Strange-Dozen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.2%

Resolved

Trades

204

lifetime

Volume

$41.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$201

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 08-09 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

47% 0% $-142

Other

29% — —

Crypto

21% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	8	$3.9K	2,012	2,012	+0	open	—	03-12 13:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$3.5K	1,896	1,896	+0	open	—	04-14 07:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	5	$2.9K	1,830	1,400	+430	open	—	08-06 16:52
tim walz charged by march 31	3	$2.9K	1,486	1,486	+0	open	—	03-04 14:12
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$2.0K	2,004	0	+2,004	open	—	02-14 03:28
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-04 01:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$1.5K	900	900	+0	open	—	08-06 19:18
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	06-08 21:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	3	$1.3K	750	562	+188	open	—	06-05 15:35
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.2K	563	992	-429	open	—	07-27 17:11
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	12	$1.2K	51	1,165	-1,114	open	—	02-27 16:17
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	3	$1.2K	615	615	+0	open	—	03-23 13:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-12 06:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$1.1K	658	658	+0	open	—	03-08 00:25
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	6	$993	614	414	+200	open	—	03-14 13:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	2	$860	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-19 16:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$792	422	422	+0	open	—	06-08 21:53
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	2	$739	382	382	+0	open	—	08-06 16:52
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	3	$645	500	500	+0	open	—	07-19 10:29
will germany strike iran by march 31	2	$600	304	304	+0	open	—	03-23 13:08
will turkey strike iran by march 31	3	$575	300	300	+0	open	—	03-30 13:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	16	$574	1,005	800	+205	Yes	$-142	04-29 04:31
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	2	$515	261	261	+0	open	—	07-19 19:50
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	2	$501	254	254	+0	open	—	03-23 13:08
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$496	0	500	-500	open	—	06-01 00:42
will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	4	$492	295	205	+90	open	—	02-24 09:43
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	3	$402	222	222	+0	open	—	08-09 14:18
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	1	$397	0	400	-400	open	—	06-02 22:46
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$397	400	0	+400	open	—	06-16 04:33
trump out as president by march 31	3	$396	200	200	+0	open	—	03-16 09:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 14:18:12	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	222	91¢	$202	0xb72533…
08-07 18:28:31	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	172	58¢	$100	0x2b2a42…
08-07 16:49:12	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	358	98¢	$350	0x990574…
08-07 16:48:49	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x45be17…
08-07 16:46:40	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x55d07f…
08-07 16:46:24	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x65effc…
08-07 16:46:13	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x797ef9…
08-07 09:36:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0x57efd7…
08-06 19:25:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xee12c1…
08-06 19:18:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	900	83¢	$747	0xb59ba4…
08-06 17:11:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	900	83¢	$747	0x5500c1…
08-06 16:52:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	430	93¢	$400	0x6af633…
08-06 16:52:42	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	382	97¢	$371	0x6aff08…
07-27 17:12:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,022	91¢	$930	0xc1af40…
07-27 17:11:22	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	163	58¢	$94	0x0abbac…
07-27 17:11:10	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	563	89¢	$500	0x6a4b5d…
07-27 17:10:43	will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by september 30 20260720194516250	No	BUY	307	98¢	$300	0xb06584…
07-19 19:50:07	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	261	99¢	$258	0x2ceec5…
07-19 16:16:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	SELL	1,000	42¢	$420	0xec0373…
07-19 10:29:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	500	64¢	$320	0xb843c1…
07-19 09:05:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0xd88354…
07-19 08:27:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	BUY	250	65¢	$162	0x14746c…
07-19 08:26:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	BUY	250	65¢	$162	0xee0dfd…
07-18 23:49:33	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 20 20260717153521445	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x54d965…
07-18 21:34:22	rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt97	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x244caf…
07-18 20:40:01	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 20 20260717153521445	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x13f38b…
07-18 20:35:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	378	91¢	$344	0x616575…
07-16 09:34:53	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x777ced…
07-16 09:30:32	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	261	99¢	$257	0xbe395e…
07-11 06:58:44	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0xb5756b…
07-10 19:09:16	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	382	96¢	$368	0xb46e5f…
07-10 19:06:52	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 holloway win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xb8c452…
07-10 19:06:37	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 go the distance	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5439c0…
07-02 23:45:35	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x108f48…
06-28 20:41:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x7e6100…
06-28 20:40:46	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x38afe7…
06-28 20:40:37	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x752f4e…
06-21 16:20:26	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0x4ae8b2…
06-21 16:11:59	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xa8dc43…
06-21 16:11:43	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x810df4…
06-21 16:11:32	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x4eba78…
06-21 16:11:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	90¢	$126	0xa1633d…
06-16 04:33:42	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	270	98¢	$265	0xbd26ed…
06-16 04:33:18	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0xaa423a…
06-08 21:54:18	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	351	71¢	$249	0xc6d66d…
06-08 21:53:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	422	94¢	$396	0x6a48e9…
06-08 21:53:45	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	800	90¢	$720	0x5bf92c…
06-05 15:35:03	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	562	99¢	$555	0xa34551…
06-05 05:36:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xac2762…
06-05 05:35:52	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x6190e5…
06-05 05:35:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	450	98¢	$443	0xa4bd9c…
06-05 05:33:33	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xab4190…
06-05 05:33:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	414	94¢	$389	0xf68da8…
06-04 01:23:13	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$964	0x9c6d17…
06-02 22:46:55	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$962	0x964c8f…
06-02 22:46:20	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$397	0xfa5d11…
06-02 22:44:48	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	800	89¢	$712	0xc409f6…
06-02 13:56:32	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0xf3bf7c…
06-02 10:25:02	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	71¢	$31	0x4cd5f5…
06-02 04:17:38	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	71¢	$32	0x6050a3…
06-01 17:08:38	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	530	71¢	$376	0x93a834…
06-01 00:42:18	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0xa9ec8e…
05-30 19:18:32	UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Max Holloway	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x466d71…
05-30 19:18:02	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Justin Gaethje	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x893a4e…
05-30 19:16:54	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x2c1786…
05-12 06:31:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$295	0x933e1c…
05-11 06:54:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$295	0xb4b293…
05-06 19:28:45	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	43	40¢	$17	0xabcfdd…
05-06 19:28:21	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x858e3f…
05-06 19:28:14	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xff0be3…
05-06 19:26:37	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0cb7d2…
05-06 19:26:36	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x613a62…
05-06 14:40:23	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x49e91e…
05-03 09:03:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	600	96¢	$577	0x494ed4…
05-01 04:41:02	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x95bc93…
05-01 04:40:48	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x539ed5…
05-01 04:40:30	Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x4ac330…
04-29 04:32:40	Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xef4f46…
04-29 04:31:52	Penguins vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x232ba5…
04-29 04:31:36	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6f5cf7…
04-29 04:31:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	205	73¢	$150	0xb69293…
04-29 04:30:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	27¢	$216	0xeaa6ae…
04-16 12:25:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	26¢	$17	0x169b3c…
04-16 12:11:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x541f6f…
04-16 11:47:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf00681…
04-16 11:09:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0xe40b3f…
04-16 11:08:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	26¢	$60	0x011e87…
04-16 10:46:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x2c9bf8…
04-16 10:46:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x6e8677…
04-16 10:43:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x564fcb…
04-16 10:43:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	26¢	$74	0x8e02f4…
04-16 10:43:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x33441f…
04-16 10:41:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xcd1af9…
04-16 10:32:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x1b6511…
04-16 10:17:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0xe9b8b9…
04-16 10:11:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x680f49…
04-14 07:20:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	768	98¢	$753	0x481edf…
04-12 17:07:53	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	SELL	204	88¢	$179	0x3704dd…
04-11 07:21:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	768	98¢	$750	0x5a464f…
04-10 15:57:13	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	104	86¢	$89	0x12caae…