Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$2.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-01 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

91% 29% -$78

Politics

6% 0% -$28

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	No		+3	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-01 09:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$600	303	303	+0	No	+$5	03-27 16:45
Will Loopscale launch a token by March 31, 2026?	5	$473	293	182	+111	No	+$2	03-29 14:54
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?	9	$343	200	200	+0	Yes	-$5	09-01 09:43
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	9	$339	292	292	+0	Yes	+$2	09-04 05:59
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	4	$201	103	103	+0	Yes	+$1	09-18 08:31
Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?	2	$125	80	80	+0	No	-$4	09-09 07:14
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	12	$98	108	108	+0	No	+$1	08-29 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 8?	6	$98	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-08 04:12
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	3	$95	100	50	+50	No	-$1	09-01 12:16
will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	6	$66	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	09-04 11:59
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 31?	5	$63	60	60	-0	No	-$18	08-31 11:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	4	$48	144	0	+144	Yes	-$48	09-08 03:21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 29?	11	$48	88	88	+0	Yes	+$1	08-29 06:52
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	4	$45	40	37	+3	open	—	10-01 13:30
will milo yiannopoulos be deported in 2026	4	$40	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	08-29 11:35
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	2	$40	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	09-09 05:43
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 11, 2026?	4	$38	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	09-01 12:07
laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-10 03:05
wti up or down on september 2 2026	2	$28	25	25	+0	Down	$0	09-02 07:13
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	2	$24	54	0	+54	Yes	-$24	09-08 05:28
spy up or down on september 1 2026	2	$23	20	20	+0	Down	$0	09-01 01:25
will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	08-29 11:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 1?	6	$18	21	21	+0	Up	$0	09-01 10:09
Will Lacy or Marlon die to a spider?	5	$18	100	100	+0	No	-$10	09-06 04:27
wti up or down on september 28 2026	4	$17	40	40	+0	Up	-$1	09-28 08:25
spy up or down on september 10 2026	2	$11	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	09-10 06:14
Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?	2	$10	64	64	+0	Yes	+$0	09-03 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 30?	2	$8	7	7	+0	No	$0	08-30 02:52
wti up or down on august 31 2026	8	$7	23	23	+0	Up	$0	08-31 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 30?	2	$6	74	74	+0	Yes	-$2	08-30 06:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 13:30:57	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x91578d…
10-01 09:32:08	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x88c9b6…
09-30 13:34:02	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x2ea797…
09-30 13:21:30	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf8b1ec…
09-28 10:28:35	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd819c3…
09-28 10:28:27	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x72091c…
09-28 08:25:51	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x508146…
09-28 08:22:23	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xd99f3f…
09-28 07:05:41	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xd22fa1…
09-28 07:05:11	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xea1694…
09-18 08:31:46	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xbc6534…
09-18 08:31:43	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xdd2048…
09-18 08:31:40	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xf91d8e…
09-17 10:53:12	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x448dd7…
09-10 06:14:43	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Down	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x44d757…
09-10 05:33:43	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xa3393b…
09-10 03:05:06	laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x3ad72f…
09-10 02:57:10	laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xb6cff4…
09-09 07:14:55	Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	80	76¢	$60	0xe8fb35…
09-09 05:43:49	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xc94146…
09-09 04:57:16	Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	80	81¢	$65	0x6a7d06…
09-09 04:46:09	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x1438e0…
09-08 05:28:42	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xdfcfe9…
09-08 05:28:42	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	44	44¢	$20	0x76b8e5…
09-08 04:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 8?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x46c128…
09-08 04:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 8?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x85c851…
09-08 04:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xb03294…
09-08 04:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 8?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xb03294…
09-08 04:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xda4f7f…
09-08 04:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd94719…
09-08 03:21:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x4ab94b…
09-08 03:21:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xf85265…
09-08 03:21:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	32	33¢	$10	0xb8feff…
09-08 03:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xc7353a…
09-06 04:27:16	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a spider?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x6e6f7d…
09-06 04:27:16	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a spider?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x42f720…
09-06 04:27:10	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a spider?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x98a213…
09-06 04:27:09	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a spider?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x3d17be…
09-06 04:27:06	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a spider?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x10cd88…
09-04 11:59:57	will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	Yes	SELL	48	33¢	$16	0x19a60f…
09-04 11:56:00	will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x5db901…
09-04 11:13:40	will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xa1c7ca…
09-04 11:12:58	will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xc31957…
09-04 11:12:58	will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	Yes	SELL	29	33¢	$10	0x506942…
09-04 11:00:42	will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x5505eb…
09-04 05:59:10	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xbcd474…
09-04 05:59:01	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xeb5fcd…
09-04 05:09:04	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	SELL	38	80¢	$31	0x2d4e1b…
09-04 05:04:55	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x4a8282…
09-04 05:04:49	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x52a7f4…
09-04 05:04:45	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	88	80¢	$71	0x2bfaba…
09-04 05:00:28	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x91cb83…
09-04 04:01:13	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x20bd2f…
09-04 04:01:04	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xecaf59…
09-03 03:03:21	Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?	No	SELL	64	8¢	$5	0x24503b…
09-03 03:03:18	Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x6f7594…
09-02 07:13:58	wti up or down on september 2 2026	Down	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0x19069d…
09-02 07:13:54	wti up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x65b1f2…
09-01 12:16:45	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8ad8ce…
09-01 12:07:16	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xe0ba23…
09-01 12:07:07	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xa14af4…
09-01 12:02:12	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x2812a8…
09-01 12:02:00	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xfa3d7c…
09-01 10:57:27	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x86309a…
09-01 10:57:16	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xb8fc08…
09-01 10:09:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 1?	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xd8a75b…
09-01 10:09:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 1?	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xf631b4…
09-01 09:43:48	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x82ee73…
09-01 04:08:28	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xa1ae0f…
09-01 04:08:22	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xe6cef2…
09-01 04:08:22	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	72¢	$28	0x0fd1bc…
09-01 04:08:19	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xff3c50…
09-01 04:08:07	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x55c72b…
09-01 03:05:00	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x3ac66b…
09-01 03:04:57	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xe0074b…
09-01 01:25:46	spy up or down on september 1 2026	Up	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xe2f049…
09-01 01:25:42	spy up or down on september 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x8400dc…
09-01 01:18:18	wti up or down on september 1 2026	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x2dc62e…
09-01 01:18:18	wti up or down on september 1 2026	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x2b2a8c…
09-01 01:18:18	wti up or down on september 1 2026	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x0a4251…
09-01 01:18:13	wti up or down on september 1 2026	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb16117…
08-31 11:10:02	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	53	33¢	$18	0xc9c1f2…
08-31 05:52:34	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2fa268…
08-31 05:52:21	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x64e399…
08-31 05:25:06	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Down	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x2c1704…
08-31 05:24:57	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x5ad9cd…
08-31 05:01:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x3bcdbb…
08-31 04:35:22	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x4e48f1…
08-31 04:35:07	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x21a06a…
08-31 04:02:45	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Down	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x94d1ab…
08-31 03:43:25	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x4559aa…
08-31 02:01:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x92c821…
08-31 01:53:51	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x035a09…
08-30 06:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 30?	No	SELL	74	3¢	$2	0x900a6b…
08-30 06:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 30?	No	BUY	74	5¢	$4	0xb00f44…
08-30 02:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 30?	No	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xd29431…
08-30 02:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x375ae8…
08-29 11:35:51	will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x963fec…
08-29 11:35:21	will milo yiannopoulos be deported in 2026	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x96616e…
08-29 11:33:52	will milo yiannopoulos be deported in 2026	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe1e9b9…