Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$390

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

279

1,274 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$17.4K

$55.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$138

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-16

last 10-31 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 44% +$1,333

Other

2% 25% +$82

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes		+600	$150	22¢	$135	-$15	10-30 14:49
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes		+23	$3	12¢	$3	$0	10-31 10:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	11	$1.9K	1,305	1,305	+0	Down	+$628	10-30 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	6	$1.1K	829	829	+0	Down	+$413	10-23 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$1.1K	776	776	+0	Down	+$411	10-30 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	14	$965	1,895	0	+1,895	Down	+$930	10-22 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$918	693	693	+0	Down	+$418	10-30 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$891	661	661	+0	Down	+$391	10-25 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	11	$875	1,641	0	+1,641	Up	-$875	10-31 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	5	$871	653	653	+0	Down	+$371	10-23 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	7	$820	621	621	+0	Down	+$410	10-30 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	9	$750	1,394	0	+1,394	Down	+$644	10-25 17:44
cs2 vit ts7 2026 08 21	2	$730	481	481	+0	Spirit	+$230	08-21 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	7	$700	2,218	0	+2,218	Down	+$1,518	10-30 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	6	$629	438	438	+0	Down	+$229	10-25 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$618	416	416	+0	Down	+$198	10-23 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	6	$600	1,435	0	+1,435	Down	+$835	10-22 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	8	$535	1,039	0	+1,039	Up	-$535	08-23 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$491	385	385	+0	Down	+$191	10-23 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	7	$475	932	0	+932	Down	+$457	10-22 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$473	381	381	+0	Up	+$273	10-23 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	6	$450	911	0	+911	Down	+$461	10-23 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$400	759	0	+759	Down	+$359	10-25 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$400	754	0	+754	Down	+$354	10-18 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$400	722	0	+722	Down	+$322	10-23 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	9	$390	680	0	+680	Up	-$390	10-25 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	6	$375	741	0	+741	Up	-$375	10-22 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$375	550	196	+354	Down	+$179	10-22 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	11	$365	746	0	+746	Up	-$365	10-22 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$365	252	252	+0	Down	+$115	10-23 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	5	$350	906	0	+906	Up	-$350	10-22 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$350	643	0	+643	Down	+$293	10-22 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 10:24:55	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x169639…
10-31 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xee4459…
10-31 09:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x3e983c…
10-31 09:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x268dcf…
10-31 09:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xa56719…
10-31 09:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x4bd64c…
10-31 09:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x42a9d9…
10-31 09:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x1301fd…
10-31 09:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xa030b4…
10-31 09:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xc83269…
10-31 09:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xabf8ce…
10-31 09:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x9178fd…
10-31 09:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xb37e7b…
10-31 09:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	352	28¢	$100	0x17c57f…
10-31 09:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x67e26b…
10-31 09:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x9ce136…
10-31 09:16:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x18416c…
10-31 09:16:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xba86d8…
10-31 09:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0xe4eb98…
10-31 09:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0x846a51…
10-31 09:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xc0f0bf…
10-31 09:13:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x3b3109…
10-31 09:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	318	31¢	$100	0x70c106…
10-31 09:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xebb3b0…
10-31 09:05:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x500b00…
10-31 09:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9893e4…
10-31 09:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2d4de7…
10-31 09:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x55969a…
10-31 09:02:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0x3d0cd5…
10-31 08:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x34f465…
10-31 08:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xbdea80…
10-31 08:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xd017ce…
10-31 08:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x97e1fc…
10-31 08:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xbd7a2b…
10-30 15:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5df89a…
10-30 15:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x929946…
10-30 15:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6bf6e5…
10-30 15:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x292eef…
10-30 15:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x0c1a3f…
10-30 15:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	344	29¢	$100	0x69a714…
10-30 15:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x6ee0c0…
10-30 15:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x0d0187…
10-30 15:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	65	34¢	$22	0x019eb3…
10-30 14:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xfb792a…
10-30 14:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x1389aa…
10-30 14:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x08c292…
10-30 14:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xcfa737…
10-30 14:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0x05e4cf…
10-30 14:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0x943267…
10-30 14:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x119da2…
10-30 14:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0x1af589…
10-30 14:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xe1c5b8…
10-30 14:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0x8c0596…
10-30 14:49:39	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	600	25¢	$150	0x30a52e…
10-30 14:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x4264f1…
10-30 14:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x393ba5…
10-30 14:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	94	40¢	$38	0xa60e77…
10-30 14:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8c15cb…
10-30 14:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x96eb23…
10-30 14:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x277c1b…
10-30 14:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x5d1b40…
10-30 14:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	693	96¢	$668	0xe62dcc…
10-30 14:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	152	16¢	$25	0xa8671f…
10-30 14:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x93fe64…
10-30 14:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xfbaf3f…
10-30 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x17c4b1…
10-30 14:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x00b7fe…
10-30 14:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x990113…
10-30 14:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x856030…
10-30 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe6dd2f…
10-30 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x17d440…
10-30 14:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x9ef453…
10-30 14:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	776	98¢	$761	0x2bf6bf…
10-30 14:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	274	36¢	$100	0xaa2cee…
10-30 14:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x900b69…
10-30 14:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x10b5e9…
10-30 14:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x300063…
10-30 14:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc3684d…
10-30 14:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x2fbfe7…
10-30 14:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x8c6679…
10-30 14:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	316	31¢	$98	0xa55915…
10-30 14:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xf5d0f9…
10-30 14:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xdd1c24…
10-30 14:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	365	27¢	$100	0xc5fb76…
10-30 14:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x90c6e6…
10-30 14:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x803d3e…
10-30 14:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x16901f…
10-30 14:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x691e5d…
10-30 14:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x124400…
10-30 14:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0b6d98…
10-30 14:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x5386fe…
10-30 14:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x67e52a…
10-30 14:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x640b81…
10-30 14:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xe44c65…
10-30 14:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x4b5097…
10-30 14:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa55c1b…
10-30 14:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x85bd6d…
10-30 14:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xd5c1d5…
10-30 14:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1,305	98¢	$1,279	0xf7b979…
10-30 14:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xd8a7f4…