Deficient-Liquidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$366

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$30

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-30 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

77% 0% $-6

Politics

10% — —

Sports

8% 100% +$8

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-115	$-21	18¢	$-20	+$1	05-30 15:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		-53	$-12	20¢	$-10	+$1	05-30 15:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	1	$98	517	0	+517	open	—	05-30 15:37
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	2	$66	125	125	+0	open	—	05-26 11:40
Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)	3	$25	22	22	+0	open	—	05-17 18:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$21	0	115	-115	open	—	05-30 15:28
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$20	70	0	+70	open	—	05-11 18:04
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	2	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	05-17 11:40
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-17 10:34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	1	$12	0	53	-53	open	—	05-30 15:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	05-17 07:12
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	05-16 07:16
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	05-20 17:48
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	05-20 17:47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	2	$6	88	0	+88	Andrey Rublev	$-6	05-12 17:16
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	05-17 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-18 15:52
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 06:56
Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$5	85	0	+85	open	—	05-14 20:05
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-16 00:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	134	0	+134	open	—	05-13 12:45
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$5	13	0	+13	Cavaliers	+$8	05-13 09:37
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	1	$5	76	0	+76	open	—	05-12 20:35
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-17 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-18 15:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 15:37:11	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	517	19¢	$98	0xf43813…
05-30 15:30:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	22¢	$12	0x4a418d…
05-30 15:28:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	115	18¢	$21	0x891500…
05-26 11:40:50	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	SELL	125	13¢	$16	0x75f9c5…
05-20 17:48:49	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3e6b93…
05-20 17:47:42	Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Spurs	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xb28f2b…
05-18 15:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xe7098c…
05-18 15:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4bc837…
05-17 18:57:59	Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)	Levante UD	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x42f4ee…
05-17 18:56:01	Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)	Levante UD	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x1aa23e…
05-17 16:54:22	Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)	Levante UD	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x09e60f…
05-17 11:40:55	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0xee96cf…
05-17 10:34:30	Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	SSC Napoli	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x3772fe…
05-17 07:12:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x374aad…
05-17 06:56:59	Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	SSC Napoli	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcaee29…
05-17 06:56:34	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8ce0b6…
05-17 06:56:15	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x440c28…
05-17 06:56:04	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcb0cef…
05-17 06:55:21	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x5d188d…
05-16 07:16:28	Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xcb2e5e…
05-16 00:35:15	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x7e9cc4…
05-14 20:05:04	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0xea1053…
05-13 12:45:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	4¢	$5	0xd9f158…
05-13 11:33:09	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x5123c8…
05-13 09:37:51	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc000a7…
05-12 20:35:38	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0xcbfd0a…
05-12 17:16:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8f23dd…
05-12 17:00:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x80c1eb…
05-11 18:04:42	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0x8b1ad5…