:14	will bank of america say monetize during earnings call 20260710144833035	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0xf827c8…
07-14 17:05:53	will bank of america say gross margin during earnings call 20260710144833038	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x43a915…
07-14 17:05:53	will bank of america say gross margin during earnings call 20260710144833038	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x34daa1…
07-14 17:05:52	will bank of america say gross margin during earnings call 20260710144833038	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc43e23…
07-14 17:05:52	will bank of america say gross margin during earnings call 20260710144833038	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2bed02…
07-14 17:01:43	will jpmorgan say blockchain during earnings call 20260710145006615	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0xb5ab4c…
07-14 17:01:41	will jpmorgan say blockchain during earnings call 20260710145006615	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3f7621…
07-14 16:59:35	will jpmorgan say synergy during earnings call 20260710145006618	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcdb346…
07-14 16:59:35	will jpmorgan say synergy during earnings call 20260710145006618	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc8a57b…
07-14 16:59:35	will jpmorgan say synergy during earnings call 20260710145006618	Yes	BUY	720	0¢	$1	0x078195…
07-14 16:59:32	will jpmorgan say synergy during earnings call 20260710145006618	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd1430f…
07-14 16:57:14	will jpmorgan say monetize during earnings call 20260710145006617	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0xf48d9b…
07-14 11:43:10	will trump say patriot at freedom 250 showcase 20260713143133755	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0x9745ab…
07-14 04:39:41	will anyone say power 5 times during big brother e2 20260709220215488	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xeef63a…
07-13 21:57:05	will anyone say trust during big brother e2 20260709220215499	No	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0x8e0ae8…
07-13 21:55:16	will anyone say diary during big brother e2 20260709220215498	Yes	BUY	740	0¢	$1	0xe4240b…
07-13 21:55:14	will anyone say diary during big brother e2 20260709220215498	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc99b21…
07-13 21:55:14	will anyone say diary during big brother e2 20260709220215498	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb7a1a4…
07-13 21:54:49	will anyone say diary during big brother e2 20260709220215498	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x04f274…
07-13 21:53:28	will anyone say target during big brother e2 20260709220215497	No	BUY	747	0¢	$1	0x092cad…
07-13 21:53:26	will anyone say target during big brother e2 20260709220215497	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb48a24…
07-13 21:52:58	will anyone say power 5 times during big brother e2 20260709220215488	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfb6044…
07-13 21:11:16	will quadrakill or quadra be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915157	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0x97c8eb…
07-13 17:52:32	will fries be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915162	Yes	BUY	710	0¢	$1	0xa194a7…
07-13 17:52:32	will fries be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915162	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x560725…
07-13 17:48:08	will cinema be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915163	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8e8212…
07-13 17:48:08	will cinema be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915163	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7289c8…
07-13 17:48:08	will cinema be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915163	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0af949…
07-13 17:48:05	will cinema be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915163	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x54c38d…
07-13 17:46:14	will yuumi be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915167	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0x393bed…
07-13 17:43:41	will cross map be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915155	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x21b217…
07-13 17:43:37	will cross map be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915155	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x484bd4…
07-13 17:41:14	will mejai be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915168	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$1	0xf6c471…
07-13 17:40:37	will cross map be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915155	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xbebb27…
07-13 17:39:46	will cinema be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915163	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xf11873…
07-13 17:39:05	will cross map be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915155	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x54619c…
07-13 17:38:53	will masterclass be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915164	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x92a655…
07-13 17:38:52	will masterclass be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915164	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe1faf0…
07-13 17:38:52	will masterclass be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915164	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x50dd29…
07-13 17:37:32	will valorant be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915169	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x9d07e7…
07-13 17:35:32	will cross map be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915155	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x799eee…
07-13 17:29:44	will valorant be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915169	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8bd50a…
07-13 17:29:20	will yuumi be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915167	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x68cbc2…
07-13 17:28:53	will cinema be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915163	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x103eff…
07-13 17:28:34	will fries be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915162	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3a6cdf…
07-13 17:28:19	will quadrakill or quadra be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915157	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x21060d…
07-13 17:26:20	will valorant be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915169	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x4552d4…
07-13 17:26:04	will mejai be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915168	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x2b94db…
07-13 17:25:35	will yuumi be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915167	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x468734…
07-13 17:24:59	will cinema be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915163	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x91c713…
07-13 17:23:55	will fries be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915162	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x63c6db…
07-13 17:23:31	will quadrakill or quadra be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915157	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x0f6133…
07-13 17:23:05	will cross map be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915155	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x3db402…
07-13 17:21:02	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543758	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0x87d1b3…
07-11 19:05:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x58ebfc…
07-10 00:12:14	will the announcers say haaland during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420751	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x76c38f…
07-10 00:07:13	will the announcers say haaland during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420751	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x21746d…
07-10 00:06:08	will the announcers say haaland during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420751	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7334d8…
07-10 00:02:10	will the announcers say haaland during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420751	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa9e04a…
07-09 23:47:11	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420748	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x0b2a02…
07-09 23:43:26	will the announcers say haaland during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420751	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xab4ef2…