Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$280

Unrealized P&L

-$197

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

902

Trades

3,679

lifetime

Volume

$8.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-23 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 47% -$84

Other

33% 45% -$196

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 1210 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+229	$199	1¢	$2	-$197	10-02 02:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	1	$199	229	0	+229	open	—	10-02 02:36
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	1	$140	937	0	+937	No	-$140	10-04 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	17	$40	43	40	+3	Up	+$1	10-23 13:20
BNB Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	10	$32	31	13	+18	Up	-$1	10-21 07:37
BNB Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	10	$31	28	15	+13	Down	-$2	10-21 16:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	13	$30	35	25	+10	Down	-$3	10-04 07:37
XRP Up or Down - October 20, 11PM ET	11	$30	30	25	+5	Down	+$1	10-21 03:48
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	9	$30	25	20	+5	Up	-$2	10-04 13:08
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 16:45 UTC	12	$29	34	25	+9	Down	$0	10-04 16:53
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 17:30 UTC	14	$29	35	28	+7	Down	-$2	10-04 17:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 14:15 UTC	12	$28	27	25	+2	Down	$0	10-04 14:24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	9	$28	30	15	+15	Up	-$3	10-04 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	11	$28	35	20	+15	Up	+$3	10-23 15:54
BNB Up or Down - October 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	10	$27	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	10-20 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	11	$26	28	25	+3	Down	-$1	10-04 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	12	$26	30	20	+10	Up	-$1	10-23 12:19
BNB Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	7	$26	16	15	+1	Up	+$0	10-22 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	13	$26	36	23	+13	Down	+$2	10-22 04:39
BNB Up or Down - October 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	11	$25	28	18	+10	Up	-$2	10-04 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	10	$25	30	19	+11	Down	+$1	10-23 18:05
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	12	$25	25	22	+3	Up	-$4	10-04 15:09
HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 17:00 UTC	10	$25	25	20	+5	Down	-$4	10-04 17:08
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	8	$25	25	15	+10	Up	-$1	10-04 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	10	$25	35	15	+20	Down	$0	10-21 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	10	$24	34	15	+20	Up	+$3	10-03 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	10	$24	25	22	+3	Down	-$2	10-21 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	13	$24	30	21	+9	Up	-$1	10-21 11:21
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	9	$24	27	11	+16	Up	-$1	10-21 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	10	$24	25	20	+5	Up	+$3	10-21 19:20
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	11	$23	27	20	+7	Up	-$1	10-04 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 21:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x7b8df0…
10-23 21:46:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf8a509…
10-23 21:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x22cc9a…
10-23 21:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x713a78…
10-23 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0b4c06…
10-23 21:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbd9835…
10-23 21:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xd69d3e…
10-23 21:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x47b060…
10-23 21:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3a6340…
10-23 21:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1e11a1…
10-23 21:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb9bfd7…
10-23 21:38:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x7331d3…
10-23 21:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2a09de…
10-23 21:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x9a0955…
10-23 21:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x737f94…
10-23 21:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xb268ff…
10-23 21:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x86066e…
10-23 21:19:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe20ef3…
10-23 21:18:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa68304…
10-23 21:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x695fe3…
10-23 21:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xfed410…
10-23 21:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa43082…
10-23 21:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xcf8739…
10-23 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd34d8d…
10-23 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2b0cb1…
10-23 21:09:02	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xfca88e…
10-23 21:08:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd3f515…
10-23 21:06:05	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x39f04b…
10-23 21:00:44	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x271e2f…
10-23 21:00:15	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xda9934…
10-23 20:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4782ea…
10-23 20:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x98afe7…
10-23 20:51:15	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x471fa8…
10-23 20:49:47	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa4ebad…
10-23 20:49:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x36ce2a…
10-23 20:48:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc84fa9…
10-23 20:45:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb78e59…
10-23 20:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xc7d40b…
10-23 20:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc096c2…
10-23 20:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x4bf0c5…
10-23 20:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x245977…
10-23 20:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x0a56e5…
10-23 20:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4e080d…
10-23 20:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x9e7428…
10-23 20:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x05e0f1…
10-23 20:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x82b10d…
10-23 20:34:02	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xbd622e…
10-23 20:33:57	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x7e3ccb…
10-23 20:30:15	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x05faed…
10-23 20:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x4f0d9d…
10-23 20:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x85116c…
10-23 20:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd2cdd8…
10-23 20:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3385aa…
10-23 20:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc53cf9…
10-23 20:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xddc967…
10-23 20:23:33	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x582bc3…
10-23 20:19:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3cc397…
10-23 20:18:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1527df…
10-23 20:17:39	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x731899…
10-23 20:17:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xee4456…
10-23 20:16:44	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xbdf727…
10-23 20:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x0c8bd4…
10-23 20:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x33e1f9…
10-23 20:15:57	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x271cb1…
10-23 20:15:54	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xaae147…
10-23 20:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x80d329…
10-23 20:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe51b2e…
10-23 20:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x83aeab…
10-23 20:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x63d9da…
10-23 20:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x083437…
10-23 20:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x6596e6…
10-23 20:09:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x52b1f3…
10-23 20:07:32	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xd79960…
10-23 20:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x713230…
10-23 20:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa60094…
10-23 20:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7cb094…
10-23 20:03:06	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9e3798…
10-23 20:00:30	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xf85d9c…
10-23 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x738f41…
10-23 19:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x5a30ac…
10-23 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdc63b0…
10-23 19:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6fc906…
10-23 19:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xb4c240…
10-23 19:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x43b03a…
10-23 19:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xca1f91…
10-23 19:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x18db78…
10-23 19:54:54	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x450816…
10-23 19:51:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x548ab5…
10-23 19:47:03	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9f90c0…
10-23 19:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa105af…
10-23 19:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x50778e…
10-23 19:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x95c685…
10-23 19:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x960b94…
10-23 19:35:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xb0ca58…
10-23 19:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x6356e0…
10-23 19:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x4ec88d…
10-23 19:32:42	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xde8ad5…
10-23 19:32:42	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xb3c678…
10-23 19:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x719eb4…
10-23 19:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x64f90e…