Gullible-Leaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$320

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

935

Trades

2,768

lifetime

Volume

$23.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-08 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 90% -$54

Other

18% 37% -$267

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$133	134	0	+134	Up	+$1	05-31 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$133	135	0	+135	Down	-$133	05-31 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$132	134	0	+134	Down	+$1	05-31 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$132	133	0	+133	Up	+$1	05-31 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$132	133	0	+133	Up	+$1	05-31 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	11	$130	134	0	+134	Down	+$4	05-31 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$128	132	0	+132	Down	+$4	05-31 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$128	135	0	+135	Up	+$7	05-31 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$127	130	0	+130	Down	+$3	05-31 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$126	128	0	+128	Up	+$3	05-31 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$125	127	0	+127	Up	+$1	05-31 20:04
highest temperature in nyc on february 23 2026 36forhigher	52	$122	172	212	-40	Yes	-$52	02-23 04:25
highest temperature in nyc on february 20 2026 36 37f	17	$115	97	112	-16	No	+$74	02-21 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	05-28 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$105	106	0	+106	Up	-$105	06-01 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$104	105	0	+105	Up	+$1	06-01 07:09
highest temperature in seattle on february 21 2026 44 45f	36	$104	104	120	-16	No	-$10	02-22 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$101	108	0	+108	Down	+$6	06-01 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$101	102	0	+102	Down	+$1	06-01 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$99	103	0	+103	Up	+$4	06-01 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$98	99	0	+99	Down	+$1	06-01 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$98	106	0	+106	Up	+$7	05-28 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$97	99	0	+99	Down	+$2	06-01 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$96	98	0	+98	Down	+$2	06-01 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$96	97	0	+97	Down	+$1	06-01 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$94	95	0	+95	Up	+$1	06-01 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$94	95	0	+95	Up	+$1	06-01 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$93	94	0	+94	Up	+$1	06-01 04:34
highest temperature in dallas on february 22 2026 57forbelow	46	$93	138	118	+20	No	-$5	02-22 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	6	$92	98	0	+98	Down	+$5	05-28 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb50e88…
06-08 21:54:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x56b935…
06-08 21:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x70811e…
06-08 21:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x672c73…
06-08 21:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x776d55…
06-08 21:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdd9e64…
06-03 16:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xda3d7f…
06-03 15:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9a132f…
06-03 15:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfc656c…
06-03 15:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x667e54…
06-03 15:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x7b0e67…
06-03 14:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x580cb8…
06-03 14:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x5f3575…
06-03 14:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x0fc7ab…
06-03 14:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xba6af0…
06-03 14:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x50c3a2…
06-03 14:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x938d57…
06-03 14:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x10eb5f…
06-03 14:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xccefe0…
06-03 14:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa26aac…
06-03 14:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd01c99…
06-03 13:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5edaca…
06-03 13:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x975edb…
06-03 13:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x613f9b…
06-03 13:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x159ecd…
06-03 13:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8a772c…
06-03 12:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc7f624…
06-03 12:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x9aeaa7…
06-03 11:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x042b12…
06-03 07:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x5f8154…
06-03 07:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x447e76…
06-03 07:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x8be5e4…
06-03 07:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc5db48…
06-03 07:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x55cbf1…
06-03 07:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6b5212…
06-03 07:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb06b41…
06-03 07:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$7	0x13e549…
06-03 07:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x437408…
06-03 06:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xab1b4c…
06-03 06:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd8712f…
06-03 06:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x4c1223…
06-03 06:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2049b4…
06-03 06:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc0d1f0…
06-03 06:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x05e711…
06-03 06:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe99dd4…
06-03 06:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x00dd3a…
06-03 05:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xf31fba…
06-03 05:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x3ce173…
06-03 05:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x35b0f8…
06-03 05:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x3d8dcc…
06-03 05:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x251b1a…
06-03 04:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x67e580…
06-03 04:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xbef40b…
06-03 04:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x6f7dee…
06-03 03:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0xe93e3d…
06-03 03:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd7031e…
06-03 03:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4f6117…
06-03 03:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf94a63…
06-03 02:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x100d09…
06-03 02:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x7d495e…
06-03 02:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x4d2110…
06-03 02:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5f650b…
06-03 02:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xeb6b0d…
06-03 02:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x077dd4…
06-03 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5c152f…
06-03 02:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xbec593…
06-03 01:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x440856…
06-03 01:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x6912e6…
06-03 01:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xaca19d…
06-03 01:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x020761…
06-03 00:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x4e8cef…
06-03 00:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x22bc39…
06-03 00:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0xbab68a…
06-03 00:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x9290a0…
06-03 00:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x035b0b…
06-03 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xdfd786…
06-03 00:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6da11d…
06-03 00:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x5918e4…
06-02 23:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x2fd5da…
06-02 23:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb70729…
06-02 23:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa9c023…
06-02 23:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1b0656…
06-02 23:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xffe56a…
06-02 23:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x8b684d…
06-02 23:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xa87b68…
06-02 23:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x84a082…
06-02 22:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xbef422…
06-02 22:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x63786e…
06-02 22:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb38c1e…
06-02 22:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd435dd…
06-02 22:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xd5b57e…
06-02 21:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xd5ef44…
06-02 21:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x9379f1…
06-02 21:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc8a83b…
06-02 21:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc0ff5a…
06-02 21:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x40c8d6…
06-02 21:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xbfce86…
06-02 21:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdca42e…
06-02 21:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xda33e5…
06-02 21:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf81293…