Chubby-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$393

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

381

Trades

950

lifetime

Volume

$5.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-19 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 54% -$155

Sports

37% 35% -$219

Other

4% 37% -$22

Politics

2% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$92	136	136	+0	No	+$2	03-18 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 10:00 UTC	5	$82	66	65	+1	Up	+$7	03-11 10:14
nba tor cha 2026 01 07	6	$75	49	49	+0	Raptors	+$22	01-08 03:10
nhl ana edm 2026 04 22	3	$74	54	54	+0	Ducks	+$34	04-23 04:52
nhl cal nj 2026 03 12	5	$71	57	57	+0	Flames	+$16	03-13 01:42
nhl bos tb 2026 02 01	3	$71	79	57	+22	Lightning	+$11	02-02 02:49
Golden Knights vs. Utah	4	$68	35	35	+0	Utah	+$2	04-25 04:13
nhl edm cal 2026 02 04	5	$66	53	53	+0	Flames	+$14	02-05 05:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 06:45 UTC	10	$62	63	52	+11	Up	+$1	03-12 06:59
nba orl cle 2026 01 26 spread home 6pt5	4	$62	48	48	+0	Cavaliers	+$18	01-27 02:36
nhl utah las 2026 04 19	2	$61	47	46	+1	Golden Knights	+$33	04-20 05:28
nhl lak van 2026 04 14	4	$55	38	38	+0	Canucks	+$22	04-15 04:56
nhl edm las 2026 03 08	5	$54	41	41	+0	Oilers	+$11	03-09 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$49	42	42	+0	Up	+$11	04-28 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 05:10 UTC	7	$49	45	44	+1	Down	+$8	03-12 05:13
Flyers vs. Penguins	2	$48	110	0	+110	Penguins	-$48	04-28 01:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 06:00 UTC	6	$45	40	39	+1	Down	+$12	03-12 06:12
Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$44	31	31	+0	Canadiens	+$18	05-04 00:52
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 3pm et	3	$43	48	24	+24	Down	+$4	03-18 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:20 UTC	2	$43	25	24	+0	Down	+$6	04-16 00:26
bitcoin up or down february 18 8pm et	2	$43	30	30	+0	Up	+$13	02-19 01:23
Oilers vs. Ducks	3	$43	25	25	+0	Ducks	+$7	04-25 05:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:45 UTC	5	$42	50	29	+21	Down	+$17	03-13 04:58
nhl mon wpg 2026 02 04	2	$41	28	28	+0	Canadiens	+$15	02-05 03:11
bitcoin up or down february 5 1am et	6	$40	48	30	+18	Up	-$4	02-05 06:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 07:00 UTC	3	$38	29	26	+3	Up	+$8	02-25 07:09
will the state of the union be 110 minutes or longer	2	$37	27	27	+0	No	+$1	02-25 02:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	5	$37	32	32	-0	Down	+$5	03-24 00:11
nhl wpg nj 2026 01 27	2	$36	25	25	+0	Jets	+$13	01-28 02:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:00 UTC	6	$36	33	19	+14	Down	+$2	03-17 10:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 19:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc819c2…
06-19 19:27:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:25 UTC	Down	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x957eb5…
06-19 19:26:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x245d81…
06-13 20:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0x228a26…
06-13 20:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x651f02…
06-13 20:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x8f34aa…
06-13 20:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	27	36¢	$10	0x099fdd…
06-13 20:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcb3efe…
06-13 20:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x17320c…
06-13 19:57:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1f19cd…
06-13 19:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	34	52¢	$18	0x3cfc3e…
06-13 19:52:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x1db40f…
06-13 19:50:33	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x53edfd…
06-13 19:45:33	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x88e8cc…
06-13 19:42:51	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf31344…
06-13 18:53:24	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x617ed4…
06-13 18:51:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x7acc42…
06-13 08:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x9a97dd…
06-13 08:06:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd2e65d…
06-13 08:03:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6b4012…
06-13 08:01:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x4b5655…
06-13 07:48:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9a834b…
06-13 07:48:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x7c8744…
06-13 07:48:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x8e61d3…
06-11 23:13:33	nhl las car 2026 06 11	Golden Knights	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x93fa80…
05-13 01:20:55	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8d922c…
05-13 01:20:32	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	31	40¢	$12	0x456588…
05-13 00:16:31	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x8a4428…
05-11 03:43:35	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	65	30¢	$20	0xbfdcd5…
05-05 05:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	82¢	$19	0x6a381a…
05-05 05:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0xe66b91…
05-05 03:49:22	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x918d13…
05-05 03:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x28698e…
05-05 02:36:18	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0x63c7f5…
05-05 01:57:00	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xbb6f38…
05-04 00:52:54	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x248bd1…
05-03 02:52:04	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0x859e44…
05-03 02:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa35cb5…
05-03 02:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x0a3ce0…
05-03 02:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x7bc251…
05-01 05:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x6aed47…
05-01 05:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x72d24c…
04-30 04:01:28	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Utah	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x5324df…
04-29 22:50:56	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x076ad1…
04-28 22:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xae802d…
04-28 22:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x84700c…
04-28 22:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x539f81…
04-28 21:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0xc4294d…
04-28 13:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	67	28¢	$19	0x50a4f0…
04-28 13:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0x916fc9…
04-28 13:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa242f0…
04-28 13:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0xf58225…
04-28 13:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x0e009c…
04-28 13:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xbdf042…
04-28 13:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x5856d2…
04-28 02:20:42	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	70	31¢	$22	0xd3785b…
04-28 01:09:14	Flyers vs. Penguins	Flyers	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x0611c1…
04-27 22:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8c0b9d…
04-27 22:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2faac6…
04-27 22:46:08	Flyers vs. Penguins	Flyers	BUY	103	45¢	$46	0x7ab40d…
04-27 22:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x49ff2d…
04-27 22:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xcd05ba…
04-27 22:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xcdf01a…
04-27 22:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xc463da…
04-27 22:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xbd3984…
04-27 22:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xbf99b7…
04-27 22:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xc7dfb6…
04-27 01:55:20	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x537f1d…
04-26 22:40:42	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	37	48¢	$18	0xffc7b1…
04-26 22:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9f40df…
04-25 05:01:12	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x1b8ee6…
04-25 04:29:36	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x7fcc5c…
04-25 04:15:28	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xb480c8…
04-25 04:13:26	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x18248e…
04-25 03:03:42	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0xda21a2…
04-25 03:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xbca786…
04-25 03:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x773ba6…
04-25 02:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0628ec…
04-25 02:51:22	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5c31b2…
04-25 02:51:20	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x503133…
04-23 04:52:36	nhl ana edm 2026 04 22	Ducks	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xb9dc67…
04-22 14:39:44	nhl ana edm 2026 04 22	Ducks	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0x7b6cb3…
04-22 14:39:38	nhl ana edm 2026 04 22	Ducks	BUY	36	37¢	$13	0x0405b6…
04-21 23:18:12	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Canadiens	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0x278eaa…
04-20 22:44:18	nhl ott car 2026 04 20	Senators	BUY	48	43¢	$21	0x333aff…
04-20 22:44:08	nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	Ducks	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x0e4559…
04-20 05:28:36	nhl utah las 2026 04 19	Golden Knights	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xd89c4d…
04-20 04:07:04	nhl utah las 2026 04 19	Golden Knights	BUY	47	31¢	$15	0x420d5d…
04-17 00:52:24	nhl van edm 2026 04 16	Canucks	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x11eb77…
04-16 13:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xaea854…
04-16 13:32:20	nhl van edm 2026 04 16	Canucks	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xe8f5fd…
04-16 03:52:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x041496…
04-16 03:51:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0xf944d7…
04-16 03:49:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x894241…
04-16 03:49:20	bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x513789…
04-16 02:55:50	nhl dal buf 2026 04 15	Stars	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xdd1a26…
04-16 00:27:42	nhl dal buf 2026 04 15	Stars	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x3b85ae…
04-16 00:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xab1bd6…
04-16 00:23:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xad910e…
04-16 00:17:22	nhl dal buf 2026 04 15	Stars	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x57e7fc…