Frail-Eponym — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$280

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 08-17 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

79% 0% -$8

Crypto

17% 100% +$4

Other

4% 100% +$284

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$6.9K	3,433	3,433	+0	No	-$3	06-16 08:47
ndx up or down on february 6 2026	1	$346	630	0	+630	Up	+$284	02-06 10:29
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 17?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	07-17 07:52
will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 9	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-09 07:45
bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	1	$33	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	06-09 07:43
xrp above 1pt3 on july 7 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-07 08:02
bitcoin above 62k on june 17 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	06-17 07:35
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 10?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-10 07:37
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 29?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-29 06:22
will bitcoin reach 67k on june 10	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-10 07:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-11 09:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 23?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-23 07:17
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 20?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-20 06:07
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 13?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-13 07:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-12 07:38
bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-22 08:31
xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-23 06:51
will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 24	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-24 07:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-28 09:06
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 27?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-27 09:46
bitcoin above 70k on june 15 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-15 07:53
bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	06-04 08:33
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 2?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-02 06:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 1?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-01 07:16
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 2?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-02 07:59
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-05 07:45
bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	06-08 07:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-03 07:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-30 08:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-01 08:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 05:41:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 17?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4f14fb…
08-17 05:34:22	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 17?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xeefcfb…
07-29 06:24:06	Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xee2b32…
07-29 06:22:57	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 29?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xc67cba…
07-24 07:07:43	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 24	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x803961…
07-24 07:06:43	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 24	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9f7fbb…
07-24 07:05:39	will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 24	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xdea789…
07-23 06:52:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 23?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe7bac5…
07-23 06:51:46	xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x70e291…
07-20 06:08:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x291fcf…
07-20 06:07:30	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 20?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x8b3e45…
07-17 07:52:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9b7abd…
07-17 07:52:04	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 17?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x14571e…
07-13 07:51:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1502af…
07-13 07:47:29	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 13?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfea159…
07-10 07:41:01	will bitcoin reach 70k on july 10	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xca64ae…
07-10 07:37:58	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xce0590…
07-09 07:47:43	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 9	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xafe2c8…
07-09 07:45:31	will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 9	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x79928c…
07-07 08:04:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 7?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x85fcfc…
07-07 08:02:32	xrp above 1pt3 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6bb974…
07-02 06:55:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x356dde…
07-02 06:53:13	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf9f2ee…
07-01 07:17:56	xrp above 0pt9 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x56d886…
07-01 07:16:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 1?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc54ad0…
06-23 07:18:46	will xrp reach 1pt3 on june 23	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1820c9…
06-23 07:17:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x096109…
06-22 08:33:59	will xrp dip to 0pt9 on june 22	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xe59209…
06-22 08:31:46	bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf875c8…
06-17 07:36:47	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 17?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xeb0440…
06-17 07:35:53	bitcoin above 62k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7f4757…
06-16 08:47:57	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	3,433	100¢	$3,427	0xa8e13f…
06-16 08:46:27	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3,433	100¢	$3,430	0x78658e…
06-15 07:55:39	xrp above 1pt3 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb95a9b…
06-15 07:53:54	bitcoin above 70k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x220acf…
06-12 07:40:18	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x1bb1ba…
06-12 07:38:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xfcea9c…
06-11 09:26:06	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x46cd90…
06-11 09:23:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xc37845…
06-10 07:13:52	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x016cef…
06-10 07:09:55	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 10	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xbf4d64…
06-09 07:53:43	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x611853…
06-09 07:43:54	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x6ab181…
06-08 07:41:54	xrp above 1pt3 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf524d1…
06-08 07:40:45	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x6cdff4…
06-05 07:47:49	xrp above 0pt9 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x255b11…
06-05 07:45:15	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xad1f17…
06-04 08:35:25	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on June 4?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdbebe0…
06-04 08:33:45	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf9276c…
06-03 07:53:48	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x989a41…
06-03 07:52:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4d9a9e…
06-02 08:00:26	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x1a9040…
06-02 07:59:28	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb9fbb8…
06-01 08:08:49	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd124ec…
06-01 08:06:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xb9d43d…
05-30 08:02:38	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x29e778…
05-30 08:01:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xb0901b…
05-29 08:14:27	Will XRP reach $1.40 on May 29?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9a994b…
05-29 08:13:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x55a212…
05-28 09:10:10	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x87ab45…
05-28 09:06:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x824a41…
05-28 09:02:51	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$4	0x8b8eaa…
05-28 08:58:11	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x8664fc…
05-27 09:46:47	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 27?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x34a88c…
05-27 09:45:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x40cdd4…
05-26 08:21:22	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x7eb62d…
05-26 08:20:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x2f65b3…
05-23 10:03:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x6cb5a7…
05-23 10:02:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd63290…
05-23 10:00:25	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x2eb5fe…
02-06 10:29:13	ndx up or down on february 6 2026	Up	BUY	630	55¢	$346	0x598403…
02-02 09:02:54	ethereum above 2700 on february 2	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xabb72b…