Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.28K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

137

Trades

466

lifetime

Volume

$81.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$175

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 04-21 02:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

66% 50% +$3,018

Politics

27% 46% +$1,278

Tech

3% 25% -$105

Sports

3% 50% +$99

Pop-Culture

1% 67% +$126

Crypto

1% 33% -$139

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	10	$4.0K	4,040	3,974	+66	Yes	-$17	01-28 15:42
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	6	$3.8K	2,882	2,882	+0	Yes	+$29	04-09 12:09
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	20	$3.2K	1,861	1,861	+0	No	-$35	02-20 17:53
will forgent power solutions market cap be greater than 9pt00b at market close on ipo day	10	$2.0K	2,498	2,497	+1	No	$0	02-06 05:08
will leavitt say shutdown or shut down during the next white house press briefing	8	$2.0K	1,079	1,078	+1	Yes	+$158	02-18 19:08
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.8K	1,110	1,110	+0	Yes	+$362	04-21 02:58
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	8	$1.8K	1,714	742	+972	Yes	-$762	02-20 23:32
will audit be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 735	6	$1.5K	893	893	+0	Yes	+$259	02-05 01:04
will nancy pelosi attend the 2026 state of the union address	6	$1.4K	970	970	+0	Yes	+$378	02-19 07:58
will the mongolz qualify to blast open rotterdam playoffs	4	$1.3K	1,446	1,446	+0	Yes	+$434	03-22 01:36
will trump post oscar or oscars on truth social this week	2	$1.3K	1,057	1,057	+0	No	-$381	03-18 14:47
will armed only with a camera the life and death of brent renaud win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 841	3	$1.2K	798	798	+0	No	-$64	02-26 18:19
will trump say newsom or newscum during the state of the union address 746	3	$1.1K	750	657	+93	No	+$18	02-22 16:17
critical discord incident by march 31 2026	2	$1.1K	757	757	+0	Yes	-$45	02-09 13:05
will trump say ai or artificial intelligence 2 times during the 2026 state of the union address 624 823	3	$1.1K	747	747	+0	Yes	+$0	02-23 18:27
will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	4	$1.1K	867	867	+0	No	+$43	02-27 17:10
will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 22000 by march 20 654	2	$1.1K	683	683	+0	No	+$27	03-19 02:41
will newcastle united advance to the round of 16	4	$1.1K	599	599	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 22:52
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	3	$1.0K	773	773	+0	Yes	+$17	03-22 02:43
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	4	$1.0K	1,259	623	+636	Yes	-$217	01-29 01:09
will trump say job 7 times during the announcement on thursday	5	$1.0K	709	696	+13	Yes	+$299	02-06 00:15
israel x syria security agreement by march 31	2	$998	624	624	+0	No	+$12	02-06 05:18
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 58 and 59	2	$986	669	475	+194	No	+$52	04-09 22:17
will galatasaray advance to the round of 16	4	$981	720	720	+0	Yes	+$2	02-12 03:48
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	2	$967	676	676	+0	No	+$128	03-22 02:52
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$934	935	0	+935	Yes	+$1	02-10 17:35
foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	3	$898	510	510	+0	No	$0	02-04 03:32
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	3	$873	515	515	+0	No	-$23	03-19 13:23
cbb sill evans 2026 01 25 total 142pt5	1	$862	969	0	+969	Over	-$862	03-17 15:36
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	10	$860	1,418	1,418	+0	No	+$12	02-03 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 02:58:40	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	567	100¢	$565	0x252184…
04-21 02:58:24	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	543	100¢	$541	0xefe707…
04-13 13:53:01	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,102	67¢	$738	0x0a00f9…
04-13 13:52:09	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0xb2e8a2…
04-13 04:35:35	Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	No	SELL	534	43¢	$230	0x4572ec…
04-13 04:34:31	Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	No	SELL	269	43¢	$116	0xcbddf6…
04-12 09:18:57	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	SELL	455	41¢	$187	0x9fb594…
04-11 19:41:33	Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x64d9ef…
04-11 12:46:53	Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	No	BUY	803	53¢	$426	0x7cd8c2…
04-11 08:46:41	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x784346…
04-10 21:53:47	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	461	46¢	$212	0xefe6fa…
04-10 00:32:35	Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April?	No	SELL	193	55¢	$106	0x8cba2d…
04-09 22:17:45	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 58 and 59	No	SELL	475	89¢	$422	0xf6bb70…
04-09 19:26:05	Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April?	No	BUY	208	82¢	$171	0x6ea7fe…
04-09 14:41:11	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	357	27¢	$96	0xd258e7…
04-09 14:39:57	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	185	25¢	$46	0x2f298e…
04-09 12:09:49	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	952	67¢	$638	0x64d719…
04-09 12:09:39	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	939	67¢	$629	0x544a6b…
04-09 12:09:23	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	991	67¢	$664	0x0ccbd6…
04-09 11:40:21	will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	58	11¢	$6	0x2cf16a…
04-07 21:24:23	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	991	66¢	$654	0x5f54a2…
04-07 21:24:15	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	952	66¢	$628	0x149190…
04-07 21:24:07	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	939	66¢	$620	0xef15d7…
04-07 19:55:13	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	542	32¢	$173	0xa0e03c…
04-07 16:23:13	col1 gdr cab 2026 02 15 cab	No	BUY	493	68¢	$335	0x24094c…
04-07 13:57:11	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	596	16¢	$95	0xac68bb…
04-07 13:56:51	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	594	16¢	$95	0xf6edd0…
04-07 13:56:31	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	549	16¢	$88	0xdff5c6…
04-07 12:20:33	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	737	33¢	$243	0x953510…
03-31 02:46:59	will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	874	10¢	$87	0x660c2f…
03-30 16:07:47	col1 jdc adp 2026 04 17 jdc	Yes	SELL	223	41¢	$91	0x0a1dc3…
03-29 23:03:00	will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	932	13¢	$121	0xae24d2…
03-29 16:11:48	col1 jdc adp 2026 04 17 jdc	Yes	BUY	223	36¢	$80	0xa3ede4…
03-26 04:02:13	Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?	Yes	SELL	738	78¢	$574	0x6031ec…
03-26 02:34:09	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,269	12¢	$152	0x2fc2bb…
03-26 02:34:01	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	Yes	SELL	480	12¢	$58	0x247619…
03-25 18:17:59	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	569	13¢	$74	0x3842f6…
03-25 17:28:07	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	No	SELL	42	58¢	$24	0x7a2521…
03-24 12:33:27	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	288	12¢	$35	0x825a12…
03-24 12:33:03	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	281	12¢	$34	0x4e23f5…
03-23 21:22:33	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,068	16¢	$171	0xc45caa…
03-23 21:22:13	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	Yes	BUY	201	16¢	$32	0x9ea7e5…
03-23 21:21:51	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	Yes	BUY	480	16¢	$77	0x8d36c3…
03-23 17:59:25	will ethena dip to 0pt08 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	438	35¢	$153	0x4151d8…
03-23 16:56:03	Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?	Yes	BUY	713	23¢	$165	0xb9dd0b…
03-23 16:55:53	Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xb0a3ce…
03-22 02:52:27	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	SELL	676	81¢	$548	0xe602ea…
03-22 02:43:53	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	341	68¢	$232	0x1b1535…
03-22 02:43:01	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	432	68¢	$294	0x610ac9…
03-22 01:36:37	will the mongolz qualify to blast open rotterdam playoffs	Yes	SELL	326	59¢	$192	0xb9ade2…
03-22 01:36:19	will the mongolz qualify to blast open rotterdam playoffs	Yes	SELL	1,120	59¢	$661	0xd06900…
03-20 16:57:41	will the mongolz qualify to blast open rotterdam playoffs	Yes	BUY	1,292	29¢	$375	0xccb572…
03-20 16:57:21	will the mongolz qualify to blast open rotterdam playoffs	Yes	BUY	154	29¢	$45	0xf5524c…
03-19 13:23:09	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	304	83¢	$252	0xce77ae…
03-19 07:00:53	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	211	82¢	$173	0x280da2…
03-19 06:29:51	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by march 31 256 348 996	No	SELL	121	75¢	$91	0x7cbda5…
03-19 02:56:47	will green left win 25 29 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	SELL	1,073	32¢	$343	0xd0eb36…
03-19 02:41:37	will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 22000 by march 20 654	No	SELL	683	83¢	$567	0x62849f…
03-18 14:47:47	will trump post oscar or oscars on truth social this week	No	SELL	1,057	42¢	$444	0xbdf12c…
03-17 23:04:35	will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 22000 by march 20 654	No	BUY	683	79¢	$540	0x2ce2b8…
03-17 22:52:47	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	773	66¢	$509	0x65e7a9…
03-17 21:32:25	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	515	87¢	$448	0xceca5a…
03-17 20:07:31	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	676	62¢	$419	0x6e1018…
03-17 19:50:59	will trump post oscar or oscars on truth social this week	No	BUY	1,057	78¢	$824	0xf825ff…
03-17 18:52:07	will green left win 25 29 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	1,073	29¢	$311	0xbc902f…
03-17 15:36:55	cbb sill evans 2026 01 25 total 142pt5	Under	BUY	969	89¢	$862	0x04b031…
03-16 17:54:45	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by march 31 256 348 996	No	BUY	144	57¢	$82	0x7e514c…
03-16 15:36:43	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	No	BUY	42	74¢	$31	0x1adebc…
03-16 02:07:19	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	Yes	SELL	698	48¢	$335	0x0b112b…
03-15 12:38:09	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	Yes	BUY	698	54¢	$377	0xf72672…
03-13 08:05:27	will vance say epic fury during his rocky mount visit	No	SELL	339	66¢	$224	0xc0a8fe…
03-12 19:47:15	will vance say epic fury during his rocky mount visit	No	BUY	339	80¢	$271	0x1d331f…
03-11 05:26:29	will hamnet win exactly 1 award at the oscars	Yes	SELL	257	89¢	$229	0x4d35ed…
03-10 11:54:07	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	No	SELL	61	14¢	$9	0x487f9d…
03-06 12:39:39	will hamnet win exactly 1 award at the oscars	Yes	BUY	257	85¢	$218	0x40fc07…
02-27 19:58:43	will trump say tax 3 times in corpus christi on friday 591 498	No	SELL	95	6¢	$6	0x62c808…
02-27 19:57:05	will trump say tax 3 times in corpus christi on friday 591 498	No	SELL	31	7¢	$2	0xe65d7b…
02-27 19:55:57	will trump say tax 3 times in corpus christi on friday 591 498	No	SELL	537	7¢	$38	0x128559…
02-27 17:10:01	will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	548	67¢	$367	0xd0bdc9…
02-27 17:09:41	will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	319	67¢	$214	0xf1a928…
02-27 15:22:29	will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	548	62¢	$340	0x09cf7e…
02-27 15:22:21	will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	319	62¢	$198	0x2edb14…
02-27 14:07:29	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 dfc	Yes	SELL	344	58¢	$200	0x4d59aa…
02-27 14:07:13	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 dfc	Yes	SELL	42	58¢	$24	0xc589db…
02-27 12:36:03	will trump say tax 3 times in corpus christi on friday 591 498	No	BUY	663	10¢	$66	0x683efe…
02-27 12:20:59	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 dfc	Yes	BUY	386	28¢	$108	0x2c40f8…
02-27 12:20:49	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 dfc	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xa5acb9…
02-27 00:00:56	will performance be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	SELL	245	90¢	$220	0xeda313…
02-26 22:04:28	will performance be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	245	88¢	$216	0x1b02f1…
02-26 20:50:38	will the margin of victory in the gorton and denton by election be between 3 and 6	No	SELL	183	53¢	$97	0x9835b2…
02-26 19:12:30	will the margin of victory in the gorton and denton by election be between 3 and 6	No	BUY	183	74¢	$135	0xd88e9b…
02-26 18:19:28	will armed only with a camera the life and death of brent renaud win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 841	No	SELL	336	73¢	$245	0x88ff10…
02-26 14:47:44	will armed only with a camera the life and death of brent renaud win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 841	No	SELL	462	73¢	$337	0x68ce5a…
02-26 12:15:14	will armed only with a camera the life and death of brent renaud win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 841	No	BUY	798	81¢	$646	0x179c54…
02-25 21:53:48	will elon musk be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	Yes	SELL	657	6¢	$39	0x85afdc…
02-25 21:53:24	will elon musk be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	Yes	SELL	88	6¢	$5	0x1a1d00…
02-25 21:35:22	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x5fbe42…
02-25 21:33:36	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	SELL	138	62¢	$86	0x200932…
02-25 21:08:02	will jeff bezos be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	87	81¢	$70	0xc38c0f…
02-25 21:06:26	will jeff bezos be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	35	81¢	$28	0xa33ad2…