Satisfied-Receipt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.88K

Unrealized P&L

-$50

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

3,239

Trades

14,078

lifetime

Volume

$480.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$2.46K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-02 19:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Politics

52% 58% +$710

Other

45% 51% +$95

Crypto

2% 51% +$514

Sports

1% 44% +$2,420

Tech

0% 40% +$16

Pop-Culture

0% 65% +$125

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		-2,523	-$2,379	96¢	$-2431	-$52	06-14 11:52
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes		+42	$30	77¢	$32	+$2	06-08 09:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$11.8K	4,417	7,432	-3,015	open	—	09-09 19:48
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$10.0K	5,035	5,035	+0	open	—	07-12 09:40
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	110	$9.9K	5,058	5,058	+0	open	—	09-09 19:48
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$0	01-03 12:21
trump out as president by march 31	16	$7.3K	3,745	3,745	+0	No	+$11	03-11 20:02
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$7.0K	2,012	5,025	-3,013	open	—	05-22 09:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$6.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	07-12 09:41
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	15	$6.2K	6,259	0	+6,259	Yes	+$19	05-20 13:44
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$6.0K	3,018	3,018	+0	open	—	07-06 10:04
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$6.0K	3,021	3,021	+0	open	—	07-12 09:41
will no qualifying event occur on april 21	15	$4.3K	6,182	100	+6,082	No	+$2	04-21 13:43
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	19	$4.2K	5,248	140	+5,108	Yes	+$14	04-29 19:35
will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	5	$4.2K	4,185	0	+4,185	Yes	+$14	03-25 12:09
will trump say easter or egg during monday news conference	6	$4.0K	4,070	22	+4,048	Yes	-$12	04-06 17:27
will trump say nuclear 3 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	5	$3.8K	3,910	0	+3,910	Yes	-$20	03-26 15:17
Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?	11	$3.5K	3,712	0	+3,712	Yes	-$6	04-29 19:06
Will Leavitt say "Tax cut" during the next White House press briefing?	3	$3.5K	3,501	0	+3,501	Yes	+$4	04-15 18:03
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	5	$3.3K	3,340	0	+3,340	Yes	+$4	04-29 18:35
will trump say nuclear during memphis roundtable 428	18	$3.1K	3,081	0	+3,081	Yes	+$15	03-23 17:53
will trump say doordash or mcdonalds during no tax on tips roundtable	4	$3.0K	3,100	0	+3,100	Yes	+$5	04-17 00:57
will trumps remarks not air 185	5	$3.0K	3,292	0	+3,292	No	-$1	04-23 20:14
Will Leavitt say "Ayatollah" or "Supreme Leader" during the next White House press briefing?	6	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$3	04-08 22:01
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the portuguese election	4	$2.9K	1,483	1,483	+0	No	+$2	01-09 12:23
will trump say hottest during no tax on tips roundtable	9	$2.8K	2,830	60	+2,770	Yes	+$14	04-17 01:00
Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	18	$2.7K	2,819	167	+2,652	Yes	-$4	05-22 21:21
will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	23	$2.7K	2,859	315	+2,544	Yes	+$3	04-02 01:09
will trump say make america great again during tpusa events on april 17	9	$2.6K	2,686	0	+2,686	Yes	-$12	04-18 00:23
will trump say assassin or assassinate during tpusa events on april 17	6	$2.6K	2,648	0	+2,648	Yes	+$30	04-17 23:10
will trump say epic fury during kentucky visit	12	$2.6K	2,644	0	+2,644	Yes	-$14	03-11 21:59
will trump say id identification at the nrcc dinner on march 25 145	10	$2.6K	2,655	0	+2,655	Yes	-$5	03-26 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 19:31:08	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	SELL	53	81¢	$43	0xed4672…
09-09 19:48:57	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	905	100¢	$904	0x52c263…
09-09 19:48:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1,019	98¢	$1,004	0x3f243f…
08-18 15:55:39	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,000	0x9022d7…
08-14 06:03:30	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,496	0xf82909…
08-02 09:57:42	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2,405	100¢	$2,400	0xc12ee4…
07-29 12:49:09	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x7a207c…
07-29 12:49:00	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x7e848a…
07-29 12:48:39	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	Yes	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x185e7b…
07-29 12:48:33	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	SELL	118	48¢	$57	0x5f0421…
07-29 12:48:17	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xecabfc…
07-29 12:48:05	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x64db86…
07-29 12:35:29	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xcf60d1…
07-29 12:23:33	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb53179…
07-29 12:16:50	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x104052…
07-29 12:15:18	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x1db6cf…
07-29 12:10:36	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	Yes	BUY	150	68¢	$102	0x53622c…
07-29 11:56:44	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x613c0c…
07-29 11:52:21	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xae8e34…
07-29 11:52:21	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x8e3570…
07-29 11:36:27	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4c94eb…
07-29 11:04:02	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x9dde0d…
07-29 10:40:44	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xb6e7ee…
07-29 10:35:26	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xf5a5d8…
07-29 10:25:44	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xd5fab2…
07-29 10:18:44	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xeeb2d7…
07-29 09:58:26	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x260a2a…
07-29 09:24:11	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xc60805…
07-29 09:01:38	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x479af1…
07-29 08:43:42	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x99b628…
07-29 08:25:12	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xfeeb00…
07-29 07:57:27	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x11cbc6…
07-29 07:35:35	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8334bc…
07-29 07:29:18	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xd94666…
07-29 07:19:59	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x8bf763…
07-29 06:53:24	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xa68e08…
07-29 06:25:35	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xd4dcc4…
07-29 06:24:26	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x72fa66…
07-29 06:09:51	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xdacfd6…
07-29 06:03:09	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x3c0ada…
07-29 05:45:57	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xf349a9…
07-29 05:38:00	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xff9fc6…
07-29 05:24:15	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x405767…
07-29 05:21:12	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x2bc8c7…
07-29 05:16:56	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x5d865e…
07-29 05:09:18	Will Warsh say "Uncertainty" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	173	30¢	$52	0x204c15…
07-29 04:56:12	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbb7362…
07-29 03:59:24	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xd42c91…
07-29 03:43:51	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x1add7b…
07-29 03:37:41	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x99d83e…
07-29 03:17:53	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xc92e3c…
07-29 03:05:57	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xf74afe…
07-29 02:50:12	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x94b67f…
07-29 02:47:27	Will Procter & Gamble say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xbfa131…
07-29 02:46:51	Will Procter & Gamble say "Currency" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x45c8a6…
07-29 02:32:50	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x28140f…
07-29 02:25:27	Will Procter & Gamble say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	213	95¢	$203	0xd65a84…
07-28 22:35:38	will procter gamble say portfolio during earnings call 20260717164206376	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x83f701…
07-28 22:30:52	will procter gamble say innovation 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206367	No	BUY	301	5¢	$14	0xaf88fe…
07-28 20:07:17	will procter gamble say innovation 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206367	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xb5aafa…
07-28 20:06:14	will procter gamble say geopolitical during earnings call 20260717164206381	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x8380e2…
07-28 18:32:49	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x4d87d4…
07-28 17:29:43	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	No	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x54d106…
07-28 17:29:29	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	No	SELL	195	36¢	$70	0x2c3126…
07-28 17:28:26	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	SELL	300	25¢	$75	0x4cab51…
07-28 15:04:29	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	264	36¢	$95	0xc3c87c…
07-28 15:00:13	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc8dd16…
07-28 14:56:41	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x21f7e8…
07-28 14:54:05	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4f034d…
07-28 14:52:31	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa88da3…
07-28 14:35:35	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0cf87b…
07-28 14:35:08	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x692c91…
07-28 14:24:34	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xe8cfa8…
07-28 14:09:02	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0xabcfea…
07-28 14:01:08	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xf63aa0…
07-28 13:57:44	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	Yes	BUY	86	36¢	$31	0x0851d9…
07-28 13:20:13	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x323a6b…
07-28 12:34:13	will procter gamble say world cup during earnings call 20260717164206374	Yes	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0x43fa49…
07-28 11:59:34	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x756884…
07-28 11:39:56	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x151ec4…
07-28 11:28:46	will trump say biden or obama 4 times during fox friends appearance 20260728022316499	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x885561…
07-28 11:21:13	will trump say military during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556645	No	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x1c38ba…
07-28 11:20:53	will trump say covid during fox friends appearance 20260728022316506	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xffe255…
07-28 11:19:23	will trump say stock market during fox friends appearance 20260728022316514	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xfa7306…
07-28 11:14:37	will trump say biden or obama 4 times during fox friends appearance 20260728022316499	Yes	BUY	90	62¢	$56	0x613099…
07-28 11:05:38	will procter gamble say profit 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206370	No	SELL	300	94¢	$283	0x766f95…
07-28 11:01:19	will trump say communist or communism during fox friends appearance 20260728022316511	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x87ef14…
07-28 11:00:35	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0x3a27a5…
07-28 11:00:17	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xcc1971…
07-28 11:00:08	will trump say democrat during fox friends appearance 20260728022316508	No	BUY	77	15¢	$12	0x85b2a8…
07-28 10:46:29	will trump say fake news during fox friends appearance 20260728022316510	No	SELL	46	40¢	$19	0x9af3a2…
07-28 10:45:58	will trump say hell during fox friends appearance 20260728022316503	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x7778cb…
07-28 10:44:43	will trump say putin during fox friends appearance 20260728022316501	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x0d815d…
07-28 10:41:08	will trump say election during fox friends appearance 20260728022316504	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x07b5ea…
07-28 10:40:22	will crazy be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025079	Yes	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xe27f81…
07-28 10:40:14	will red be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025076	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x630d5f…
07-28 10:40:07	will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025074	No	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x6284df…
07-28 10:39:55	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025069	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x01d363…
07-28 10:39:43	will people be said 150 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025067 197	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x0607f2…
07-28 10:39:40	will trump say stock market during fox friends appearance 20260728022316514	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xd028b1…