Formal-Recorder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$644

Unrealized P&L

-$622

Hit rate

25.5%

Resolved

150

Trades

1,174

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$324

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-27 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

59% 18% +$455

Crypto

39% 32% -$1,060

Politics

2% 33% -$28

Sports

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No		+5,582	$945	6¢	$324	-$622	09-27 19:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	63	$4.1K	24,647	19,066	+5,582	open	—	09-27 19:50
will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	13	$1.9K	2,872	2,872	+0	No	-$20	06-26 07:00
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	43	$1.1K	10,286	10,286	+0	No	-$394	06-25 20:00
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	19	$1.1K	1,489	1,489	-0	No	-$41	07-11 15:39
will bitcoin reach 61k on june 27	21	$724	1,465	523	+942	No	-$102	06-28 00:11
will bitcoin reach 61k on june 26	7	$644	1,938	461	+1,477	No	-$26	06-27 01:33
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	18	$506	6,500	6,500	+0	open	—	06-27 15:29
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	8	$450	3,393	3,393	+0	Yes	+$265	06-28 00:04
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	9	$411	1,849	1,849	-0	No	-$49	06-26 05:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	14	$409	16,509	16,509	+0	No	+$31	06-26 03:48
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	3	$383	1,500	1,730	-230	No	+$288	05-23 18:40
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	23	$254	4,785	1,410	+3,375	No	-$133	06-30 16:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	96	$235	30,380	24,563	+5,816	No	+$11	05-30 11:45
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$217	72,463	72,463	+0	open	—	06-24 14:05
will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 26	9	$190	1,745	1,745	+0	No	+$10	06-26 22:35
another us strike on venezuela on january 5	35	$175	4,398	4,398	+0	No	+$115	01-06 16:07
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	9	$167	2,782	2,782	+0	No	-$28	01-14 17:11
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	12	$156	48,865	48,865	+0	No	-$59	01-04 00:27
will bitcoin reach 61k on june 29	14	$153	817	110	+707	No	-$65	06-30 01:33
will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 26	16	$147	1,220	920	+300	No	-$78	06-27 00:36
will bitcoin reach 61k on june 28	6	$146	974	0	+974	No	-$146	06-28 23:31
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	7	$138	1,231	431	+800	Yes	+$724	01-02 23:20
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	5	$134	206	206	+0	No	+$45	06-25 14:14
will bitcoin reach 62k on june 26	3	$125	220	220	+0	No	+$15	06-26 06:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$111	467	0	+467	No	-$111	07-29 01:50
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	5	$109	10,969	10,969	+0	No	-$25	06-24 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	6	$108	128	128	+0	Up	+$46	05-24 06:14
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	6	$106	2,383	153	+2,231	No	+$13	06-19 02:48
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	9	$87	1,781	0	+1,781	No	-$87	09-27 19:50
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$85	4,053	4,053	+0	open	—	07-20 15:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 19:50:59	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	922	2¢	$15	0x30b301…
09-27 19:50:47	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xc186ab…
09-24 10:36:21	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	147	8¢	$12	0x681e9a…
09-24 07:49:56	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0x268011…
09-24 03:01:08	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xfe9f6d…
09-23 18:31:26	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf6155d…
09-23 18:31:26	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	152	12¢	$18	0x0512c6…
09-23 18:31:19	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	85	10¢	$8	0x7f1354…
09-23 01:35:10	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,538	8¢	$123	0x6668ea…
09-22 18:42:07	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	360	7¢	$25	0x43b285…
09-21 13:20:23	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x2c729d…
09-20 19:43:52	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	4,244	7¢	$297	0x4b9b98…
08-07 15:42:57	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0xb3e438…
08-07 13:48:04	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,002	0¢	$3	0xddb9f1…
07-29 19:05:45	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	5,500	8¢	$440	0x1d5d08…
07-29 01:50:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	151	25¢	$37	0x045747…
07-29 01:49:36	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	500	8¢	$40	0x8cbc5f…
07-28 21:02:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	317	23¢	$74	0xfdd8e4…
07-28 21:02:11	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	8¢	$80	0x45c4a7…
07-20 16:00:57	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	600	7¢	$42	0x7d04f0…
07-20 15:22:27	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,053	1¢	$37	0x10ef68…
07-20 14:01:49	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	250	8¢	$20	0x6b8888…
07-19 21:46:03	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x276ebd…
07-19 21:45:55	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	78	8¢	$6	0xc1a2a9…
07-19 21:45:37	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x98c8c1…
07-19 21:45:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x7b72fd…
07-19 21:08:45	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	112	7¢	$8	0xf0c0d9…
07-19 21:08:43	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xa1387b…
07-19 21:08:30	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x1f323d…
07-19 21:08:03	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x0b3492…
07-19 19:46:09	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	173	10¢	$17	0x1a07f7…
07-19 19:45:19	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	190	10¢	$19	0xc11b44…
07-18 20:28:57	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xf69020…
07-18 20:28:40	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x07ba75…
07-18 20:27:31	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x90e640…
07-18 20:27:00	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	315	2¢	$7	0x94cbb6…
07-18 20:26:15	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xecd117…
07-18 20:25:42	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$3	0xaf4a3f…
07-18 20:25:18	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	263	3¢	$7	0x4efd92…
07-18 20:24:19	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x2736a3…
07-17 04:15:04	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	2¢	$5	0x7c4b11…
07-17 04:14:48	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	54	10¢	$6	0x3a9129…
07-17 04:13:45	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,289	1¢	$19	0xe4e2d2…
07-17 04:02:25	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xe97a9c…
07-17 04:02:24	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	963	1¢	$9	0xcf4f28…
07-17 04:01:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	247	12¢	$30	0xa5b563…
07-17 04:00:09	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,473	1¢	$25	0x84645e…
07-17 03:59:51	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	220	12¢	$26	0x40db29…
07-17 03:52:33	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	429	13¢	$56	0x89ae08…
07-17 03:47:12	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xf6e58e…
07-17 03:47:10	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xfa4a7a…
07-17 03:47:10	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xb5a5a3…
07-17 03:47:10	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb394e2…
07-17 03:47:10	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x9a295e…
07-17 03:47:10	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x2f6d71…
07-17 03:47:09	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,687	12¢	$317	0x5e0721…
07-15 20:42:28	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x9ed4e2…
07-15 20:42:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	313	11¢	$34	0xf9f6f4…
07-15 20:42:02	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,141	10¢	$114	0xa3182d…
07-15 19:31:38	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	4,367	8¢	$370	0x667413…
07-14 05:42:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,375	4¢	$60	0x83d733…
07-13 01:16:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	378	5¢	$20	0x9962f0…
07-12 22:10:56	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,125	5¢	$58	0xbc72ee…
07-12 22:07:58	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	406	7¢	$29	0xed5c06…
07-12 19:36:53	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	416	7¢	$29	0xa7b0b5…
07-12 19:02:29	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	500	7¢	$36	0x274a59…
07-12 00:27:08	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	356	7¢	$25	0x7998ed…
07-12 00:10:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	294	8¢	$23	0xd0d14e…
07-11 16:54:52	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	250	8¢	$20	0xcc7946…
07-11 16:33:05	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	250	8¢	$20	0xce9243…
07-11 16:31:38	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	893	1¢	$10	0x49689f…
07-11 15:43:40	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	250	9¢	$22	0xfbc32a…
07-11 15:39:49	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x461315…
07-11 15:39:19	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	858	2¢	$20	0xeec351…
07-11 00:58:56	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	114	14¢	$16	0x54154c…
07-10 17:23:14	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf74585…
07-09 14:31:47	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 9	Yes	BUY	83	9¢	$8	0x2382ae…
07-09 14:31:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	58	14¢	$8	0xedc867…
07-09 06:15:40	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 9	Yes	BUY	33	22¢	$7	0xa345e7…
07-09 06:12:35	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 9	Yes	SELL	207	4¢	$8	0x29c8b2…
07-09 06:10:59	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 9	Yes	BUY	413	5¢	$19	0xbd11e6…
07-09 06:10:40	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	178	12¢	$21	0x49b005…
07-09 05:59:59	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 9	Yes	BUY	1,074	1¢	$12	0xf41594…
07-09 05:56:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,012	4¢	$40	0x6f6ad7…
07-09 02:48:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,012	4¢	$42	0xc4d709…
07-09 02:26:31	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,949	11¢	$214	0xbad638…
07-08 05:43:55	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	372	10¢	$37	0x775f94…
07-07 04:54:59	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,216	10¢	$126	0x33dc08…
07-07 04:52:08	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	835	12¢	$102	0xebb3a7…
07-06 13:47:52	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	338	12¢	$42	0x18d1c1…
07-06 13:20:52	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	432	13¢	$56	0xb48846…
07-06 05:29:44	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	195	34¢	$67	0xcb9bd7…
07-06 01:53:11	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	150	33¢	$50	0xa135e3…
07-05 21:48:41	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2145e0…
07-05 21:48:28	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4fd945…
07-05 21:48:13	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x61cc98…
07-05 21:42:52	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	33	65¢	$22	0x2a9b57…
07-05 21:26:20	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x9dc815…
07-05 20:44:10	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	155	32¢	$50	0x25a09e…
07-05 15:55:22	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	5¢	$14	0x98af96…