Satisfied-Receipt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$179

Unrealized P&L

+$57

Hit rate

27.6%

Resolved

Trades

12,682

lifetime

Volume

$400.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$2.48K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-26 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

49% 67% +$38

Other

47% 38% +$117

Crypto

2% 67% +$24

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 539 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-2,523	$-2,379	93¢	$-2335	+$44	06-14 11:52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	-1,879	$-121	6¢	$-110	+$12	05-28 07:41
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+42	$30	75¢	$31	+$1	06-08 09:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-03 12:21
trump out as president by march 31	16	$7.3K	3,745	3,745	+0	open	—	03-11 20:02
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	15	$6.2K	6,259	0	+6,259	open	—	05-20 13:44
will no qualifying event occur on april 21	15	$4.3K	6,182	100	+6,082	open	—	04-21 13:43
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	19	$4.2K	5,248	140	+5,108	open	—	04-29 19:35
will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	5	$4.2K	4,185	0	+4,185	open	—	03-25 12:09
will trump say easter or egg during monday news conference	6	$4.0K	4,070	22	+4,048	open	—	04-06 17:27
will trump say nuclear 3 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	5	$3.8K	3,910	0	+3,910	open	—	03-26 15:17
Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?	11	$3.5K	3,712	0	+3,712	open	—	04-29 19:06
Will Leavitt say "Tax cut" during the next White House press briefing?	3	$3.5K	3,501	0	+3,501	open	—	04-15 18:03
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	5	$3.3K	3,340	0	+3,340	open	—	04-29 18:35
will trump say nuclear during memphis roundtable 428	18	$3.1K	3,081	0	+3,081	open	—	03-23 17:53
will trump say doordash or mcdonalds during no tax on tips roundtable	4	$3.0K	3,100	0	+3,100	open	—	04-17 00:57
will trumps remarks not air 185	5	$3.0K	3,292	0	+3,292	open	—	04-23 20:14
Will Leavitt say "Ayatollah" or "Supreme Leader" during the next White House press briefing?	6	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-08 22:01
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the portuguese election	4	$2.9K	1,483	1,483	+0	open	—	01-09 12:23
will trump say hottest during no tax on tips roundtable	9	$2.8K	2,830	60	+2,770	open	—	04-17 01:00
will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	23	$2.7K	2,859	315	+2,544	open	—	04-02 01:09
Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	15	$2.7K	2,790	151	+2,639	open	—	05-22 21:21
will trump say make america great again during tpusa events on april 17	9	$2.6K	2,686	0	+2,686	open	—	04-18 00:23
will trump say assassin or assassinate during tpusa events on april 17	6	$2.6K	2,648	0	+2,648	open	—	04-17 23:10
will trump say epic fury during kentucky visit	12	$2.6K	2,644	0	+2,644	open	—	03-11 21:59
will trump say id identification at the nrcc dinner on march 25 145	10	$2.6K	2,655	0	+2,655	open	—	03-26 00:12
will powell say food or energy 3 times during march press conference	11	$2.4K	2,424	0	+2,424	open	—	03-18 19:17
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$2.4K	0	2,523	-2,523	open	—	06-14 11:52
will powell say pandemic during march press conference 478 338	5	$2.2K	2,251	0	+2,251	open	—	03-18 19:12
will vance say biden 4 times during his rocky mount visit	7	$2.2K	2,227	0	+2,227	open	—	03-13 19:49
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 894	6	$2.2K	2,211	0	+2,211	open	—	03-25 13:08
will trumps remarks not air 825 514 743	4	$2.2K	2,206	0	+2,206	open	—	04-18 00:07
will melania say husband or trump during statement on april 9	17	$2.2K	2,207	0	+2,207	open	—	04-09 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 15:15:13	fds quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 01 2026 4pt45	No	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x386f3a…
06-26 15:14:58	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 30 2026 0pt12	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x18b657…
06-21 19:23:34	mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	No	BUY	91	7¢	$6	0xda653b…
06-21 19:22:46	fdx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 23 2026 5pt91	No	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0x32dedf…
06-14 11:52:30	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	2,523	94¢	$2,379	0xaa7fae…
06-10 03:45:00	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137136	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xb18064…
06-08 21:45:00	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137136	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xe610c0…
06-08 16:45:24	will starmer say muslim during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137141	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x0fe056…
06-08 14:38:51	will starmer say king or queen during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137147	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x456d2c…
06-08 11:47:49	will starmer say king or queen during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137147	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x864ddd…
06-08 09:36:07	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x637b34…
06-07 07:25:07	will starmer say sport during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137146	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x16df68…
06-07 00:36:19	will starmer say police during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137134	No	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xbb8ecf…
06-06 14:36:01	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xe91c01…
06-05 21:30:39	sol updown 5m 1780695900	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x901fea…
06-05 21:30:24	sol updown 5m 1780695600	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x7af830…
06-05 21:30:15	sol updown 5m 1780695300	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x906db5…
06-05 21:30:04	sol updown 5m 1780695000	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x6dd231…
06-04 20:03:45	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0x20b9bf…
06-04 20:03:24	sjm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 2pt64	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0513c4…
06-04 20:02:57	unfi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt77	No	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x55493e…
06-04 20:02:13	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt48	No	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x03eddb…
06-04 10:06:07	eth updown 5m 1780568400	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xea0d84…
06-04 10:05:54	eth updown 5m 1780568100	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x64d171…
06-04 10:05:46	eth updown 5m 1780567800	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xc6f806…
06-02 21:31:39	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0x7b66ef…
06-02 21:31:28	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x2f3613…
06-02 21:30:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$51	0x4f22d0…
06-02 21:19:22	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	26	68¢	$17	0xedde17…
06-02 21:18:28	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6c3b1e…
06-02 20:38:56	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x121b7f…
06-02 20:38:37	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	60	30¢	$18	0x396947…
06-02 20:34:23	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x38adac…
06-02 20:26:27	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe85d6f…
06-02 20:16:25	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xe13536…
06-02 20:13:32	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1cdf17…
06-02 20:13:27	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x105386…
06-02 20:13:06	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0xd2a2d6…
06-02 20:00:23	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	84¢	$27	0x28638e…
06-02 19:59:53	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	60	64¢	$39	0xb62739…
06-02 19:53:47	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	42	66¢	$28	0x0c0d1f…
06-02 19:43:02	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0xb7e312…
06-02 19:32:56	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x61dbe8…
06-02 19:29:37	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2a4bf8…
06-02 19:29:33	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa2fc51…
06-02 19:26:01	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x84baa6…
06-02 19:25:56	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc63a76…
06-02 19:25:54	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	SELL	51	84¢	$43	0xe4a849…
06-02 19:25:53	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd8b10d…
06-02 19:25:33	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	85¢	$44	0x9d5413…
06-02 19:24:32	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x432f5a…
06-02 18:50:39	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	90	85¢	$77	0x6aa302…
06-02 18:50:21	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x12c32f…
06-02 18:22:54	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xf33fbf…
06-02 18:16:01	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x418117…
06-02 18:15:56	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x8ef913…
06-02 18:14:55	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x51d490…
06-02 18:14:44	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x9305cf…
06-02 18:14:36	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x9e811d…
06-02 18:14:36	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x1b70a0…
06-02 17:33:09	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xced2f7…
06-02 17:32:55	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x313398…
06-02 17:32:43	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xc375a9…
06-01 16:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe5170c…
06-01 16:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x55876c…
06-01 16:20:41	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x4e6bae…
06-01 16:20:34	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8862d6…
06-01 16:20:23	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x622cc6…
06-01 16:19:38	Will Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2327e0…
06-01 16:19:15	Will lululemon athletica (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x52c7d4…
06-01 16:18:59	Will Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	91	8¢	$7	0x79a0f9…
06-01 16:18:00	Will Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xce84f1…
05-31 19:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xed32d3…
05-31 19:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x59c406…
05-31 19:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xfbe590…
05-31 19:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x664c63…
05-30 18:30:23	Will Docusign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x4a3c9a…
05-30 18:30:02	Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x90bb1f…
05-30 18:29:48	Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0xff532f…
05-30 18:29:36	Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0x3d2714…
05-30 18:29:22	Will Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xcb07a3…
05-29 16:24:50	Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x7fa4db…
05-29 16:24:36	Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x0ec014…
05-28 18:52:03	Will Dell say "Computer" or "Laptop" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xf2c32f…
05-28 18:29:06	Will Dell say "Gaming" or "Game" during earnings call?	No	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x15d7ff…
05-28 16:55:12	Will Dell say "Mistral" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x3afbc8…
05-28 14:26:33	Will Dell say "Mistral" during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4352f3…
05-28 14:13:37	Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x37c7a8…
05-28 14:12:52	Will Vance say "War" 7+ times during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6e7308…
05-28 14:12:43	Will Vance say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x052849…
05-28 07:41:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,879	6¢	$121	0x295819…
05-27 16:22:52	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf528ba…
05-27 16:08:40	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0x9f5f76…
05-27 15:56:36	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0xcf6370…
05-26 07:22:25	Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xc25236…
05-26 07:22:13	Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xee9e5a…
05-26 07:21:55	Will Snowflake (SNOW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	76	8¢	$6	0x777dbf…
05-26 07:21:43	Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xa31a2e…
05-26 07:21:31	Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe5e6de…
05-25 15:10:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x8a6775…