Innocent-Regulator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

1,280

Trades

1,515

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-18 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 82% -$20

Other

1% 92% +$8

Politics

0% 0% -$40

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	23	$79	104	104	+0	Down	+$4	06-02 12:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 20:30 UTC	3	$72	100	0	+100	Up	+$28	03-24 20:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 15:45 UTC	2	$65	100	0	+100	Down	+$35	03-31 15:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 09:00 UTC	2	$55	55	0	+55	Down	+$1	04-02 09:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 12:15 UTC	2	$55	55	0	+55	Down	+$1	04-02 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 23:30 UTC	2	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-29 23:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 12:15 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-29 12:30
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-26 12:00 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-26 16:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 07:30 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-28 07:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 09:30 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-31 09:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 06:00 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	04-03 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 09:00 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-26 09:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 04:30 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-29 04:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 15:30 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	04-01 15:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 10:45 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-31 11:00
will bitcoin reach 68k on march 31	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	03-31 16:42
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:00 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-31 23:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-27 11:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 22:45 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-25 23:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 04:15 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-31 04:30
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 02:30 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-27 02:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 16:30 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-30 16:45
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	03-27 14:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 03:45 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	-$50	03-30 04:00
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 26	1	$49	52	0	+52	Yes	+$3	03-26 15:09
will xrp dip to 1pt3 march 23 29	1	$49	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	03-29 22:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 10:30 UTC	1	$49	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	04-01 10:45
will xrp dip to 1pt4 on march 25	1	$49	51	0	+51	Yes	+$2	03-26 02:33
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 00:30 UTC	1	$49	62	0	+62	Down	+$13	03-31 00:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 14:00 UTC	2	$48	50	0	+50	Down	+$2	03-25 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 05:44:56	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa90cbd…
09-17 01:41:40	Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x129b1d…
09-05 14:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xc9ce04…
09-05 14:29:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1115cb…
09-05 14:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xf158e3…
09-05 14:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x3f490c…
09-05 14:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xf06508…
09-05 13:24:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x2a29b9…
09-05 12:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xaa9d0a…
08-31 20:41:24	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x73691a…
08-31 20:32:15	bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9524ca…
08-25 04:56:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x5ab939…
08-25 04:42:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xda82b4…
08-25 02:23:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xb310de…
08-25 01:58:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$6	0x6bb7bd…
08-25 01:10:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xedeb63…
08-25 00:57:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x8d5a59…
08-25 00:51:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x3a9566…
08-25 00:28:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x24ab37…
08-24 22:52:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x42a689…
08-24 22:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x879e9f…
08-24 22:32:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	36¢	$6	0xaaa82c…
08-24 22:23:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xfe77ac…
08-24 22:18:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xb97491…
08-24 22:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf38b38…
08-24 22:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xec5e17…
08-24 21:47:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x22e690…
08-24 21:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x34c4a9…
08-24 21:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x5a0861…
08-24 21:27:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x9f6f10…
08-24 21:21:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x878efd…
08-24 21:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x202c9a…
08-24 21:10:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe9de92…
08-24 21:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xf62d22…
08-24 20:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xdd6d50…
08-24 19:38:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x85ff20…
08-24 19:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	23	63¢	$14	0x7af56c…
08-24 19:27:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x28ccfa…
08-24 19:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xbb322b…
08-24 19:16:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x4421aa…
08-24 19:11:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x4ae4df…
08-24 19:06:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x6c5124…
08-24 19:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x6ac866…
08-24 18:49:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xef3850…
08-24 18:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x47e117…
08-24 18:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x82985a…
08-24 18:25:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x3aa4f1…
08-24 05:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xb085cd…
08-24 05:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x61a4e9…
08-24 04:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x22b678…
08-24 04:47:22	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xfd6d12…
08-24 04:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x441909…
08-24 04:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x71b89f…
08-24 04:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xf5cd24…
08-24 04:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x0fa494…
08-24 04:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0xdc45d0…
08-24 04:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xb3a430…
08-24 04:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x5c57a5…
08-24 04:08:39	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0xc3cf02…
08-24 04:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0x6245c0…
08-24 03:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x325a88…
08-24 03:43:25	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xb984aa…
08-24 03:38:21	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xc1b25d…
08-24 03:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xe1b20b…
08-24 03:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xa2af35…
08-24 03:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0xeb74fd…
08-24 03:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x25d86f…
08-24 03:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xbc3fec…
08-24 03:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x24a141…
08-24 02:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0xa422fa…
08-24 02:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x2b2402…
08-24 02:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0x99770e…
08-24 02:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0x9357f2…
08-24 02:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0xdbd474…
08-24 02:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x881466…
08-24 02:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	45¢	$12	0x2ee04d…
08-24 02:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6e2a5c…
08-24 01:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0xad05de…
08-24 01:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xd97805…
08-24 01:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xce3401…
08-24 01:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa8ae4f…
08-24 01:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x3e9c56…
08-24 01:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0x2c581b…
08-24 01:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x0f4b21…
08-24 01:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	24¢	$7	0x3c2bd3…
08-24 01:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd56102…
08-24 01:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x3e5423…
08-24 00:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf8f79f…
08-24 00:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x750f45…
08-24 00:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0xf1d4d9…
08-24 00:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x53996f…
08-24 00:28:24	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xbb7f86…
08-24 00:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xfaf474…
08-24 00:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0x3e3673…
08-24 00:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xc3a9cc…
08-24 00:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x1d7f21…
08-23 23:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x724fbc…
08-23 23:50:40	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x5ff0c2…
08-23 23:41:13	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa936b4…
08-23 23:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xf5b354…