Entire-Dirndl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$593

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

656

Trades

2,184

lifetime

Volume

$72.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$267

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 23:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Politics

68% 59% +$1,505

Other

30% 38% -$1,198

Sports

2% 33% +$314

Crypto

0% 70% +$40

Tech

0% 17% -$68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	-222	-$210	96¢	$-213	-$4	07-15 12:16
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+85	$30	44¢	$37	+$7	10-28 00:55
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+15	$9	73¢	$11	+$2	09-22 18:18
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+50	$20	11¢	$5	-$15	09-23 16:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	27	$1.6K	999	999	+0	No	+$192	05-15 06:04
will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	10	$1.6K	907	907	+0	Yes	+$177	03-23 19:07
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?	14	$1.5K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	10-28 19:21
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	21	$1.4K	1,114	1,114	+0	No	+$405	05-15 20:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	27	$1.2K	1,028	1,028	+0	Yes	+$45	02-28 19:33
will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	15	$1.2K	1,033	1,033	+0	Yes	-$6	07-27 20:34
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	4	$1.2K	856	400	+456	Yes	+$36	05-01 22:32
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	15	$1.1K	1,735	1,735	+0	Yes	+$348	07-07 19:31
will trump say kevin or warsh during fed chair announcement	21	$986	616	616	+0	No	+$57	01-31 07:28
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	2	$946	466	688	-222	open	—	07-15 12:16
will trump say iran 5 times during monday press conference	5	$937	958	0	+958	Yes	+$21	03-09 22:34
will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event	7	$899	588	588	+1	Yes	+$272	04-23 23:14
Will Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	4	$897	1,019	0	+1,019	Yes	+$122	05-20 09:22
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?	2	$845	879	0	+879	Yes	+$35	05-24 15:05
trump renames ai by september 30	18	$843	1,048	609	+439	Yes	-$44	09-29 18:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	14	$771	586	586	+0	Yes	-$25	05-08 19:04
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	9	$767	389	389	+0	No	+$8	10-28 14:29
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	5	$737	474	474	+0	open	—	08-09 12:59
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	11	$721	800	800	+0	open	—	10-28 10:12
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	27	$720	555	555	+0	No	+$64	04-21 20:15
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	11	$707	530	530	+0	No	+$343	05-01 22:36
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$705	500	500	+0	No	-$25	06-04 15:29
will powell say inflation 40 times during january press conference	14	$661	471	370	+101	No	+$140	01-28 20:17
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	3	$648	400	400	+0	Yes	-$8	03-07 17:27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	6	$630	555	555	+0	open	—	10-10 00:43
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	5	$617	624	624	-0	No	-$11	08-11 18:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$599	612	0	+612	No	+$12	04-30 10:14
will trump say million or billion or trillion 27 times during kentucky visit	22	$598	687	65	+623	Yes	+$28	03-11 22:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$584	420	420	+0	Yes	+$139	06-14 21:36
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	11	$576	505	505	+0	No	-$44	05-24 15:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 23:35:18	Will Trump say "Tax" 32+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x047a6a…
11-01 23:11:49	Will Trump say "Tax" 32+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xdc8b3b…
11-01 22:39:33	Will Trump say "Tax" 32+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x37229a…
11-01 22:26:30	Will Trump say "Tax" 32+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	93	86¢	$80	0xa58856…
10-31 23:35:28	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	123	2¢	$2	0xa6d848…
10-31 23:29:09	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x7c6ea7…
10-31 23:23:58	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	106	7¢	$7	0x49a460…
10-31 01:03:03	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xcd0e14…
10-31 00:11:19	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x1ad71f…
10-30 21:10:04	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0xf610a5…
10-30 00:22:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	191	10¢	$19	0xe1271b…
10-30 00:20:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	62	12¢	$8	0xa8d257…
10-29 22:59:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	32	56¢	$18	0xa6ba09…
10-29 22:57:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	86	58¢	$50	0x67765f…
10-29 22:57:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	142	59¢	$84	0x00e482…
10-29 22:56:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xb48a6d…
10-29 22:56:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5231c5…
10-29 22:54:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xbda33c…
10-29 22:47:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	158	49¢	$78	0xd78154…
10-29 22:00:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	74	20¢	$15	0x5aab1a…
10-29 22:00:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	74	20¢	$15	0x16c333…
10-29 22:00:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2b2b71…
10-29 21:53:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	44	31¢	$14	0x8d8c7e…
10-29 21:53:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	89	10¢	$9	0xa8b642…
10-29 21:48:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa53f93…
10-29 21:48:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x427df5…
10-29 21:47:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	216	34¢	$73	0xd0cfa0…
10-29 21:45:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x24a43b…
10-29 15:19:05	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xab36e3…
10-29 15:19:01	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xe1daa8…
10-28 19:36:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf68fe1…
10-28 19:21:56	Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?	No	SELL	423	92¢	$388	0x95fa09…
10-28 19:09:58	Will Warsh say "Pressure" or "Stagflation" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x3d632a…
10-28 19:05:05	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x30b410…
10-28 18:48:22	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfc552d…
10-28 14:29:46	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	384	100¢	$382	0x127678…
10-28 11:59:10	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1c5547…
10-28 11:36:31	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe1887b…
10-28 11:00:17	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x8e73ce…
10-28 10:58:44	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0b5f3d…
10-28 10:57:53	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0xf7e2a2…
10-28 10:56:58	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x2f7d9c…
10-28 10:56:20	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7de7ec…
10-28 10:43:20	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa66acf…
10-28 10:12:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x8f8330…
10-28 10:11:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xeb2391…
10-28 10:07:41	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x8de6e6…
10-28 10:02:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xf244e8…
10-28 10:01:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x12ff82…
10-28 09:57:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x7c1311…
10-28 09:44:38	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x583021…
10-28 00:55:05	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	85	56¢	$48	0x2fdde4…
10-28 00:48:45	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x2ae026…
10-28 00:48:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	220	99¢	$217	0xdf8f05…
10-28 00:39:56	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xd6abd5…
10-28 00:27:39	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xae8daf…
10-28 00:24:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x887eca…
10-28 00:24:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x777665…
10-28 00:24:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x611bbc…
10-28 00:18:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	29	84¢	$24	0x0c2183…
10-28 00:17:51	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x309209…
10-28 00:17:06	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xe7dd17…
10-28 00:16:44	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xab1c61…
10-28 00:05:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0x7c33ca…
10-28 00:03:44	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x12aa52…
10-27 22:40:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	38	47¢	$18	0x70fbf6…
10-27 22:40:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0xe5841b…
10-27 22:37:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xc73a89…
10-27 22:19:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	600	48¢	$287	0x01140b…
10-27 22:18:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	101	47¢	$48	0xf1fb6d…
10-27 22:18:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	150	47¢	$71	0xcefa7c…
10-27 22:18:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	49	47¢	$23	0xd09bc8…
10-27 22:18:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	150	47¢	$71	0x8e9113…
10-27 22:18:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	150	47¢	$71	0x87399a…
10-27 20:34:08	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4b0da9…
10-27 20:28:08	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x80ed40…
10-26 12:57:24	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xddf957…
10-25 23:46:44	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	110	15¢	$17	0xcfd630…
10-25 23:46:23	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	87	24¢	$21	0x2e86e9…
10-25 21:16:30	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x305a18…
10-25 21:15:33	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3146dc…
10-25 21:14:17	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc76301…
10-25 21:04:53	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa86119…
10-25 20:48:57	Will Trump say "Canada" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x1a1da8…
10-25 20:22:06	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x09fd02…
10-25 20:20:33	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x580a7a…
10-25 19:43:08	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	388	99¢	$385	0xb640b5…
10-25 19:18:03	Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x05d5b7…
10-25 16:28:38	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xab283d…
10-25 16:06:54	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	BUY	278	4¢	$12	0xc38462…
10-25 15:57:39	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	SELL	272	1¢	$2	0x5c211b…
10-25 14:17:45	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	BUY	110	81¢	$89	0x575af4…
10-25 11:14:59	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	92	68¢	$62	0xa8f407…
10-25 10:46:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x0b1e6b…
10-25 10:46:11	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	108	53¢	$57	0x9968fe…
10-25 10:44:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0xad302a…
10-25 10:43:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	168	44¢	$74	0xc9c932…
10-25 10:23:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xc317b0…
10-25 10:18:44	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	92	85¢	$78	0x89ab80…
10-25 10:14:38	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	255	40¢	$102	0x7370c5…