Tiny-Chastity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-26 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 85% -$6

Other

44% 100% +$1

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No		+18	$17	100¢	$17	$0	10-26 03:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2900 on january 4	1	$94	94	+94	Yes	+$0	01-04 01:59
bitcoin above 100k on january 9	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	01-08 08:55
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 400 419	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-17 09:49
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 600 619	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-25 09:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	06-08 02:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	05-19 03:24
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-29 02:38
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-24 08:42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	06-04 07:24
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-14 10:39
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 400 419	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-05 06:37
bitcoin above 96k on january 12	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	01-12 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-08 09:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-12 03:32
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-03 09:51
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$88	89	+89	Yes	+$0	03-02 01:26
bitcoin above 86k on february 3	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	02-03 07:36
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$88	88	+88	Yes	+$0	03-12 08:47
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	1	$88	88	+88	Yes	+$0	03-06 09:40
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$88	88	+88	Yes	+$0	03-31 03:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 26	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-26 07:18
will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	01-21 09:25
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-21 08:44
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 420 439	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	02-26 08:25
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$87	87	+87	Yes	+$0	04-20 01:54
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	04-14 08:57
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$87	87	+87	Yes	+$0	04-10 07:07
ethereum above 2300 on february 9	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	02-09 09:55
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	01-30 08:06
bitcoin above 68k on march 18	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	03-18 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:52:53	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xdcc00e…
09-27 09:07:30	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x540be6…
08-24 07:03:22	Trump out as President by August 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x830e9c…
06-08 02:50:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x65cde0…
06-04 07:24:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x82f341…
05-29 02:38:04	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xcab359…
05-24 08:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xfb6179…
05-19 03:24:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb4d0ef…
05-14 10:39:39	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xfabee7…
05-12 03:32:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x2b0daa…
05-08 09:13:29	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xf80252…
05-03 09:51:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x5c5c6c…
04-28 02:50:54	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x048e92…
04-28 02:50:42	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xde4d8b…
04-24 07:48:18	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x6ac6ea…
04-24 07:48:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa95e72…
04-24 07:47:58	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x322f5d…
04-20 01:54:16	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xa6da40…
04-14 08:57:55	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x9b5a1b…
04-10 07:07:21	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xa3596e…
04-10 07:07:07	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f45d5…
04-10 07:07:03	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x860a78…
04-05 06:37:45	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 400 419	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xe48794…
03-31 03:10:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa4a2cd…
03-26 07:18:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 26	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x9a4abc…
03-21 08:44:21	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x621234…
03-18 02:45:43	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d0295…
03-18 02:45:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d232a…
03-18 02:45:17	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x7c023d…
03-12 08:47:05	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x8d8466…
03-06 09:40:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xd8f60b…
03-02 01:26:15	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0xc6731a…
02-26 08:25:32	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 420 439	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xae9569…
02-09 09:55:03	ethereum above 2300 on february 9	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x53b6d8…
02-09 09:54:53	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd27fca…
02-09 09:54:35	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc80cd6…
02-09 09:54:27	will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb0bc0a…
02-03 07:36:04	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x7ed6c1…
01-30 08:06:16	will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xb9c5bb…
01-30 08:06:06	will openai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81c68c…
01-30 08:05:50	bitcoin above 90k on january 30	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$4	0x2bede7…
01-25 09:49:08	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 600 619	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3e5296…
01-21 09:25:20	will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x5c855a…
01-21 09:24:58	elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 165 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb527c…
01-21 09:24:48	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 21 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x969884…
01-17 09:49:52	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 400 419	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x8dc344…
01-12 09:17:14	bitcoin above 96k on january 12	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x1d0dbb…
01-12 09:16:58	highest temperature in london on january 12 14c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf3f946…
01-12 09:16:42	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x01ade3…
01-12 09:16:08	ethereum above 2800 on january 12	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x4bd0ac…
01-08 08:55:55	bitcoin above 100k on january 9	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xaa90c2…
01-08 08:55:43	ethereum above 2700 on january 9	No	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x49f712…
01-04 01:59:27	ethereum above 2900 on january 4	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x2f2dc7…