Simplistic-Carabao — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

862

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-14 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1767826800	5	$334	654	650	+4	open	—	01-07 23:14
btc updown 15m 1767695400	7	$252	254	254	+0	open	—	01-06 10:45
btc updown 15m 1767718800	5	$170	169	131	+38	open	—	01-06 17:14
btc updown 15m 1767803400	2	$157	107	105	+2	open	—	01-07 16:36
btc updown 15m 1767631500	7	$146	136	136	+0	open	—	01-05 16:58
btc updown 15m 1767696300	8	$139	150	150	+0	open	—	01-06 10:58
btc updown 15m 1767825900	5	$136	244	102	+141	open	—	01-07 22:53
btc updown 15m 1767699000	3	$136	0	250	-250	open	—	01-06 11:30
btc updown 15m 1767647700	9	$124	236	193	+43	open	—	01-05 21:27
sol updown 15m 1767600000	4	$116	96	96	+0	open	—	01-05 08:14
btc updown 15m 1767834900	5	$99	245	144	+101	open	—	01-08 01:25
eth updown 15m 1767823200	3	$95	0	100	-100	open	—	01-07 22:13
btc updown 15m 1767800700	2	$92	69	68	+1	open	—	01-07 15:52
btc updown 15m 1767825000	5	$90	228	113	+115	open	—	01-07 22:44
btc updown 15m 1767824100	1	$84	0	100	-100	open	—	01-07 22:22
xrp updown 15m 1767838500	3	$84	171	170	+1	open	—	01-08 02:20
btc updown 15m 1769354100	4	$81	33	73	-39	open	—	01-25 15:30
xrp updown 15m 1769540400	4	$81	62	60	+3	open	—	01-27 19:16
eth updown 15m 1767294900	2	$81	51	51	+0	open	—	01-01 19:28
btc updown 15m 1767868200	4	$81	57	82	-24	open	—	01-08 10:43
btc updown 15m 1767802500	3	$77	130	97	+33	open	—	01-07 16:27
btc updown 15m 1767632400	5	$75	0	120	-120	open	—	01-05 17:12
btc updown 15m 1767609000	3	$74	69	38	+31	open	—	01-05 10:43
btc updown 15m 1767644100	2	$73	48	48	+0	open	—	01-05 20:28
btc updown 15m 1767565800	2	$72	44	44	+0	open	—	01-04 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$71	48	48	+0	open	—	05-14 14:24
btc updown 15m 1767259800	3	$70	88	50	+38	open	—	01-01 09:34
btc updown 15m 1767610800	2	$69	47	47	+0	open	—	01-05 11:08
sol updown 15m 1769605200	3	$68	0	150	-150	open	—	01-28 13:15
sol updown 15m 1767554100	2	$68	38	38	+0	open	—	01-04 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 17:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xdbe430…
05-14 17:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x5e26e5…
05-14 17:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x44c5f0…
05-14 16:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x43c274…
05-14 16:50:28	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdbcc2d…
05-14 16:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x56b60c…
05-14 16:49:53	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x093c3c…
05-14 16:48:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x850603…
05-14 16:27:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x957de4…
05-14 16:05:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf76558…
05-14 16:03:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x298610…
05-14 15:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x487362…
05-14 15:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x19dc73…
05-14 14:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x6162be…
05-14 14:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x027dd0…
05-14 14:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x184040…
05-14 14:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xee2a9d…
05-14 14:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x7a2657…
05-14 14:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x24ed96…
05-14 14:14:19	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x361e95…
05-14 14:11:55	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x1e6b13…
05-14 14:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa2cb6a…
05-14 14:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x55b439…
05-14 13:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x933a79…
05-14 13:49:12	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa1b4da…
05-14 13:48:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x93ca61…
05-14 13:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x6ed7a3…
05-14 13:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xc66c25…
05-14 13:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xa9b350…
05-14 13:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8cf913…
05-14 13:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x12d180…
05-14 13:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x18565c…
05-14 12:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xda215e…
05-14 12:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1b7d64…
05-14 12:49:30	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x93995d…
05-14 12:47:53	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1fb7ce…
05-14 12:47:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x76a7e9…
05-14 12:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x082c83…
05-14 12:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0x2b1440…
05-14 12:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6c32f1…
05-14 12:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe19758…
05-14 12:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x35a715…
05-14 12:23:04	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5194a8…
05-14 12:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb9bb98…
05-14 12:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb2e873…
05-14 12:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7915f9…
05-14 12:10:02	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa2b0b0…
05-14 12:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7b31e0…
05-14 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x901866…
05-14 12:04:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0xadc2ff…
05-14 12:03:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb311c9…
05-14 12:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4a6d23…
05-14 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x838706…
05-14 11:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf38dba…
05-14 11:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x743730…
05-14 11:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa3d3c6…
05-14 11:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x8424e6…
05-14 11:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x1c1f46…
05-14 11:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x855ad5…
05-14 11:23:57	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8ba73f…
05-14 11:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x78bfbe…
05-14 11:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xeec53a…
05-14 11:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfc395f…
05-14 11:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x22f1b8…
05-14 11:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xea0ada…
05-14 10:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2d1095…
05-14 10:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9156b7…
05-14 10:28:23	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x806046…
05-14 08:47:07	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x045ac8…
05-14 08:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x503d7c…
05-14 08:27:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x97cb0e…
05-14 08:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3907b5…
05-14 08:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x928151…
05-14 08:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4872f1…
05-14 08:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2cc519…
05-14 00:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9c577e…
05-14 00:16:16	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xcf7b01…
05-14 00:10:17	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb571c9…
05-14 00:10:08	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x394913…
05-13 23:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x3842d9…
05-13 23:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd2891c…
05-13 23:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1cb959…
05-13 23:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe5be44…
05-13 23:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xeb3bff…
05-13 23:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf98a45…
03-18 14:00:57	btc updown 5m 1773842400	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xd5b571…
03-18 13:38:11	sol updown 5m 1773840900	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xf40a0e…
03-18 13:36:59	sol updown 15m 1773840600	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xb5a8ac…
03-18 13:31:01	sol updown 15m 1773840600	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x81b032…
03-18 13:29:09	btc updown 5m 1773840300	Up	SELL	37	7¢	$2	0x255faf…
03-18 13:25:09	btc updown 5m 1773840300	Up	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xaac4c7…
03-18 13:18:21	btc updown 5m 1773839700	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x034c2c…
03-18 13:14:05	sol updown 15m 1773838800	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x6f90c3…
02-25 22:12:32	eth updown 5m 1772057400	Up	BUY	18	59¢	$10	0x35d6c3…
02-25 22:03:20	btc updown 5m 1772056800	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0x7254b5…
02-25 22:00:30	btc updown 5m 1772056500	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x09fcaf…
02-25 21:55:48	btc updown 5m 1772056500	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x694609…
02-25 21:55:02	btc updown 5m 1772056200	Up	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x2aa13d…
02-25 21:53:34	btc updown 5m 1772056200	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9ba989…
02-25 21:53:24	btc updown 5m 1772056200	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x3bda24…