Entire-Dirndl 0x569fff…195561 Create alert
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.11K
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
44.3%
Resolved (90d)
100
Trades (90d)
357
2,251 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$15.1K
$75.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$408
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 00:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Politics
68% 60% +$1,676
Other
29% 37% -$1,245
Sports
2% 33% +$314
Crypto
0% 70% +$40
Tech
0% 17% -$68
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -222 -$210 96¢ $-213 -$4 07-15 12:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +276 $56 20¢ $54 -$2 11-05 15:39
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +51 $32 100¢ $51 +$19 11-03 23:31
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +62 $38 57¢ $36 -$2 11-04 08:59
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +222 $32 13¢ $29 -$3 11-05 10:01
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $9 76¢ $11 +$2 09-22 18:18
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? Yes +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 11-04 09:46
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +50 $20 8¢ $4 -$17 09-23 16:28
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +100 $4 3¢ $3 -$1 11-04 01:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +6 $12 42¢ $3 -$9 11-04 18:22
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +149 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-04 09:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +90 $31 0¢ $0 -$31 11-03 22:08