Entire-Dirndl 0x569fff…195561 Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$845
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved (30d)
54
Trades (30d)
230
2,259 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$9.27K
$75.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$412
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 21:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 191 days
Categories
Politics
68% 60% +$1,709
Other
29% 37% -$1,245
Sports
2% 33% +$314
Crypto
0% 70% +$40
Tech
0% 17% -$68
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -222 -$210 96¢ $-213 -$4 07-15 12:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +276 $56 19¢ $52 -$4 11-05 15:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +116 $23 31¢ $36 +$13 11-06 13:21
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +62 $38 57¢ $36 -$2 11-04 08:59
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +222 $32 14¢ $32 $0 11-05 10:01
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $9 80¢ $12 +$3 09-22 18:18
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $9 57¢ $11 +$3 11-06 12:36
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026? Yes +9 $6 72¢ $6 +$0 11-06 15:14
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? Yes +5 $4 87¢ $4 +$0 11-04 09:46
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +50 $20 8¢ $4 -$17 09-23 16:28
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +100 $4 3¢ $3 -$1 11-04 01:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +6 $12 32¢ $2 -$10 11-04 18:22
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +149 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-04 09:00