Satisfied-Receipt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$179

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.6%

Resolved

Trades

12,955

lifetime

Volume

$404.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-29 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

49% 67% +$38

Other

48% 38% +$117

Crypto

2% 67% +$24

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 289 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-03 12:21
trump out as president by march 31	16	$7.3K	3,745	3,745	+0	open	—	03-11 20:02
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	15	$6.2K	6,259	0	+6,259	open	—	05-20 13:44
will no qualifying event occur on april 21	15	$4.3K	6,182	100	+6,082	open	—	04-21 13:43
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	19	$4.2K	5,248	140	+5,108	open	—	04-29 19:35
will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	5	$4.2K	4,185	0	+4,185	open	—	03-25 12:09
will trump say easter or egg during monday news conference	6	$4.0K	4,070	22	+4,048	open	—	04-06 17:27
will trump say nuclear 3 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	5	$3.8K	3,910	0	+3,910	open	—	03-26 15:17
Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?	11	$3.5K	3,712	0	+3,712	open	—	04-29 19:06
Will Leavitt say "Tax cut" during the next White House press briefing?	3	$3.5K	3,501	0	+3,501	open	—	04-15 18:03
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	5	$3.3K	3,340	0	+3,340	open	—	04-29 18:35
will trump say nuclear during memphis roundtable 428	18	$3.1K	3,081	0	+3,081	open	—	03-23 17:53
will trump say doordash or mcdonalds during no tax on tips roundtable	4	$3.0K	3,100	0	+3,100	open	—	04-17 00:57
will trumps remarks not air 185	5	$3.0K	3,292	0	+3,292	open	—	04-23 20:14
Will Leavitt say "Ayatollah" or "Supreme Leader" during the next White House press briefing?	6	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-08 22:01
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the portuguese election	4	$2.9K	1,483	1,483	+0	open	—	01-09 12:23
will trump say hottest during no tax on tips roundtable	9	$2.8K	2,830	60	+2,770	open	—	04-17 01:00
will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	23	$2.7K	2,859	315	+2,544	open	—	04-02 01:09
Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	15	$2.7K	2,790	151	+2,639	open	—	05-22 21:21
will trump say make america great again during tpusa events on april 17	9	$2.6K	2,686	0	+2,686	open	—	04-18 00:23
will trump say assassin or assassinate during tpusa events on april 17	6	$2.6K	2,648	0	+2,648	open	—	04-17 23:10
will trump say epic fury during kentucky visit	12	$2.6K	2,644	0	+2,644	open	—	03-11 21:59
will trump say id identification at the nrcc dinner on march 25 145	10	$2.6K	2,655	0	+2,655	open	—	03-26 00:12
will powell say food or energy 3 times during march press conference	11	$2.4K	2,424	0	+2,424	open	—	03-18 19:17
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$2.4K	0	2,523	-2,523	open	—	06-14 11:52
will powell say pandemic during march press conference 478 338	5	$2.2K	2,251	0	+2,251	open	—	03-18 19:12
will vance say biden 4 times during his rocky mount visit	7	$2.2K	2,227	0	+2,227	open	—	03-13 19:49
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 894	6	$2.2K	2,211	0	+2,211	open	—	03-25 13:08
will trumps remarks not air 825 514 743	4	$2.2K	2,206	0	+2,206	open	—	04-18 00:07
will melania say husband or trump during statement on april 9	17	$2.2K	2,207	0	+2,207	open	—	04-09 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 12:49:09	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x7a207c…
07-29 12:49:00	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x7e848a…
07-29 12:48:39	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	Yes	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x185e7b…
07-29 12:48:33	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	SELL	118	48¢	$57	0x5f0421…
07-29 12:48:17	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xecabfc…
07-29 12:48:05	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x64db86…
07-29 12:35:29	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xcf60d1…
07-29 12:23:33	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb53179…
07-29 12:16:50	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x104052…
07-29 12:15:18	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x1db6cf…
07-29 12:10:36	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	Yes	BUY	150	68¢	$102	0x53622c…
07-29 11:56:44	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x613c0c…
07-29 11:52:21	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xae8e34…
07-29 11:52:21	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x8e3570…
07-29 11:36:27	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4c94eb…
07-29 11:04:02	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x9dde0d…
07-29 10:40:44	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xb6e7ee…
07-29 10:35:26	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xf5a5d8…
07-29 10:25:44	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xd5fab2…
07-29 10:18:44	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xeeb2d7…
07-29 09:58:26	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x260a2a…
07-29 09:24:11	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xc60805…
07-29 09:01:38	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x479af1…
07-29 08:43:42	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x99b628…
07-28 22:35:38	will procter gamble say portfolio during earnings call 20260717164206376	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x83f701…
07-28 22:30:52	will procter gamble say innovation 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206367	No	BUY	301	5¢	$14	0xaf88fe…
07-28 20:07:17	will procter gamble say innovation 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206367	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xb5aafa…
07-28 20:06:14	will procter gamble say geopolitical during earnings call 20260717164206381	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x8380e2…
07-28 18:32:49	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x4d87d4…
07-28 17:29:43	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	No	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x54d106…
07-28 17:29:29	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	No	SELL	195	36¢	$70	0x2c3126…
07-28 17:28:26	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	SELL	300	25¢	$75	0x4cab51…
07-28 15:04:29	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	264	36¢	$95	0xc3c87c…
07-28 15:00:13	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc8dd16…
07-28 14:56:41	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x21f7e8…
07-28 14:54:05	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4f034d…
07-28 14:52:31	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa88da3…
07-28 14:35:35	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0cf87b…
07-28 14:35:08	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x692c91…
07-28 14:24:34	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xe8cfa8…
07-28 14:09:02	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0xabcfea…
07-28 14:01:08	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xf63aa0…
07-28 13:57:44	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	86	36¢	$31	0x0851d9…
07-28 13:20:13	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x323a6b…
07-28 12:34:13	will procter gamble say world cup during earnings call 20260717164206374	Yes	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0x43fa49…
07-28 11:59:34	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x756884…
07-28 11:39:56	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x151ec4…
07-28 11:28:46	will trump say biden or obama 4 times during fox friends appearance 20260728022316499	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x885561…
07-28 11:21:13	will trump say military during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556645	No	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x1c38ba…
07-28 11:20:53	will trump say covid during fox friends appearance 20260728022316506	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xffe255…
07-28 11:19:23	will trump say stock market during fox friends appearance 20260728022316514	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xfa7306…
07-28 11:14:37	will trump say biden or obama 4 times during fox friends appearance 20260728022316499	Yes	BUY	90	62¢	$56	0x613099…
07-28 11:05:38	will procter gamble say profit 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206370	No	SELL	300	94¢	$283	0x766f95…
07-28 11:01:19	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x87ef14…
07-28 11:00:35	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0x3a27a5…
07-28 11:00:17	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xcc1971…
07-28 11:00:08	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	BUY	77	15¢	$12	0x85b2a8…
07-28 10:46:29	will trump say fake news during fox friends appearance 20260728022316510	No	SELL	46	40¢	$19	0x9af3a2…
07-28 10:45:58	will trump say hell during fox friends appearance 20260728022316503	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x7778cb…
07-28 10:44:43	will trump say putin during fox friends appearance 20260728022316501	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x0d815d…
07-28 10:41:08	will trump say election during fox friends appearance 20260728022316504	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x07b5ea…
07-28 10:40:22	will crazy be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025079	Yes	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xe27f81…
07-28 10:40:14	will red be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025076	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x630d5f…
07-28 10:40:07	will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025074	No	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x6284df…
07-28 10:39:55	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025069	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x01d363…
07-28 10:39:43	will people be said 150 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025067 197	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x0607f2…
07-28 10:39:40	will trump say stock market during fox friends appearance 20260728022316514	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xd028b1…
07-28 10:39:10	will trump say fake news during fox friends appearance 20260728022316510	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8765cc…
07-28 10:39:05	will trump say fake news during fox friends appearance 20260728022316510	No	BUY	41	40¢	$16	0x278921…
07-28 10:39:01	will trump say fake news during fox friends appearance 20260728022316510	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd42843…
07-28 10:37:44	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xbb2bed…
07-28 10:04:38	will boeing say dividend during earnings call 20260724221853561	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x1623e7…
07-28 10:04:31	will boeing say tariff during earnings call 20260724221853558	Yes	SELL	80	32¢	$26	0x77f686…
07-28 10:04:08	will boeing say guidance during earnings call 20260724221853548	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x02c379…
07-28 10:03:23	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x456c9a…
07-28 10:03:10	will trump say air force or space force during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556650	No	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0xb90bbd…
07-28 10:03:01	will trump say worker during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556647	No	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x8d991d…
07-28 10:02:34	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0xf6e5ba…
07-28 10:02:28	will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	Yes	SELL	140	85¢	$119	0xaf4cc7…
07-28 10:02:13	will trump say nobody like him during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556638	Yes	SELL	113	51¢	$58	0x20e440…
07-28 09:52:28	will paypal say regulation or regulator or regulatory during earnings call 20260724221739520	No	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x3ef244…
07-28 09:52:10	will paypal say google during earnings call 20260724221739519	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xf78a7e…
07-28 07:32:36	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	Yes	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x4ab126…
07-28 06:49:13	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	Yes	BUY	170	40¢	$68	0x783cd2…
07-28 06:29:15	will boeing say customer 3 times during earnings call 20260724221853547	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x04f2f7…
07-28 06:23:01	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd991db…
07-28 06:09:40	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0bb820…
07-28 05:16:54	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xfd7791…
07-28 05:11:13	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xbbf280…
07-28 04:33:33	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xae56c5…
07-28 04:06:10	will boeing say airbus during earnings call 20260724221853562	Yes	SELL	195	22¢	$43	0x3efc02…
07-28 04:06:10	will boeing say airbus during earnings call 20260724221853562	No	BUY	110	78¢	$86	0x3efc02…
07-28 04:02:28	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0xfdc0ab…
07-28 03:52:57	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x97b9ca…
07-28 03:50:16	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6dc470…
07-28 03:29:04	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4f66ca…
07-28 03:12:10	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xcf90ba…
07-28 03:08:09	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x09d551…
07-28 03:00:33	will paypal say regulation or regulator or regulatory during earnings call 20260724221739520	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x4bd461…
07-28 02:56:27	will paypal say regulation or regulator or regulatory during earnings call 20260724221739520	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x702f3c…