Fumbling-Inlay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.1%

Resolved

3,000

Trades

3,263

lifetime

Volume

$3.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-30 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% +$59

Other

3% 34% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$5	12	+12	Down	-$5	10-08 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$4	8	+8	Up	+$4	10-06 16:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$4	10	+10	Down	-$4	10-07 12:47
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$4	9	+9	Up	+$5	10-12 17:01
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$4	12	+12	Down	-$4	10-22 08:12
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$4	9	+9	Up	+$5	10-07 09:36
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$4	11	+11	Up	+$7	10-08 11:12
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$4	8	+8	Up	+$4	10-08 17:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$4	7	+7	Up	-$1	10-05 13:07
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$3	6	+6	Up	+$3	10-01 15:38
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Up	+$4	10-02 17:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$3	9	+9	Down	+$1	10-05 11:31
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$3	8	+8	Up	+$3	10-13 01:47
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$3	8	+8	Up	+$5	10-05 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$3	6	+6	Up	+$3	10-02 06:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:05 UTC	2	$3	6	+6	Down	-$3	10-05 17:08
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$3	8	+8	Down	-$3	10-08 04:41
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$3	5	+5	Down	-$3	10-07 15:43
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Down	-$3	10-06 19:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$3	8	+8	Up	+$5	10-07 14:08
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Up	+$4	10-08 16:07
BNB Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$3	17	+17	Down	-$3	10-22 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Up	+$4	10-06 16:18
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	10-07 14:33
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$3	10	+10	Down	-$3	10-08 16:33
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$3	12	+12	Down	-$3	10-22 08:36
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$3	9	+9	Up	+$6	10-07 09:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	2	$3	8	+8	Up	+$1	10-14 15:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$3	6	+6	Up	+$3	10-07 02:27
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$3	5	+5	Down	-$3	10-02 19:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:10:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1c9eba…
10-30 11:25:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x455c39…
10-30 11:05:46	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc2ed28…
10-30 10:55:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x07f3bd…
10-30 10:52:18	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4d4a77…
10-30 10:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe7b376…
10-30 10:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2abcca…
10-30 10:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9b2ae8…
10-30 10:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0fcad2…
10-30 09:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x927c93…
10-30 09:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x392665…
10-30 09:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0c49a7…
10-30 09:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1c49d4…
10-30 08:07:13	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x40ce20…
10-30 07:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x914f43…
10-30 07:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5686ef…
10-30 07:45:28	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x17b754…
10-30 06:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa1382e…
10-30 06:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x99ac96…
10-30 05:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x80788b…
10-30 04:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc2c330…
10-30 01:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8cce11…
10-30 01:53:42	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1e86b7…
10-30 01:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x39a96e…
10-30 01:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2bbdc6…
10-30 01:07:13	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0d82f3…
10-30 00:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa0ca96…
10-30 00:27:46	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfee423…
10-30 00:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x52445a…
10-30 00:20:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcb8370…
10-30 00:02:24	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x85f348…
10-29 22:42:13	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x41dea4…
10-29 22:26:37	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9038ac…
10-29 22:21:54	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6ed88a…
10-29 21:10:10	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbfa2f5…
10-29 21:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd38262…
10-29 20:45:25	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x733710…
10-29 20:05:33	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf55836…
10-29 15:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x24b7e9…
10-29 15:10:34	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc7c0ff…
10-29 12:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd12b90…
10-29 11:50:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1e8480…
10-29 10:50:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9e0341…
10-29 10:20:20	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4d1dc6…
10-29 09:35:10	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x18d464…
10-29 09:15:11	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb35f86…
10-29 07:37:53	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaf7f45…
10-29 07:05:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x43fbcc…
10-29 06:05:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3b2b9c…
10-29 05:05:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x88fa3d…
10-29 01:52:35	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6724f8…
10-29 00:55:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x814220…
10-29 00:50:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x51a52a…
10-28 21:30:22	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc599ab…
10-28 21:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x705cd7…
10-28 18:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x63dd0b…
10-28 18:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xccd0fa…
10-28 16:55:10	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5a0ba6…
10-28 15:25:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdeb74a…
10-28 14:25:44	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x85c98b…
10-28 13:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0f0276…
10-28 13:50:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd1a611…
10-28 12:05:23	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x32e0b4…
10-28 11:10:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2be95d…
10-28 10:32:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1f98cc…
10-28 10:30:44	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc7a050…
10-28 09:50:44	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1e3b48…
10-28 09:40:34	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3e6035…
10-28 09:30:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa4c838…
10-28 08:20:13	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x686396…
10-28 08:05:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8fbf95…
10-28 08:05:14	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x48693e…
10-28 07:35:37	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa05cca…
10-28 04:50:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x866172…
10-28 04:20:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2d8426…
10-28 03:30:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd556da…
10-28 02:55:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8966cf…
10-28 01:40:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x797ce5…
10-28 01:35:14	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x867478…
10-28 01:25:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8596da…
10-28 00:05:45	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xef5b8f…
10-27 21:37:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd1c3ac…
10-27 20:35:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb4f555…
10-27 17:05:11	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7ab105…
10-27 16:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe732e3…
10-27 15:20:11	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4c9bd6…
10-27 14:20:18	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3c5b10…
10-27 13:50:38	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x65a6c9…
10-27 13:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x68b7cc…
10-27 12:30:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdbc0ad…
10-27 12:25:50	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb8f7d1…
10-27 12:20:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x80e5b1…
10-27 10:45:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7ee4b6…
10-27 10:10:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdd53f7…
10-27 10:06:02	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7b8e86…
10-27 10:00:23	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4b8380…
10-27 09:40:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1ed9db…
10-27 08:05:50	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x326ef2…
10-27 07:50:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa9e09f…
10-27 06:55:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x415f47…