Reflecting-Chap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$294

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 09-28 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

43% 22% -$25

Sports

18% 0% -$27

Crypto

16% 17% -$8

Politics

13% 0% -$38

Pop-Culture

10% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	05-20 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$15	05-15 21:55
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$20	741	0	+741	No	-$20	05-16 01:24
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	2	$19	458	458	+0	No	-$1	06-02 04:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?	2	$18	14	14	+0	Yes	+$9	05-24 22:12
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$17	59	59	+0	Yes	-$3	07-06 12:23
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	2	$16	639	639	+0	No	-$4	05-27 06:05
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$15	92	92	+0	No	-$5	07-06 12:23
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	1	$15	262	0	+262	No	-$15	05-18 19:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	09-28 20:06
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	88	0	+88	No	-$10	05-27 06:06
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	71	0	+71	No	-$10	05-14 17:45
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$10	526	0	+526	No	-$10	05-15 17:25
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	1	$10	158	0	+158	No	-$10	05-20 21:55
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	213	0	+213	No	-$10	07-13 23:35
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$10	26	0	+26	No	-$10	05-15 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$10	127	0	+127	Down	-$10	05-18 22:49
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	05-15 17:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on May 24?	1	$5	260	0	+260	No	-$5	05-23 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Down	-$5	05-28 22:18
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$5	21	0	+21	No	-$5	05-15 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	29	0	+29	Down	-$5	05-14 17:59
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	139	0	+139	No	-$5	05-14 17:46
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	1	$5	133	0	+133	No	-$5	05-18 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$2	108	0	+108	Down	-$2	05-14 18:04
Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$1	15	0	+15	No	-$1	05-14 17:50
Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$1	25	0	+25	No	-$1	05-14 17:50
Will Trump say "Nixon" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$1	37	0	+37	No	-$1	05-14 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	-$1	05-14 18:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 20:06:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7dd23f…
07-13 23:35:44	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x01cd43…
07-06 12:23:20	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	92	6¢	$5	0x1bf1ec…
07-06 12:23:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59	13¢	$7	0x34489f…
06-12 10:35:46	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0xf641f4…
06-02 04:43:26	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	458	2¢	$9	0x43fc5d…
05-28 22:22:08	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x98a691…
05-28 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbd150e…
05-27 06:06:54	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xd88435…
05-27 06:05:34	Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	639	1¢	$6	0x80b00b…
05-24 22:12:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0xa80a5e…
05-23 08:57:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	260	2¢	$5	0x808bc7…
05-23 08:57:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9fa5b1…
05-20 21:55:43	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	Yes	BUY	158	6¢	$10	0xd69fa6…
05-20 12:48:24	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe32132…
05-18 22:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6dd25d…
05-18 22:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd9b28b…
05-18 19:03:36	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$5	0xb4cbec…
05-18 19:02:59	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	Yes	BUY	262	6¢	$15	0x4d2a3b…
05-16 01:24:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	741	3¢	$20	0xa2fbfc…
05-15 21:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x295246…
05-15 21:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd52ee1…
05-15 17:25:52	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x24a2dc…
05-15 17:19:13	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0da3df…
05-15 17:18:34	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf40fe1…
05-15 17:18:12	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x89ee34…
05-15 17:17:59	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4ac193…
05-14 18:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeb7fc6…
05-14 18:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa84509…
05-14 18:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfa4472…
05-14 17:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3394fe…
05-14 17:55:17	Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	639	2¢	$10	0x3a0a4c…
05-14 17:50:05	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x1d6d42…
05-14 17:50:02	Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x900d52…
05-14 17:49:46	Will Trump say "Nixon" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x3d16ee…
05-14 17:46:49	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0xf3e7c3…
05-14 17:45:58	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xe5c759…
05-14 17:27:43	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	458	2¢	$10	0x02bb56…
05-14 17:27:06	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9edb5d…