Average-Quiver — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$24.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-16 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 100% +$2

Politics

9% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	5	$2.0K	1,006	1,006	+0	open	—	02-08 20:12
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	3	$2.0K	990	980	+10	open	—	03-09 12:22
bitcoin above 60k on february 25	2	$1.0K	700	350	+350	open	—	02-25 09:42
bitcoin above 72k on march 8	1	$900	901	0	+901	open	—	03-08 03:53
btc updown 5m 1771328400	1	$759	767	0	+767	open	—	02-17 11:44
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	1	$724	724	0	+724	open	—	02-09 16:32
btc updown 5m 1771327800	1	$723	760	0	+760	open	—	02-17 11:34
btc updown 5m 1771216800	2	$699	714	0	+714	open	—	02-16 04:44
bitcoin above 72k on february 27	3	$698	700	0	+700	open	—	02-27 03:35
btc updown 5m 1771003200	1	$588	594	0	+594	open	—	02-13 17:24
btc updown 5m 1771002900	1	$571	588	0	+588	open	—	02-13 17:19
btc updown 15m 1772895600	12	$517	350	176	+174	open	—	03-07 15:14
bitcoin above 72k on february 10	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	02-10 16:04
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	03-07 09:14
bitcoin above 70k on february 28	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	02-28 07:01
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	03-05 04:32
bitcoin above 76k on march 6	1	$498	500	0	+500	open	—	03-06 07:59
btc updown 15m 1770622200	1	$495	500	0	+500	open	—	02-09 07:41
bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	2	$437	241	200	+41	open	—	04-22 14:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	04-21 08:00
btc updown 5m 1771340400	2	$390	402	0	+402	open	—	02-17 15:03
ethereum above 2400 on april 10	4	$362	183	180	+3	open	—	04-10 14:16
bitcoin above 74k on march 7	2	$299	300	0	+300	open	—	03-07 09:53
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$299	300	0	+300	open	—	02-09 08:38
bitcoin above 70k on march 28	2	$294	150	145	+5	open	—	03-28 05:22
ethereum above 2200 on april 15	2	$256	129	129	+0	open	—	04-15 15:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	1	$239	240	0	+240	Yes	+$1	05-06 12:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 19	1	$231	232	0	+232	open	—	04-19 08:47
bitcoin up or down on april 14 2026	1	$222	229	0	+229	open	—	04-14 07:04
ethereum above 2200 on april 21	1	$218	220	0	+220	open	—	04-21 09:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 04:00:28	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	No	SELL	101	99¢	$101	0x6839c3…
06-16 03:39:30	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x79fe2f…
06-16 03:39:09	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcf7081…
05-23 08:13:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4023ee…
05-23 08:12:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xbb4e97…
05-13 07:22:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 13?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3a9fed…
05-06 12:45:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x343e7e…
04-23 08:05:30	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xa97964…
04-22 14:26:58	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0f0959…
04-22 14:26:46	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9eb3de…
04-22 14:22:24	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x4b7860…
04-22 12:29:32	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	241	98¢	$237	0x60480c…
04-21 09:16:04	ethereum above 2200 on april 21	Yes	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0x4afe72…
04-21 08:00:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xda5432…
04-20 10:08:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xe544cf…
04-20 09:32:12	highest temperature in istanbul on april 20 2026 19corhigher	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xef8090…
04-19 08:47:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 19	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0xea1623…
04-15 15:34:20	ethereum above 2200 on april 15	Yes	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x9ae566…
04-15 15:31:50	ethereum above 2400 on april 15	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x6ff39c…
04-15 13:48:54	ethereum above 2400 on april 15	No	BUY	101	98¢	$98	0xbec34a…
04-15 12:33:56	ethereum above 2200 on april 15	Yes	BUY	129	98¢	$127	0x686228…
04-14 07:04:21	bitcoin up or down on april 14 2026	Up	BUY	229	97¢	$222	0x4b3e76…
04-13 08:58:19	ethereum above 2300 on april 13	No	BUY	210	98¢	$207	0xb9cfe7…
04-10 14:16:29	ethereum above 2400 on april 10	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x267205…
04-10 07:42:01	ethereum above 2400 on april 10	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x4e91d3…
04-10 07:41:31	ethereum above 2400 on april 10	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x1c1bd0…
04-10 07:22:57	ethereum above 2400 on april 10	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xe54567…
04-09 03:25:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	215	99¢	$212	0x38d814…
04-07 21:35:07	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on april 8	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x3f9b81…
04-07 06:34:49	btc updown 5m 1775543400	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x74663c…
04-07 05:24:01	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on april 8	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xeeb7c3…
04-07 05:22:47	ethereum above 2300 on april 8	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x2c2744…
04-07 05:22:25	atp marinko tu 2026 04 07	Li Tu	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb4a70a…
03-31 05:29:37	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xab4b8a…
03-30 07:19:58	btc updown 5m 1774854900	Up	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x09462d…
03-30 07:18:40	btc updown 5m 1774854900	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9ff434…
03-30 06:59:58	btc updown 5m 1774853700	Down	BUY	34	98¢	$34	0x233393…
03-30 06:20:22	bitcoin above 64k on march 30	Yes	BUY	165	98¢	$162	0x223f02…
03-29 07:13:54	btc updown 15m 1774767600	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x17623f…
03-29 07:10:58	btc updown 15m 1774767600	Down	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xd4cfad…
03-28 07:50:29	bitcoin above 58k on march 29	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xbd7d8e…
03-28 05:22:49	bitcoin above 70k on march 28	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0xcf03b2…
03-28 04:19:07	bitcoin above 70k on march 28	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xdd1dfd…
03-28 04:11:05	bitcoin above 68k on march 28	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x0f6955…
03-28 04:10:37	bitcoin above 68k on march 28	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x23afe5…
03-27 10:26:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	191	99¢	$190	0x2f1668…
03-26 16:00:53	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 26	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x91003a…
03-21 09:01:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x90f758…
03-18 13:09:37	bitcoin above 76k on march 18	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0xfdfdb0…
03-16 08:19:21	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0xda98d2…
03-11 05:22:09	will solana reach 100 on march 11	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x179725…
03-11 05:20:53	will solana reach 105 on march 11	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xb2c167…
03-10 11:06:41	solana above 80 on march 10	Yes	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xc9921c…
03-10 07:21:17	will solana dip to 70 on march 10	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x34a38d…
03-10 07:21:05	will solana dip to 70 on march 10	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0bad2d…
03-10 07:10:23	will solana dip to 80 on march 10	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xc673b7…
03-10 07:10:13	will solana dip to 75 on march 10	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x141379…
03-10 07:10:03	will solana dip to 70 on march 10	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x907f26…
03-10 07:09:03	cl up or down on march 10 2026	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x82bbf4…
03-10 06:15:31	will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x12c50f…
03-10 06:02:53	will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xbd96b7…
03-09 14:33:21	ethereum up or down on march 9	Up	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xac2ce3…
03-09 14:03:25	ethereum up or down on march 9	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x81d1b1…
03-09 12:24:33	btc updown 5m 1773058800	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd732e7…
03-09 12:22:53	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	SELL	980	100¢	$979	0xcef525…
03-09 08:28:13	btc updown 15m 1773044100	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd50009…
03-09 06:08:27	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x288aae…
03-09 06:07:47	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0xfc2b19…
03-08 15:23:45	bitcoin up or down on march 8	Down	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0xe7278d…
03-08 15:19:43	btc updown 5m 1772982900	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xaba5b9…
03-08 03:53:59	btc updown 5m 1772941800	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x04e70d…
03-08 03:53:03	bitcoin above 72k on march 8	No	BUY	901	100¢	$900	0x39636d…
03-07 15:59:47	bitcoin up or down march 7 10am et	Down	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x3778ba…
03-07 15:14:33	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0xb43180…
03-07 15:13:11	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x0049ae…
03-07 15:13:09	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x392601…
03-07 15:13:07	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x970c9d…
03-07 15:13:07	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x8d7b92…
03-07 15:13:07	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x49d43f…
03-07 15:13:07	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3eb5f3…
03-07 15:13:07	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1c6172…
03-07 15:13:05	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf00aa7…
03-07 15:13:05	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0x38fb9c…
03-07 15:13:05	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2ba5c2…
03-07 15:12:25	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Down	BUY	176	97¢	$171	0xf44389…
03-07 15:09:27	btc updown 5m 1772895900	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcf6145…
03-07 15:06:31	btc updown 5m 1772895900	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb7f4ba…
03-07 15:04:11	btc updown 5m 1772895600	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x12cac7…
03-07 14:56:33	btc updown 5m 1772895300	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xea65e1…
03-07 09:53:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 7	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0xb6c626…
03-07 09:48:09	bitcoin above 74k on march 7	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xab6e5b…
03-07 09:14:43	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x7710ab…
03-06 11:50:49	highest temperature in seattle on march 6 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x48e976…
03-06 07:59:37	bitcoin above 76k on march 6	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x8d61f6…
03-06 07:56:01	highest temperature in seattle on march 6 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa1261d…
03-06 07:44:15	highest temperature in seoul on march 7 2026 8corhigher	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3e072a…
03-06 07:17:01	googl above 320 on march 6 2026	No	BUY	136	99¢	$134	0x5a2fa2…
03-06 07:16:45	googl above 320 on march 6 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd722c9…
03-06 07:16:03	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5b3d6f…
03-06 07:14:33	highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 15c	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xafebd2…