Partial-Equation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

349

lifetime

Volume

$1.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-11 00:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 67% $-9

Sports

11% 33% $-40

Other

10% 60% $-20

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?	5	$74	83	44	+39	open	—	05-04 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	4	$51	46	46	+0	open	—	05-03 04:47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$50	30	30	+0	Up	+$10	05-04 21:17
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$50	102	0	+102	Sabres	$-14	05-06 22:53
Canadiens vs. Sabres	3	$47	65	0	+65	open	—	05-19 01:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 00:39
Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$30	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 00:50
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	1	$30	45	0	+45	Sabres	$-30	05-06 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$29	31	21	+10	Up	$-1	05-06 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	05-23 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	05-23 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$22	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$22	25	25	+0	open	—	05-03 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$21	67	67	+0	open	—	05-23 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	05-23 14:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$20	77	0	+77	Down	$-20	05-06 01:20
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	1	$20	39	0	+39	Down	$-20	05-06 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	05-03 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$17	176	9	+167	open	—	05-03 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	4	$17	29	12	+17	open	—	05-03 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$16	0	20	-20	open	—	05-24 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	05-31 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 00:02:39	btc updown 15m 1781136000	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x60b605…
06-11 00:01:51	btc updown 15m 1781136000	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4dd5f6…
06-10 23:56:39	btc updown 15m 1781135100	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xdb25bd…
06-10 23:54:04	btc updown 15m 1781135100	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcd841f…
06-10 23:53:25	btc updown 15m 1781135100	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x487cee…
06-10 23:45:48	btc updown 15m 1781135100	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa3c700…
06-10 23:42:49	btc updown 15m 1781134200	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xb22442…
06-10 23:30:51	btc updown 15m 1781134200	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x97929d…
06-10 23:21:16	btc updown 15m 1781133300	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe3a57b…
06-09 02:12:31	btc updown 15m 1780970400	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x8ccc92…
06-09 02:09:06	btc updown 15m 1780970400	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1b61b1…
06-09 01:49:07	btc updown 15m 1780969500	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x89b35e…
06-09 01:45:28	btc updown 15m 1780969500	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd774b6…
06-09 01:40:00	btc updown 15m 1780968600	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x40e02f…
06-09 01:38:51	btc updown 15m 1780968600	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x85782e…
06-09 01:35:37	btc updown 15m 1780968600	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x1dda40…
06-09 01:34:37	btc updown 15m 1780968600	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x674145…
06-09 01:25:01	btc updown 15m 1780967700	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd2808a…
06-07 02:48:21	btc updown 15m 1780800300	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xaa2ce6…
06-07 02:46:46	btc updown 15m 1780800300	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbee21c…
06-06 22:02:33	btc updown 15m 1780783200	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x6820bd…
06-06 22:00:24	btc updown 15m 1780783200	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xdb60e0…
06-06 16:53:22	btc updown 15m 1780764300	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x8d6b64…
06-06 16:51:57	btc updown 15m 1780764300	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x80c096…
06-01 00:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x98e422…
06-01 00:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x86bd0d…
06-01 00:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0x61f507…
06-01 00:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0849e3…
06-01 00:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xada62c…
05-31 22:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xb5d587…
05-31 22:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6a003e…
05-31 02:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8bdd92…
05-31 02:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x20c364…
05-31 02:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x063655…
05-31 02:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4c2248…
05-31 02:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6f5a4b…
05-31 01:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x00b5ea…
05-31 01:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x28f76f…
05-31 01:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x307b21…
05-31 01:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb21a63…
05-25 02:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9bfdc7…
05-25 01:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xdf64fb…
05-25 01:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd126c9…
05-25 01:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x9126a9…
05-25 01:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x1c4efa…
05-24 23:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb8a558…
05-24 22:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0xecc009…
05-24 21:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2d66fd…
05-24 01:53:11	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb43893…
05-24 01:47:43	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x097905…
05-24 01:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xc8727b…
05-24 01:08:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x31b6f4…
05-24 01:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfd81ec…
05-24 00:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7e4b82…
05-24 00:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x50fb0f…
05-24 00:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x114e55…
05-24 00:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x0f1430…
05-24 00:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4273c3…
05-23 23:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	69¢	$13	0xf9b87d…
05-23 23:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x65d4bd…
05-23 23:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x283d99…
05-23 23:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x3ddeb8…
05-23 23:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xda3df6…
05-23 19:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6ae9c4…
05-23 19:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4c1291…
05-23 17:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xa4dadf…
05-23 17:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xefd9f9…
05-23 16:36:14	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2b2597…
05-23 16:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfbfef1…
05-23 15:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	67	29¢	$19	0x733ca3…
05-23 15:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x7cf1ef…
05-23 15:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x9ff8a5…
05-23 15:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x705abc…
05-23 14:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0xbcea6e…
05-23 14:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xff4baa…
05-23 14:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xf76649…
05-23 14:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa788eb…
05-23 14:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xeff7f6…
05-23 14:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcd8db5…
05-23 13:56:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe01a6e…
05-23 13:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0c2609…
05-23 13:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x41dedb…
05-23 13:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x276276…
05-23 13:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x22b972…
05-23 13:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdff352…
05-23 13:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe1683f…
05-23 13:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfb5f62…
05-22 00:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xee219f…
05-22 00:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x4e21b2…
05-22 00:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe80321…
05-21 23:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9c049c…
05-21 23:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xb4df01…
05-21 23:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x86a540…
05-21 23:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2c53d3…
05-21 21:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x7e72b2…
05-21 21:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf1580e…
05-21 21:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc9e3af…
05-21 20:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0xd94da2…
05-21 20:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xcd510e…
05-21 20:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x6cf78e…