Closed-Sampan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

132

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$554

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 05-10 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

38% — —

Politics

32% 100% +$1

Crypto

31% 36% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp cosano kuzmano 2026 03 03	2	$41	108	108	+0	open	—	03-03 18:27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	10	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	03-10 09:05
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-03 00:50
atp vallejo boyer 2026 03 02	4	$18	11	11	-0	open	—	03-03 18:28
atp bertola chidekh 2026 03 02	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 18:27
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	03-04 16:26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$16	24	24	+0	open	—	03-08 20:42
us strikes iraq by march 7	2	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	03-08 02:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	03-10 09:06
will trump talk to keir starmer in march 893	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	03-08 16:15
atp tabur nishiko 2026 03 03	6	$11	150	150	+0	open	—	03-03 15:14
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-04 18:23
atp jover tobon 2026 03 03	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	03-03 18:28
will the sp 500 index lose at least 5 on any day in q1	8	$8	47	47	+0	open	—	03-08 20:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$8	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	03-10 09:06
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 liv	4	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	03-03 18:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	03-10 09:05
epl lee sun 2026 03 03 lee	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	03-03 18:26
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-09 22:08
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	2	$5	2	2	+0	open	—	03-08 03:01
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-06 19:35
cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 fcb	2	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	03-03 18:27
will the sp 500 index lose at least 4 on any day in q1	4	$5	14	14	+0	open	—	03-09 19:10
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-08 02:00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-10 09:06
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	6	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-03 21:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	03-10 09:06
atp erhard schwaer 2026 03 02	1	$4	3,988	0	+3,988	open	—	03-03 15:14
epl eve bur 2026 03 03 eve	3	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	03-03 18:27
wta rakhimo timofee 2026 03 02	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-03 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 05:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa79f3d…
05-10 05:08:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x9bbe86…
05-10 05:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe43ff6…
05-10 05:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xac9a57…
05-10 04:45:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfce42f…
05-10 04:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf8c032…
05-10 04:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x098386…
05-10 04:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x0d619a…
05-10 04:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x28d590…
05-10 04:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc2eb46…
05-10 03:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7db82d…
05-10 03:33:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x21c326…
05-10 03:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x8fc039…
05-10 03:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf47174…
05-10 02:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8306d1…
05-10 02:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x332169…
05-10 02:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xbce5ac…
05-09 17:05:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x6fca11…
05-09 16:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x64cc80…
05-09 16:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x01c929…
05-09 16:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x009b46…
05-09 16:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcc5028…
05-09 12:19:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2d3401…
05-09 12:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x513813…
05-09 12:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x53920b…
05-09 12:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x11b837…
05-09 12:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x394434…
05-09 11:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6be14b…
05-09 09:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc88327…
05-07 07:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x211728…
05-07 07:24:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x266262…
05-07 07:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5f69f9…
05-07 07:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x814f97…
05-07 07:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xfeb4c7…
05-07 05:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x34a471…
05-07 05:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbdc5fa…
05-07 05:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe633c5…
05-07 05:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xf3e195…
05-07 05:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9cbdb7…
05-07 05:19:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb2dbb6…
05-07 05:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0efa33…
05-07 04:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd70064…
05-07 04:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa6235d…
05-07 04:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x55ddb2…
05-07 04:21:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd61b64…
05-07 04:10:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa9fe05…
05-07 04:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x00a926…
05-07 04:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x97cdbe…
05-07 04:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xda831e…
05-07 03:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xc5cbe8…
05-07 03:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x978d80…
05-07 03:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8442f6…
05-07 03:49:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbf8cca…
05-07 03:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xd46a7b…
05-07 03:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x891732…
05-07 03:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9bcb49…
05-07 03:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x60ade4…
05-07 03:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf1641b…
05-07 03:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xbf807a…
05-07 01:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x69db32…
05-07 01:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe6d16d…
05-07 01:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x35f04b…
05-07 01:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xbc8b2f…
05-07 00:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc9a840…
05-07 00:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xdb0d7a…
05-07 00:40:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2e11cf…
05-07 00:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa35add…
05-07 00:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x04e20d…
05-07 00:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x480425…
05-06 23:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xaa1fcf…
05-06 23:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x19b62a…
05-06 23:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xccc030…
05-06 22:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc43452…
05-06 22:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x91823c…
05-06 22:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcfdc76…
05-06 22:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x33cd93…
05-06 22:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x297eac…
05-06 22:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x940559…
05-06 22:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x194dcf…
05-06 22:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x212ca4…
05-06 22:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x984c4c…
05-06 22:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf2ba4c…
05-06 21:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x06fdae…
05-06 21:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xe30eeb…
05-06 21:47:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x21a375…
05-06 21:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe3534f…
05-06 21:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb89561…
05-06 21:07:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x15f978…
05-06 21:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x738287…
05-06 21:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3e0161…
05-06 21:05:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x68e620…
05-06 18:52:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x011696…
05-06 18:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x355ad4…
05-06 18:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x15881b…
05-06 18:10:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x98130a…
05-06 18:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x44fd30…
05-06 18:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x179b63…
05-06 18:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x83f97a…
05-06 18:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xc46d94…
05-06 18:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x49a15d…