Entire-Dirndl 0x569fff…195561 Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$904
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
51.3%
Resolved (30d)
47
Trades (30d)
204
2,233 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$8.72K
$74.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$406
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 18:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Politics
68% 60% +$1,622
Other
29% 38% -$1,201
Sports
2% 33% +$314
Crypto
0% 70% +$40
Tech
0% 17% -$68
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -222 -$210 96¢ $-213 -$4 07-15 12:16
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +85 $30 100¢ $85 +$54 10-28 00:55
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +51 $32 100¢ $51 +$19 11-03 23:31
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +62 $38 56¢ $35 -$2 11-04 08:59
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $9 72¢ $11 +$2 09-22 18:18
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +50 $20 8¢ $4 -$17 09-23 16:28
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +100 $4 4¢ $4 $0 11-04 01:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +6 $12 48¢ $3 -$9 11-04 18:22
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +149 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-04 09:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +90 $31 0¢ $0 -$31 11-03 22:08