Grouchy-Snakebite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.7%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$680

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-29 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

69% 40% +$1

Crypto

13% 0% $0

Politics

10% 17% +$0

Sports

3% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

3% 0% $0

Tech

2% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$25	13	12	+1	No	$0	04-18 17:00
will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	2	$25	13	12	+1	No	$0	03-31 04:06
will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	2	$23	12	11	+1	No	$0	03-15 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C or below on June 30?	2	$23	12	11	+1	No	$0	06-29 04:17
will south korea record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 652	2	$21	11	10	+1	Yes	$0	02-16 03:59
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	2	$21	11	10	+1	No	$0	05-02 11:12
Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,355,000 on April 30?	2	$21	11	10	+1	No	$0	04-18 17:04
will deepseek have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$20	11	10	+1	No	$0	03-31 04:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$20	11	10	+1	No	$0	05-02 11:13
will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	$0	03-15 15:19
Will "Straight to Hell: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	$0	05-02 11:08
Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	$0	06-29 04:23
Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	$0	04-18 17:07
2026 valero texas open winner kensei hirata win	2	$18	10	8	+1	No	$0	03-31 04:09
Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	$0	01-31 15:28
Will Claude Code Commits be less than 500.0k on June 30?	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	$0	06-29 04:54
military action against iran ends on march 16 2026	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	$0	03-15 15:20
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 3?	2	$16	9	7	+1	No	$0	05-02 11:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$16	8	7	+1	No	$0	03-31 04:10
will there be at least 650 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	2	$15	8	7	+1	No	$0	01-31 15:30
xrp above 1 on february 16	2	$15	8	7	+1	Yes	$0	02-16 04:04
will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be greater than 35m	2	$15	8	7	+1	No	$0	03-15 15:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$14	8	7	+1	No	$0	04-18 17:08
AWS service disrupted by April 30?	2	$14	8	6	+1	No	$0	05-02 11:18
will ndx dip to 18975 in march	2	$14	7	6	+1	No	$0	03-31 04:11
will turbotax file your tax return be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	2	$13	7	6	+1	No	$0	01-31 15:48
nflx above 20 on february 20 2026	2	$13	7	6	+1	Yes	$0	02-16 04:05
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 14c	2	$12	7	6	+1	No	$0	03-15 15:23
military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	2	$12	6	5	+1	No	$0	03-31 04:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	05-02 11:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 04:54:55	Will Claude Code Commits be less than 500.0k on June 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6ffc5c…
06-29 04:54:37	Will Claude Code Commits be less than 500.0k on June 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x28c0bd…
06-29 04:23:46	Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf7611f…
06-29 04:19:17	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x772fef…
06-29 04:17:58	Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe59d1a…
06-29 04:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C or below on June 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0ca0ce…
06-29 04:17:02	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xae577e…
06-29 04:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc65ffd…
05-28 17:10:22	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x63fa28…
05-28 17:09:18	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x401e30…
05-28 17:09:00	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd0e51…
05-28 17:06:14	spy closes above 775 on may 28 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xce47e0…
05-28 17:05:41	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35d46d…
05-28 17:05:16	spy closes above 775 on may 28 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x14e438…
05-28 17:04:34	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x97e311…
05-02 11:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 3?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xee8e3a…
05-02 11:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 3?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa0a7fc…
05-02 11:20:40	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x81baf9…
05-02 11:20:26	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa2196e…
05-02 11:19:48	Will Gwangju FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c7388…
05-02 11:18:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xac1b7c…
05-02 11:18:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd1aeea…
05-02 11:18:04	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x73e5dd…
05-02 11:17:48	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x733558…
05-02 11:17:04	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 3?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x20d68a…
05-02 11:16:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x75969a…
05-02 11:14:06	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda8e6d…
05-02 11:13:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x645e19…
05-02 11:13:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x394092…
05-02 11:12:58	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc6f236…
05-02 11:12:28	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd578f0…
05-02 11:08:56	Will "Straight to Hell: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbbcdb8…
05-02 11:08:36	Will "Straight to Hell: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71da6f…
04-18 17:17:14	ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 200plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb2decf…
04-18 17:12:50	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4ad5a2…
04-18 17:12:38	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x79deae…
04-18 17:12:08	will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1617e6…
04-18 17:11:32	will alamar biosciencess market cap be greater than 1pt3b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x99257f…
04-18 17:11:18	will alamar biosciencess market cap be greater than 1pt3b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x89bdfd…
04-18 17:09:42	efx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt7	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2bc43c…
04-18 17:08:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x599f64…
04-18 17:08:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38710c…
04-18 17:08:08	itsb pal ces 2026 04 18 pal	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27438c…
04-18 17:07:08	Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc5a7f7…
04-18 17:06:56	Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa75e4…
04-18 17:04:50	Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,355,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x212196…
04-18 17:04:34	Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,355,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3667c1…
04-18 17:03:32	will boeings commercial airplane deliveries in q1 2026 be above 125	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x16130c…
04-18 17:00:46	Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x15a2b3…
04-18 17:00:32	Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf5365c…
03-31 04:11:49	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x720788…
03-31 04:11:39	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb94f88…
03-31 04:11:17	will ndx dip to 18975 in march	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x734577…
03-31 04:11:07	will ndx dip to 18975 in march	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3b1d96…
03-31 04:10:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0d1b45…
03-31 04:10:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddde34…
03-31 04:09:45	2026 valero texas open winner kensei hirata win	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xccc549…
03-31 04:09:29	2026 valero texas open winner kensei hirata win	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x885ba5…
03-31 04:07:51	fds quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 4pt37	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x94da03…
03-31 04:06:43	will deepseek have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa63822…
03-31 04:06:31	will deepseek have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3e79f0…
03-31 04:06:13	will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x98c17f…
03-31 04:05:59	will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x41e4c3…
03-15 15:23:41	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 14c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb83bd4…
03-15 15:23:25	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 14c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0c34ec…
03-15 15:22:51	will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be greater than 35m	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x91f119…
03-15 15:22:39	will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be greater than 35m	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ad2ff…
03-15 15:20:55	military action against iran ends on march 16 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf9ebcf…
03-15 15:20:39	military action against iran ends on march 16 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x01dafc…
03-15 15:19:59	will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6cebdd…
03-15 15:19:47	will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa63310…
03-15 15:19:03	ere fey exc 2026 03 15 exc	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e0fbc…
03-15 15:18:31	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x70c0b5…
03-15 15:18:17	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe8f0f5…
03-15 15:17:11	will stephen miran dissent the next fed decision	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x69cebf…
02-16 04:12:45	march fed derivative 25bps cut flips pause by feb 28	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfee2bf…
02-16 04:09:47	highest temperature in dallas on february 16 2026 59forbelow	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x11ade1…
02-16 04:09:31	highest temperature in dallas on february 16 2026 59forbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x192c08…
02-16 04:08:31	will the median home value in chicago be between 300000 and 305000 by march 1	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdae568…
02-16 04:08:07	will the median home value in chicago be between 300000 and 305000 by march 1	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfbbbdb…
02-16 04:07:25	will is it cake valentines be the top us netflix show this week	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x234945…
02-16 04:07:15	will is it cake valentines be the top us netflix show this week	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f47e9…
02-16 04:06:33	ukraine hits moscow by february 14 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$4	0x291c75…
02-16 04:05:55	ukraine hits moscow by february 14 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc1f28e…
02-16 04:05:31	nflx above 20 on february 20 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2975e5…
02-16 04:05:13	nflx above 20 on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3b0064…
02-16 04:04:11	xrp above 1 on february 16	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6670b6…
02-16 04:03:45	xrp above 1 on february 16	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7195ff…
02-16 04:02:51	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be less than 14m	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3442a7…
02-16 04:02:35	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4447ec…
02-16 04:02:07	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be less than 14m	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x12f6cf…
02-16 04:00:11	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd166b0…
02-16 03:59:41	will south korea record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 652	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb9c0c7…
02-16 03:59:23	will south korea record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 652	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x51dd27…
02-16 03:56:59	will the silicon data h100 index sdh100rt hit 1pt80 low by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe5b716…
01-31 15:56:52	will nyc have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x890f92…
01-31 15:55:36	will google gemini 3 score at least 70 on the frontiermath benchmark	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x25f91e…
01-31 15:55:24	will google gemini 3 score at least 70 on the frontiermath benchmark	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x196e1c…
01-31 15:48:40	will turbotax file your tax return be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7e0135…
01-31 15:40:16	will turbotax file your tax return be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc96f0b…