False-Disagreement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.34K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

242

Trades

973

lifetime

Volume

$428.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$440

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-30 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Sports

99% 77% -$698

Other

1% 38% -$640

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba sac dal 2026 02 26	13	$13.3K	6,670	6,670	+0	Kings	+$60	02-27 04:00
nba lal gsw 2026 02 28	4	$13.2K	6,630	6,630	+0	Lakers	+$40	03-01 03:17
nba bos phx 2026 02 24	2	$12.7K	6,418	6,418	+0	Celtics	+$122	02-25 04:00
nba okc tor 2026 02 24	11	$11.7K	5,935	5,935	+0	Thunder	+$150	02-25 03:03
nba ind lac 2026 03 04	8	$11.4K	7,742	3,942	+3,800	Clippers	-$116	03-05 05:17
nba mem dal 2026 02 27	4	$10.5K	5,300	5,300	+0	Grizzlies	+$101	02-28 03:33
nba nop uta 2026 02 26	13	$10.3K	5,200	5,200	+0	Pelicans	+$71	02-27 04:24
nba was atl 2026 02 26	31	$10.1K	5,100	5,100	+0	Hawks	+$46	02-27 02:33
nba mia mil 2026 02 24	2	$10.1K	5,100	5,100	+0	Bucks	+$97	02-25 04:15
nba sac uta 2026 02 11	20	$10.1K	5,051	5,051	+0	Jazz	+$18	02-12 04:33
nba bos gsw 2026 02 19	2	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	Celtics	+$45	02-20 04:52
nba nyk phi 2026 02 11	6	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	Knicks	+$70	02-12 03:05
nba phi min 2026 02 22	2	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	76ers	+$95	02-23 02:17
nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	20	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	Heat	+$95	03-06 02:48
nba lac hou 2026 02 10	4	$9.5K	4,800	4,800	+0	Rockets	+$102	02-11 03:23
nba okc phi 2026 03 23	3	$8.8K	4,400	4,400	+0	Thunder	+$18	03-24 01:50
nba det cha 2026 02 09	3	$8.7K	4,400	4,400	+0	Pistons	+$84	02-10 02:46
nba mia nop 2026 02 11	6	$8.7K	4,352	4,352	+0	Heat	+$39	02-12 03:30
nba ind mil 2026 02 06	4	$8.6K	4,300	4,300	+0	Bucks	+$39	02-07 03:21
nba nyk det 2026 02 06	2	$8.5K	4,295	4,295	+0	Pistons	+$39	02-07 02:32
nba cha hou 2026 02 05	7	$8.5K	4,248	4,248	+0	Hornets	+$14	02-06 03:21
nba det sas 2026 03 05	2	$7.6K	3,800	3,800	+0	Spurs	+$15	03-06 03:30
nba lal den 2026 03 05	11	$7.5K	3,800	3,800	-0	Nuggets	+$72	03-06 05:30
nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	10	$7.5K	3,800	3,800	+0	Thunder	+$72	03-05 04:25
nba cle den 2026 02 09	2	$7.3K	3,689	3,689	+0	Cavaliers	+$33	02-10 04:43
nba nyk chi 2026 02 22	11	$6.9K	7,098	0	+7,098	Knicks	+$173	02-23 03:23
nba nop uta 2026 02 28	10	$6.7K	3,534	3,400	+134	Pelicans	-$17	03-01 04:55
nba tor mil 2026 02 22	9	$6.6K	3,315	3,315	+0	Raptors	+$63	02-23 00:55
nba phi lal 2026 02 05	32	$6.0K	6,067	0	+6,067	Lakers	+$87	02-06 05:28
nba uta hou 2026 02 23	23	$5.9K	6,038	0	+6,038	Rockets	+$177	02-24 03:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:17:00	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,990	0xe1a4ae…
10-29 02:41:28	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xd6ff29…
10-29 02:39:46	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	207	99¢	$205	0x511d95…
10-29 02:31:19	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	1,000	96¢	$964	0x2203e7…
10-27 03:31:03	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x4a19e0…
10-27 03:31:02	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	1,926	99¢	$1,909	0x299443…
10-27 02:02:42	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x350c63…
10-27 02:02:17	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	212	99¢	$211	0x68b963…
10-27 01:59:21	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	751	99¢	$746	0x59f2fb…
10-27 01:28:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xe149f7…
10-26 01:16:36	Clippers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	860	94¢	$808	0x5cfde1…
10-26 01:16:14	Clippers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	240	94¢	$226	0x92e723…
10-26 00:13:48	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xe129e7…
10-26 00:13:45	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	175	99¢	$174	0x1525d2…
10-26 00:13:45	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	262	99¢	$260	0x0c57de…
10-26 00:13:14	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0xf49093…
10-26 00:10:02	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	1,355	99¢	$1,347	0xb21859…
10-25 02:42:21	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,984	0x001e9f…
10-25 02:03:30	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0x3b0044…
10-25 02:03:23	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	310	99¢	$308	0x7ad831…
10-25 02:03:21	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	609	99¢	$604	0xd30c1d…
10-25 02:03:21	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	310	99¢	$308	0x96985b…
10-25 02:03:21	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	609	99¢	$604	0x8a6f9a…
10-25 02:02:47	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc42bf4…
10-25 02:02:39	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4e1340…
10-25 02:02:30	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf6f05f…
10-25 00:36:21	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	1,475	99¢	$1,466	0x26f86e…
10-25 00:36:20	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0xfe9129…
10-25 00:36:20	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	957	99¢	$951	0xd07bc5…
10-25 00:36:20	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	177	99¢	$176	0xca46b4…
10-25 00:36:20	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x828edc…
10-25 00:36:20	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x0c853b…
10-24 04:31:14	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1,530	100¢	$1,522	0xff011d…
10-24 04:31:14	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbc037a…
10-24 04:31:12	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfa81ff…
10-24 04:31:12	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc65391…
10-24 04:31:12	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaa44ca…
10-24 04:31:12	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x86f81c…
10-24 04:31:12	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	967	99¢	$962	0x62af69…
10-24 04:31:12	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3be135…
10-24 04:31:12	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x116cdd…
10-24 04:15:48	Rockets vs. Spurs	Rockets	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xbf02bf…
10-24 04:15:48	Rockets vs. Spurs	Rockets	BUY	33	77¢	$26	0x356640…
10-24 04:15:47	Rockets vs. Spurs	Rockets	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xdb3ae6…
10-24 01:12:47	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	SELL	158	96¢	$152	0x7d47bd…
10-24 01:12:44	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	SELL	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x218bbf…
10-24 01:05:47	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	1,000	98¢	$980	0x3697f3…
10-24 00:45:14	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x371acf…
10-24 00:39:05	Hawks vs. Hornets	Hawks	BUY	172	98¢	$168	0xe80eff…
10-24 00:37:51	Hawks vs. Hornets	Hawks	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf4e240…
10-24 00:06:12	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xfa4174…
10-23 01:51:59	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0xf1d06a…
10-23 00:40:59	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	SELL	300	80¢	$240	0xa4b643…
10-23 00:18:05	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	109	93¢	$102	0xa1dd5e…
10-23 00:18:00	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	158	93¢	$147	0xd76a6f…
10-23 00:17:59	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x369ba4…
10-22 04:02:09	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	3,548	100¢	$3,530	0x2356c0…
10-22 04:01:47	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	452	100¢	$450	0x1f24d2…
10-22 03:10:33	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Suns	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd74d26…
10-22 02:41:26	Mavericks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x678525…
10-22 02:34:53	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Suns	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x649a43…
10-22 01:48:09	Jazz vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	1,444	98¢	$1,415	0xb1fe7e…
10-22 01:48:09	Jazz vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	556	98¢	$545	0x404fa4…
10-22 01:37:53	Mavericks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x101d7a…
10-22 01:32:50	Mavericks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6941d2…
10-22 01:32:33	Mavericks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4a5e05…
10-22 00:43:05	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	350	29¢	$102	0x43f094…
10-22 00:34:03	Bulls vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x7c514d…
10-21 01:56:35	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x19207d…
10-20 03:02:12	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x0bfa43…
10-20 03:02:09	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xdbd1cb…
10-20 02:58:48	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xdb885f…
10-20 02:55:44	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x175b51…
10-20 02:45:06	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	169	82¢	$139	0xe74666…
10-20 02:25:03	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	169	98¢	$166	0x24aaa5…
10-18 03:17:03	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xa8c52e…
10-18 03:02:57	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0x14e26f…
10-18 02:34:32	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	189	89¢	$168	0x3caf65…
10-18 02:17:20	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	189	95¢	$180	0x62442d…
10-17 02:23:18	Timberwolves vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0xca5786…
10-17 02:23:18	Timberwolves vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	89	98¢	$88	0x79edb0…
10-16 03:07:19	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	176	98¢	$172	0xe9176b…
10-15 02:45:26	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x5cd16b…
10-11 01:02:42	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x087391…
10-09 05:05:12	Kings vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x79f97f…
10-09 05:04:59	Kings vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0x6dac24…
10-09 03:48:06	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	167	99¢	$165	0x00bbc1…
10-09 02:33:26	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0xe32087…
10-09 02:32:48	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x6e4526…
10-06 03:03:55	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	139	98¢	$136	0x074209…
10-06 02:44:36	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	142	96¢	$136	0xad63bd…
10-06 02:33:30	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	142	96¢	$136	0x419fa1…
10-02 02:34:53	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	135	98¢	$132	0xb3db99…
10-01 04:51:36	Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf07bb6…
10-01 04:48:08	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xf7d57e…
10-01 04:47:08	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x9cecc1…
10-01 04:46:42	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x3e5aca…
09-27 03:56:06	Houston Astros vs. Athletics	Houston Astros	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x7441b5…
09-27 03:54:54	Houston Astros vs. Athletics	Houston Astros	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x879e69…
09-27 03:50:30	Houston Astros vs. Athletics	Houston Astros	BUY	159	99¢	$158	0xba7e4c…