Difficult-Mantel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$134

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

1,148

Trades

1,224

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 07-03 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 85% +$51

Other

48% 50% +$86

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?	2	$71	50	50	+0	Yes	+$28	06-15 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 15?	1	$24	50	0	+50	No	-$24	06-15 06:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:45 UTC	3	$14	16	0	+16	Down	+$2	06-06 17:49
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	06-05 05:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 00:30 UTC	1	$12	13	0	+13	Down	+$1	06-05 00:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 00:25 UTC	1	$12	12	0	+12	Up	+$1	06-05 00:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:40 UTC	1	$11	13	0	+13	Up	+$2	06-04 22:44
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$11	14	0	+14	Up	+$2	06-04 21:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:10 UTC	1	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	06-04 17:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:05 UTC	1	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$1	06-04 17:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:05 UTC	1	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	06-04 06:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:10 UTC	1	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	06-04 16:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:50 UTC	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	06-04 15:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	06-04 15:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:40 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	06-04 17:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:25 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	06-04 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	06-03 18:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:55 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	06-04 12:59
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	06-03 18:49
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$2	06-04 08:29
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	06-03 18:29
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	06-04 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	06-03 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	06-03 16:49
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	06-03 11:29
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	06-03 06:04
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	06-03 05:49
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	06-03 05:44
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	06-02 15:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:20 UTC	1	$9	13	0	+13	Up	-$9	06-04 07:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 17:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 3?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x490e2e…
07-03 16:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x515932…
07-03 13:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 5?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x8273f6…
07-03 10:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 4?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbc2f8d…
07-03 08:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 5?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xfce041…
07-03 07:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 4?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe882cc…
07-03 07:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7ad4d8…
07-03 03:55:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 4?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x52de78…
07-03 01:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x4eeba3…
07-02 21:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xbc3bab…
07-02 20:15:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 2?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7d6421…
07-02 17:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x6377c5…
07-02 13:26:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 3?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x85ee06…
07-02 13:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xf5b123…
07-02 13:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x16ce20…
07-02 13:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xcce86c…
07-02 12:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 3?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xfb40d0…
07-02 12:44:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 3?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x4f0ccb…
07-02 12:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x51899e…
07-02 12:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x39982c…
07-02 12:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x709f67…
07-02 12:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xba0738…
07-02 10:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xa23ef5…
07-02 09:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xfde806…
07-02 09:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xd68d34…
07-02 08:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x99fa99…
07-02 08:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5c7f34…
07-02 07:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x918c85…
07-02 07:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xfe8b3e…
07-02 07:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x789338…
07-02 07:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x1f6320…
07-02 07:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 3?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x5f1320…
07-02 07:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x4d26a8…
07-02 07:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x19d028…
07-02 07:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x4c02a7…
07-02 07:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x62d7d1…
07-02 07:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x7a9d86…
07-02 05:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xa7b23e…
07-02 05:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x044d18…
07-02 05:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf33ed0…
07-02 03:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x93f398…
07-02 03:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 3?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x894db0…
07-02 02:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe65c28…
07-02 02:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x702b80…
07-02 02:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x8fdbe6…
07-02 02:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 3?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xfbbd8d…
07-02 01:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xf39940…
07-02 00:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x33b795…
07-02 00:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xd7c511…
07-02 00:08:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x55a264…
07-01 23:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x42d0b3…
07-01 22:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 2?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x952203…
07-01 22:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xad3bbc…
07-01 21:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x770f54…
07-01 20:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x1f9a84…
07-01 20:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xa62698…
07-01 19:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x493643…
07-01 19:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xfab9b1…
07-01 19:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5ef78c…
07-01 19:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xafe6a8…
07-01 19:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x268b7e…
07-01 18:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x2e35c2…
07-01 18:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x1a0bb7…
07-01 18:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x378dd0…
07-01 18:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x939a59…
07-01 18:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x0c7aa1…
07-01 18:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xdb4ef3…
07-01 18:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xceb23d…
07-01 18:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x9c2327…
07-01 17:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 37°C on July 1?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5f2804…
07-01 17:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x090df6…
07-01 17:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 1?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf2ba77…
07-01 16:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x4b160d…
07-01 16:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 1?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x669ca2…
07-01 14:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x7e8ca3…
07-01 14:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 1?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2b5b54…
07-01 13:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xe78fff…
07-01 11:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x3ae845…
07-01 08:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x31b490…
07-01 08:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x41fca8…
07-01 07:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x30e3e1…
07-01 07:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xfdefc9…
07-01 07:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 2?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x714d73…
07-01 07:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x756c81…
07-01 06:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x65ef9f…
07-01 06:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x2bff72…
07-01 05:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 1?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x887ef9…
07-01 05:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 1?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xaa263e…
07-01 05:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 1?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x21bdaf…
07-01 04:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x2e4194…
07-01 03:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 1?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe7a33f…
07-01 03:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x8f4151…
07-01 03:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 1?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x2f2784…
07-01 03:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xa28376…
07-01 03:05:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 2?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x3312d1…
07-01 02:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x557c5a…
07-01 02:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 2?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xb5bc50…
07-01 01:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x8055af…
07-01 01:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x52d36c…
07-01 01:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xe52282…