Mad-Evaluator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

2,606

Trades

2,919

lifetime

Volume

$28.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 09-04 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 93% +$40

Politics

1% 43% -$128

Other

0% 20% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$169	286	286	+0	Yes	-$131	06-15 14:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	4	$52	57	0	+57	Yes	+$5	05-31 14:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 09:15 UTC	3	$42	44	0	+44	Down	+$2	06-05 09:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?	6	$41	42	42	+0	Yes	-$1	05-30 21:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:00 UTC	2	$39	43	0	+43	Down	+$3	06-05 05:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC	2	$39	41	0	+41	Down	+$2	06-05 05:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 10:15 UTC	2	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	06-05 10:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	2	$34	19	19	+0	No	+$4	06-01 08:56
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$4	05-31 21:29
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$33	83	83	+0	No	+$3	06-02 14:48
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$33	83	83	+0	Yes	+$3	06-02 14:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 00:45 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	06-09 00:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 00:00 UTC	1	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$3	06-09 00:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 00:30 UTC	1	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$3	06-09 00:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 13:45 UTC	1	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$3	06-08 13:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 11:30 UTC	1	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	06-08 11:39
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 02:30 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$2	06-09 02:38
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 11:15 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$2	06-08 11:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?	2	$29	48	48	+0	No	-$1	05-31 09:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 12:15 UTC	1	$29	31	0	+31	Up	+$2	06-08 12:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 13:45 UTC	1	$29	31	0	+31	Up	+$2	06-08 13:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 12:15 UTC	1	$29	31	0	+31	Up	+$2	06-08 12:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 12:15 UTC	1	$29	32	0	+32	Up	+$3	06-08 12:23
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 00:30 UTC	1	$29	32	0	+32	Down	+$3	06-09 00:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 09:30 UTC	1	$29	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	06-09 09:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 12:30 UTC	1	$29	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	06-08 12:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 01:15 UTC	1	$29	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	06-09 01:23
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 10:30 UTC	1	$29	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	06-08 10:38
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 00:15 UTC	1	$29	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	06-09 00:24
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 11:30 UTC	1	$29	31	0	+31	Up	+$2	06-08 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 09:39:55	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x44b898…
09-04 09:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf0b3d4…
09-04 09:25:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5eb74f…
09-04 08:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe46e4f…
09-04 05:53:04	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x33d5a8…
09-04 03:08:06	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb98791…
09-04 01:53:07	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xced110…
09-04 00:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xba74dc…
09-04 00:08:36	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2e9842…
09-03 22:09:12	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x84a126…
09-03 21:53:15	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf118e1…
09-03 16:53:04	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbbadfd…
09-03 16:38:18	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x056619…
09-03 16:26:03	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x344f54…
09-03 16:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd7bbe2…
09-03 16:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x429b83…
09-03 16:08:16	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0a0a79…
09-03 16:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9f752e…
09-03 16:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa98fd1…
09-03 15:53:06	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x96d7f1…
09-03 15:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x5850a9…
09-03 15:53:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1b3383…
09-03 15:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc4ca62…
09-03 15:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb20a06…
09-03 15:11:54	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf94934…
09-03 14:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3ca77a…
09-03 14:24:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf2fe9e…
09-03 14:23:16	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x97a035…
09-03 14:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x12a0e0…
09-03 13:54:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe9be8d…
09-03 13:53:04	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbb0868…
09-03 13:40:28	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x086931…
09-03 13:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x24a6b2…
09-03 13:38:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x092bbd…
09-03 12:53:04	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8e11fb…
09-03 05:54:21	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x317329…
09-03 05:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8a017b…
09-03 05:09:12	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0b5461…
09-03 03:11:46	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xda28de…
09-03 02:40:25	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x999c13…
09-03 01:09:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5b846e…
09-03 01:08:03	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x33e31c…
09-02 20:54:37	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xd53881…
09-02 20:24:25	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x839939…
09-02 17:08:06	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x964c42…
09-02 17:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xbae645…
09-02 16:38:16	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd2bc83…
09-02 16:23:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6c3e4e…
09-02 15:53:07	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xb088f9…
09-02 15:23:07	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc62caf…
09-02 15:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7abecf…
09-02 15:11:12	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfca583…
09-02 15:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5cabbf…
09-02 15:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x7faf45…
09-02 14:53:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1556ba…
09-02 14:38:28	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf91b6c…
09-02 14:38:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbd06fc…
09-02 14:09:03	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1f3961…
09-02 13:55:19	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x49e36c…
09-02 13:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x8152dd…
09-02 13:54:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x37eeae…
09-02 13:38:19	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb316cf…
09-02 13:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x18ecc2…
09-02 11:23:04	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcca012…
09-02 11:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3a197c…
09-02 11:08:06	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9d69db…
09-02 09:53:06	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf344fb…
09-02 09:40:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-02 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xf41332…
09-02 09:38:04	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xa7ee7c…
09-02 09:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x163c4e…
09-02 09:23:49	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x65f1df…
09-01 22:23:03	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x17819f…
09-01 21:53:04	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x61a8fc…
09-01 21:23:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0e212b…
09-01 21:23:04	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x9a0e34…
09-01 21:08:03	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x851c21…
09-01 19:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb71c6d…
09-01 19:23:30	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x82c262…
09-01 18:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x446ef3…
09-01 18:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb005ad…
09-01 18:38:06	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8ddc67…
09-01 18:12:15	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbeccf0…
09-01 18:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x898de7…
09-01 17:53:06	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6b0c62…
09-01 17:23:06	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xebd3a7…
09-01 16:38:04	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x56e54b…
09-01 16:09:21	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x58420c…
09-01 14:55:09	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x15a555…
09-01 14:25:58	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa81818…
09-01 14:08:04	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8d4252…
09-01 14:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf3577a…
09-01 14:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd05df5…
09-01 13:40:30	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xef185c…
09-01 13:38:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9e53cb…
09-01 13:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x5cca64…
09-01 13:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd39f8e…
09-01 13:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x01b904…
09-01 09:23:58	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe6c5e6…
09-01 08:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfc5c47…
09-01 07:38:31	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xdd9f98…