Entire-Dirndl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,713

lifetime

Volume

$51.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$70

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 10:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

70% 57% $-54

Other

27% 25% +$21

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No		+111	$65	64¢	$70	+$5	07-18 21:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	27	$1.6K	999	999	+0	open	—	05-15 06:04
will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	10	$1.6K	907	907	+0	open	—	03-23 19:07
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	21	$1.4K	1,114	1,114	+0	open	—	05-15 20:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	27	$1.2K	1,028	1,028	+0	open	—	02-28 19:33
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	4	$1.2K	856	400	+456	open	—	05-01 22:32
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	15	$1.1K	1,735	1,735	+0	open	—	07-07 19:31
greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	12	$1.0K	1,250	569	+682	open	—	07-16 12:28
will trump say kevin or warsh during fed chair announcement	21	$986	616	616	+0	open	—	01-31 07:28
will trump say iran 5 times during monday press conference	5	$937	958	0	+958	open	—	03-09 22:34
will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event	7	$899	588	588	+1	open	—	04-23 23:14
Will Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	4	$897	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	05-20 09:22
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?	2	$845	879	0	+879	open	—	05-24 15:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	14	$771	586	586	+0	Yes	$-25	05-08 19:04
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	27	$720	555	555	+0	open	—	04-21 20:15
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	11	$707	530	530	+0	open	—	05-01 22:36
will powell say inflation 40 times during january press conference	14	$661	471	370	+101	open	—	01-28 20:17
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	3	$648	400	400	+0	open	—	03-07 17:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$599	612	0	+612	open	—	04-30 10:14
will trump say million or billion or trillion 27 times during kentucky visit	22	$598	687	65	+623	open	—	03-11 22:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$584	420	420	+0	open	—	06-14 21:36
will powell say inflation 40 times during march press conference	6	$575	685	0	+685	open	—	03-18 18:39
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	10	$572	505	498	+7	open	—	05-24 15:37
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	8	$567	946	946	+0	open	—	07-08 13:31
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	2	$555	624	0	+624	open	—	05-15 20:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$520	491	491	+0	open	—	06-13 17:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	3	$501	476	476	+0	open	—	04-20 17:43
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	17	$490	585	585	+0	open	—	03-15 23:16
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$461	305	305	+0	open	—	04-21 20:05
Will Trump say "Dog" in April?	21	$406	478	79	+399	open	—	04-23 16:55
will trump say million or billion or trillion 25 times during wef address on january 21	20	$399	421	363	+58	open	—	01-21 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 20:43:12	will trump say save america act during remarks in georgia 20260720190340713	No	BUY	22	30¢	$6	0x2be862…
07-22 20:23:33	will trump say tariff during remarks in georgia 20260720190340718	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x30faf5…
07-22 19:57:55	will trump say landslide during remarks in georgia 20260720190340707	No	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x2bb1f5…
07-22 19:37:12	will trump say landslide during remarks in georgia 20260720190340707	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xab6f44…
07-22 10:56:24	will trump say save america act during remarks in georgia 20260720190340713	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x170fe4…
07-20 07:50:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	60	74¢	$44	0xafc502…
07-20 07:49:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	2,367	0¢	$12	0xf6a01c…
07-20 00:04:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1,111	2¢	$26	0xb860aa…
07-19 23:27:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	850	3¢	$26	0x36fb41…
07-19 23:17:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	850	1¢	$13	0x149104…
07-19 22:58:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	555	13¢	$72	0xc16aff…
07-19 22:53:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	555	4¢	$22	0xa008d2…
07-18 22:45:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbfe5d5…
07-18 22:25:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xc0467f…
07-18 21:51:57	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x5a04b7…
07-18 21:15:00	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1e12e7…
07-18 17:28:58	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	31	59¢	$19	0x3d592b…
07-18 03:52:48	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	1	59¢	$0	0x0230e7…
07-17 23:23:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0xe4c755…
07-17 23:17:00	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	61	59¢	$36	0x346bd5…
07-16 22:21:04	will trump say transgender during speech to the nation 20260713200621428	Yes	BUY	85	23¢	$20	0xbfd034…
07-16 12:28:34	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	Yes	SELL	258	50¢	$129	0x3ef263…
07-16 08:51:25	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	No	BUY	113	45¢	$51	0x371c10…
07-15 19:59:56	will trump say save america or save act at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716023	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x785cb1…
07-15 19:37:16	will trump say iran 3 times at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716010	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x6cd444…
07-15 19:33:10	will trump say oil at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716019	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xa89c5f…
07-15 18:56:59	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	No	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x3458a8…
07-15 12:18:49	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xf1cd95…
07-15 12:17:13	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	67	22¢	$15	0x9fee39…
07-11 00:45:14	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	No	SELL	285	34¢	$97	0xb44d75…
07-10 07:31:47	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	Yes	BUY	276	59¢	$163	0x5e426d…
07-08 21:31:20	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during press conference 20260707192103045	No	SELL	36	100¢	$35	0xe09620…
07-08 16:54:19	will trump say bomber or bomb during press conference 20260707192103049	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x873e8d…
07-08 16:46:56	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during press conference 20260707192103065	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fba31…
07-08 16:45:58	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during press conference 20260707192103045	No	BUY	36	80¢	$28	0x449ffb…
07-08 13:31:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	946	27¢	$257	0x6d797e…
07-08 13:29:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0xf4cc3b…
07-08 13:29:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa5aaab…
07-08 13:29:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0x15c5ec…
07-08 13:29:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x13e2e2…
07-08 13:29:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc00749…
07-08 13:29:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0x429c51…
07-08 13:29:41	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	800	33¢	$264	0xbea6cb…
07-07 20:14:04	will the announcers say scare or scared during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240078	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x97b5f4…
07-07 20:14:01	will the announcers say scare or scared during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240078	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0x4e4b62…
07-07 20:12:02	will the announcers say scare or scared during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240078	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x31ad40…
07-07 20:12:01	will the announcers say scare or scared during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240078	Yes	BUY	73	5¢	$4	0xade9a1…
07-07 19:56:43	will the announcers say scare or scared during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240078	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa86fbb…
07-07 19:31:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	219	99¢	$217	0xb3191d…
07-07 19:31:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	181	99¢	$180	0x8f175c…
07-07 19:17:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	139	31¢	$44	0xd89b2e…
07-07 18:24:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	494	22¢	$108	0xbfc2e9…
07-07 18:24:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	46	22¢	$10	0x32954e…
07-07 18:21:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	554	26¢	$144	0x5b494b…
07-07 18:16:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,111	24¢	$266	0xfb25b2…
07-07 10:35:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	222	15¢	$33	0xa3ab3b…
07-07 07:59:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	103	14¢	$14	0x493ce7…
07-07 07:57:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0x485ef9…
07-07 07:56:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xd1f314…
07-07 07:56:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	105	14¢	$15	0x7c2077…
07-07 07:56:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xe61f69…
07-07 07:50:14	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	Yes	SELL	35	52¢	$18	0x9d82cb…
07-07 07:50:14	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x5dd595…
07-06 21:15:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	102	26¢	$27	0x4e60b9…
07-06 21:13:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	102	39¢	$40	0x11d3bf…
07-06 14:55:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	478	10¢	$48	0x5aaf82…
07-06 14:52:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0x72b0e5…
07-06 14:33:50	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x4a68ad…
07-06 14:33:16	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	Yes	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0x2cebbc…
07-05 00:22:22	will trump say military during tribute to america rally 20260630160620580	No	SELL	120	7¢	$8	0x67adf1…
07-05 00:09:05	will trump say military during tribute to america rally 20260630160620580	No	SELL	80	9¢	$7	0x29056e…
07-04 23:46:17	will trump say world war during tribute to america rally 20260630160620573	Yes	SELL	58	83¢	$49	0xad214e…
07-04 23:31:43	will trump say military during tribute to america rally 20260630160620580	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xa419a4…
07-04 23:11:52	will trump say moon during tribute to america rally 20260630160620561	Yes	BUY	96	81¢	$78	0xa212be…
07-04 23:11:49	will trump say world war during tribute to america rally 20260630160620573	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x777b95…
07-04 12:16:59	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x35b614…
07-03 22:05:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	210	16¢	$33	0xf7f60b…
07-03 20:40:50	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	Yes	BUY	247	53¢	$130	0xec6b1c…
07-03 15:58:17	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x3afc79…
07-03 13:30:08	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	No	BUY	192	77¢	$148	0x21de13…
07-03 13:08:38	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	No	BUY	208	77¢	$160	0xc55a20…
07-03 07:12:56	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	369	7¢	$27	0x793616…
07-01 10:13:49	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	No	BUY	190	72¢	$137	0x9c234b…
06-17 19:15:26	will warsh say chair during june press conference 20260608181156655	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x9f84d7…
06-17 19:12:52	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xcb7210…
06-17 19:12:04	will warsh say job 15 times during june press conference 20260608181156648	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x221a1b…
06-17 18:36:20	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	Yes	SELL	136	27¢	$37	0x49f2ba…
06-17 00:10:28	will trump say star this week 20260605142537490	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$0	0xbe10dd…
06-17 00:10:28	will trump say star this week 20260605142537490	Yes	BUY	793	0¢	$1	0xa5d7f0…
06-17 00:10:28	will trump say star this week 20260605142537490	Yes	BUY	3,003	0¢	$3	0x133e06…
06-14 23:50:51	will trump say star this week 20260605142537490	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xaae859…
06-14 21:36:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	420	86¢	$361	0x8144fb…
06-14 16:59:22	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	326	28¢	$91	0x28e0ee…
06-14 16:32:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	262	21¢	$55	0xd4d072…
06-14 16:28:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	525	21¢	$109	0x24c7c7…
06-14 16:16:37	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	406	39¢	$158	0x140cb7…
06-14 16:10:49	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	289	24¢	$69	0x37e34e…
06-14 16:08:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$148	0xc73857…
06-14 10:06:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x166c5b…
06-14 09:52:12	will trump say star this week 20260605142537490	Yes	BUY	92	63¢	$58	0x5fb1ee…