Entire-Dirndl 0x569fff…195561 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$815
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
66.0%
Resolved
678
Trades
2,268
lifetime
Volume
$75.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$560
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 13:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 193 days
Categories
Politics
68% 60% +$1,784
Other
29% 37% -$1,255
Sports
2% 33% +$314
Crypto
0% 70% +$40
Tech
0% 17% -$68
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -222 -$210 97¢ $-216 -$6 07-15 12:16
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +123 $112 90¢ $110 -$2 11-09 13:18
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +95 $81 90¢ $86 +$4 11-09 13:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +276 $56 19¢ $53 -$3 11-05 15:39
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +222 $32 16¢ $36 +$4 11-05 10:01
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +62 $38 50¢ $32 -$6 11-04 08:59
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $9 40¢ $8 -$1 11-06 12:36
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026? Yes +9 $6 82¢ $7 +$1 11-06 15:14
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? Yes +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 11-04 09:46
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +50 $20 6¢ $3 -$17 09-23 16:28
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +100 $4 2¢ $2 -$2 11-04 01:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +6 $12 34¢ $2 -$10 11-04 18:22
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +149 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-04 09:00