Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$211

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

$1.28K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 11-10 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

56% 30% -$1,357

Politics

21% 60% +$1,006

Tech

19% — —

Sports

3% 36% +$140

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+1,529	$1,300	84¢	$1.3K	-$23	11-10 16:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	4	$2.9K	1,797	1,797	+0	open	—	11-07 11:55
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$2.5K	1,471	1,471	+0	Yes	+$457	11-04 02:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$2.1K	2,276	2,276	+0	Yes	-$389	09-03 15:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$1.3K	1,529	0	+1,529	open	—	11-10 16:36
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	2	$946	800	800	+0	Yes	-$222	08-31 03:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$926	1,058	100	+958	Yes	+$221	07-29 17:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	8	$850	630	630	+0	open	—	10-03 13:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$724	1,005	0	+1,005	Yes	+$281	10-15 16:56
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	8	$596	562	562	+0	No	-$11	07-08 16:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$537	516	516	+0	No	-$52	09-08 02:47
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	11	$510	0	2,412	-2,412	open	—	06-22 02:38
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$496	0	3,100	-3,100	No	+$496	07-05 03:30
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	9	$481	963	0	+963	No	-$481	07-05 04:48
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	4	$394	400	400	+0	open	—	06-22 14:46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$182	840	840	+0	open	—	06-20 11:47
will googl reach 400 in june 2026	1	$150	750	0	+750	No	-$150	06-09 15:29
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	11	$144	143	71	+71	Yes	+$67	07-19 01:15
spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	6	$136	407	200	+207	Up	-$135	04-10 13:34
spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	7	$127	750	0	+750	Up	-$127	04-17 10:02
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	5	$117	250	250	+0	Up	-$82	04-24 12:34
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$117	0	800	-800	No	+$117	07-05 03:31
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	1	$100	447	0	+447	No	-$100	07-03 17:21
will mexico reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120735	1	$99	180	0	+180	Yes	+$81	06-11 17:20
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$99	200	0	+200	Yes	-$99	04-10 11:51
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	3	$75	200	0	+200	Up	+$125	04-09 03:42
will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	1	$73	143	0	+143	No	-$73	06-14 22:06
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$71	120	120	+0	No	-$28	05-14 15:38
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$68	200	66	+134	Yes	+$143	07-15 03:45
spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	2	$54	300	0	+300	Down	-$54	04-12 15:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	6	$53	120	0	+120	No	-$53	04-20 07:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 16:36:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,529	85¢	$1,300	0x2dd375…
11-07 11:55:48	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,797	76¢	$1,365	0xc9027e…
11-04 12:40:00	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,630	84¢	$1,369	0xf7a2d9…
11-04 12:39:22	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xa40413…
11-04 12:37:22	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	84¢	$123	0xab9c5d…
11-04 02:48:33	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,471	99¢	$1,457	0xb1e5f9…
10-29 04:09:43	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0x71aad4…
10-15 16:56:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	213	72¢	$153	0x27d7e0…
10-15 16:32:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	792	72¢	$570	0xfd84e0…
10-03 13:56:00	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	630	95¢	$598	0xdbf91a…
09-08 02:47:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	516	47¢	$243	0x1ab9a4…
09-03 15:12:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	516	57¢	$294	0x6038eb…
09-03 15:12:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	736	42¢	$309	0x89bb1a…
08-31 03:45:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	736	53¢	$390	0x31e324…
08-31 03:45:03	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	800	45¢	$362	0xc88864…
08-14 05:01:46	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	800	73¢	$584	0xe5767b…
08-12 11:22:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,540	36¢	$554	0xbc42c8…
08-03 12:11:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,540	56¢	$862	0x941a33…
07-29 17:02:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	258	75¢	$193	0xcfdc05…
07-27 07:32:54	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	136	8¢	$11	0x79adb3…
07-27 07:31:36	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xf3854a…
07-19 08:39:27	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x3024d4…
07-19 01:15:37	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x1a444c…
07-18 22:03:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xa24954…
07-18 19:31:13	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x04b985…
07-18 19:31:12	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa158da…
07-18 19:31:12	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4c2f48…
07-18 19:30:06	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x9aa624…
07-18 19:26:28	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2230d0…
07-18 19:25:45	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	67	19¢	$13	0xe59a6a…
07-18 19:25:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0x30a8b2…
07-18 16:11:03	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xfad1e8…
07-18 15:10:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x1efb9e…
07-15 04:34:31	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0xa87110…
07-15 03:45:31	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	66	58¢	$38	0x799e28…
07-09 02:43:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	320	78¢	$250	0x918332…
07-08 16:11:01	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	562	52¢	$292	0x578721…
07-06 15:51:01	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x5f0e51…
07-06 15:47:20	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0x354e21…
07-06 15:24:26	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	149	54¢	$80	0x5bdf87…
07-06 15:20:22	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	89	54¢	$48	0x65c42a…
07-06 15:20:16	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	87	54¢	$47	0x0bb4a7…
07-06 15:08:14	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0x48cf82…
07-06 15:08:08	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	136	54¢	$74	0xb377c1…
07-05 04:48:32	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xe218b2…
07-05 04:47:50	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x6fa0ed…
07-05 04:47:10	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x00fa98…
07-05 04:46:43	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x66345d…
07-05 04:43:02	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x4e5a4f…
07-05 04:36:19	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x902bff…
07-05 04:35:50	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	59	55¢	$32	0xe9e4a6…
07-05 04:35:23	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	62	55¢	$34	0x766c76…
07-05 03:31:04	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	800	15¢	$117	0x5a4fd3…
07-05 03:30:53	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3,100	16¢	$496	0xa74e4b…
07-03 17:22:05	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	363	41¢	$150	0x53a845…
07-03 17:21:38	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	447	22¢	$100	0x3ac6e6…
07-01 16:46:10	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xdf00b2…
07-01 16:46:08	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x7125ae…
06-27 08:15:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	480	81¢	$389	0xc5b7d7…
06-22 14:46:53	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	400	47¢	$190	0xba4e9e…
06-22 02:38:07	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,216	10¢	$116	0x9ee802…
06-20 11:47:29	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	840	10¢	$81	0xfdb5ea…
06-16 03:37:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$29	0x4c79ea…
06-14 22:06:07	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	BUY	143	51¢	$73	0x77001b…
06-14 17:21:24	will cristiano ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	140	18¢	$25	0xd78966…
06-14 02:18:30	will casemiro score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0x5401af…
06-14 02:18:09	will casemiro score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x7a5d9f…
06-14 00:15:04	will casemiro score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x01873d…
06-13 14:14:00	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x04464c…
06-12 21:25:48	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xe29bfc…
06-12 21:07:28	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xbf58e7…
06-12 19:46:45	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xf97f75…
06-12 19:20:34	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xe16ad6…
06-12 03:39:51	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	129	51¢	$66	0x17cf04…
06-12 03:21:15	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	31¢	$38	0x951c9f…
06-12 03:01:49	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	32¢	$35	0xe83854…
06-12 02:20:58	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	32¢	$44	0xdb50b4…
06-12 02:16:25	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	112	51¢	$57	0x0a7629…
06-12 01:41:25	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	159	51¢	$81	0x367af3…
06-11 20:38:40	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	39¢	$14	0xdd31c3…
06-11 19:20:51	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	40¢	$79	0xa99c9b…
06-11 18:24:24	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xe9cab6…
06-11 18:20:34	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	40¢	$99	0xf76582…
06-11 17:59:06	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x4b9216…
06-11 17:20:34	will mexico reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120735	Yes	BUY	180	55¢	$99	0x717546…
06-11 17:20:24	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xdb87a3…
06-11 17:19:40	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x412209…
06-11 17:19:37	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0xdfb1fc…
06-11 17:19:37	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	40¢	$16	0xd12547…
06-11 17:19:37	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	40¢	$14	0x89f3f4…
06-11 17:19:34	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	34¢	$30	0x5b5029…
06-11 16:09:15	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	34¢	$69	0x16746c…
06-11 16:07:43	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	331	33¢	$108	0x6895cd…
06-11 15:10:04	will lionel messi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	170	15¢	$26	0x272b9b…
06-09 15:29:27	will googl reach 400 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	750	20¢	$150	0xf75b5e…
06-08 08:46:37	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	840	12¢	$101	0xf746fb…
06-06 13:46:21	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	380	5¢	$20	0x46fc91…
05-14 17:29:58	Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x7ff981…
05-14 15:48:03	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x640893…
05-14 15:38:15	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	120	18¢	$22	0x0527de…