Curvy-Concert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$718

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

1,340

Trades

2,665

lifetime

Volume

$34.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 02:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 78% -$289

Sports

6% 66% -$198

Other

4% 69% -$168

Politics

2% 77% -$66

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+30	$10	34¢	$10	+$0	10-30 02:09
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+27	$10	30¢	$8	-$2	10-24 18:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 20 11am et	2	$194	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	01-20 16:44
bitcoin up or down january 20 10am et	5	$189	240	100	+140	Up	-$133	01-20 15:54
bitcoin up or down january 20 1pm et	8	$182	102	102	+0	Down	+$12	01-20 18:53
bitcoin up or down january 19 9pm et	5	$146	80	80	+0	Down	+$14	01-20 02:57
bitcoin up or down january 21 9am et	4	$139	70	70	+0	Up	+$1	01-21 15:18
bitcoin up or down january 22 11am et	3	$135	151	60	+91	Up	+$1	01-22 16:50
bitcoin up or down january 22 8am et	6	$127	150	0	+150	Down	-$27	01-22 13:45
nba ind bos 2026 01 21 total 227pt5	4	$124	70	70	+0	Under	+$12	01-22 02:54
bitcoin up or down january 17 9am et	2	$116	169	0	+169	Up	-$86	01-17 14:59
bitcoin up or down january 18 8am et	9	$115	130	30	+100	Up	-$4	01-18 13:59
bitcoin up or down january 21 5am et	3	$106	110	0	+110	Up	+$4	01-21 10:50
bitcoin up or down january 20 3am et	4	$99	110	0	+110	Down	+$11	01-20 08:50
bitcoin up or down january 23 11am et	1	$97	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	01-23 16:48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$97	50	50	+0	Yes	-$3	02-23 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 13:15 UTC	6	$96	120	40	+80	Up	-$58	02-01 13:28
bitcoin up or down january 20 4am et	9	$94	110	0	+110	Down	+$16	01-20 09:53
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	4	$90	70	70	+0	open	—	09-08 20:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 15:15 UTC	2	$90	50	50	+0	Down	+$9	02-01 15:27
bitcoin up or down january 24 4am et	1	$90	100	0	+100	Down	+$10	01-24 09:40
bitcoin up or down january 25 3am et	2	$90	90	0	+90	Down	+$0	01-25 08:48
bitcoin up or down january 22 3am et	10	$87	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	01-22 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:00 UTC	2	$85	90	0	+90	Down	+$5	02-03 06:13
bitcoin up or down january 20 2am et	5	$82	100	0	+100	Up	+$18	01-20 07:34
bitcoin up or down january 18 6am et	8	$82	85	0	+85	Down	+$3	01-18 11:59
bitcoin up or down january 19 8pm et	3	$81	90	0	+90	Down	-$81	01-20 01:57
bitcoin up or down january 25 2pm et	1	$80	80	0	+80	Down	+$0	01-25 19:53
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$80	60	45	+15	Yes	+$12	06-09 01:47
bitcoin up or down january 21 10am et	5	$77	100	0	+100	Up	+$23	01-21 15:21
bitcoin up or down january 24 9am et	1	$77	80	0	+80	Up	+$3	01-24 14:46
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	4	$76	43	43	+0	No	+$6	01-15 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:09:07	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9a3aa1…
10-24 18:30:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe3611b…
10-18 19:30:27	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xec742c…
09-08 20:12:42	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x650bd5…
09-07 19:09:52	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x9d0813…
09-07 15:34:39	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	66¢	$29	0x54ee7a…
08-02 17:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x8b4fc2…
08-02 17:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x8432bf…
08-02 17:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x4858ac…
08-02 17:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x912718…
08-02 17:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x37277f…
08-02 17:00:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x8d5fd0…
08-02 17:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x8aacc1…
08-02 16:55:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc907ec…
08-02 16:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc5fa5d…
08-02 16:24:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x432783…
08-02 16:23:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x87e786…
08-02 15:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x76f658…
08-02 15:31:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x9dadbf…
08-02 15:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4b711f…
08-02 15:31:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xffb57d…
08-02 15:31:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2bed51…
08-02 15:31:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x274502…
08-02 04:25:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xb92449…
08-02 04:25:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xce7003…
08-02 04:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0573ef…
08-02 04:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3cf04a…
08-02 04:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xea682d…
08-02 04:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd37e5a…
08-02 04:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x784bdc…
08-02 04:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x5eff66…
08-02 03:20:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7f7edf…
08-02 03:20:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x40f7d0…
08-02 03:10:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x3b7def…
08-02 03:10:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x4041bc…
08-02 03:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x631e2f…
08-02 03:05:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2f21e8…
08-02 03:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x758061…
08-02 03:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x2174da…
08-02 03:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x247050…
08-02 03:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xbfccd5…
08-02 02:55:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xee0a34…
08-02 02:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x1d9204…
08-02 02:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x609ad6…
08-02 02:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x153012…
08-02 02:52:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x9317d6…
08-02 02:52:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xf42432…
08-02 02:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x7ec946…
08-02 02:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa2ed75…
08-02 02:48:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd5b91f…
08-02 02:45:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8b1b5e…
08-02 02:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd8d312…
08-02 02:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xd3a51e…
08-02 02:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x132005…
08-02 02:35:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xffef56…
08-02 02:35:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x67b941…
08-02 02:35:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x50fa25…
08-02 02:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x2f177c…
08-02 02:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xa11865…
08-02 02:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0f8871…
08-02 02:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x60d029…
08-02 02:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb7dce5…
08-01 22:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xeba254…
08-01 22:40:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xfea5c3…
08-01 22:38:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x9e3a0f…
08-01 22:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x914971…
08-01 22:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x78f8d3…
08-01 22:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x63f8e2…
08-01 22:28:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x48f578…
08-01 22:26:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xb42a6e…
08-01 22:25:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x3350df…
08-01 22:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	44¢	$8	0x96c925…
08-01 22:21:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x646a0f…
08-01 22:20:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x211027…
08-01 22:15:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xfec117…
08-01 22:15:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xce6d47…
08-01 22:15:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xcd0b7d…
08-01 22:15:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x2e9436…
08-01 22:15:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x0805db…
08-01 22:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xbe2040…
08-01 22:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xaf32c4…
08-01 22:11:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x812796…
08-01 21:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xd1c77e…
08-01 21:56:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcdc6e8…
08-01 21:56:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x6eb9ef…
08-01 21:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x81d7da…
08-01 21:51:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xba46db…
08-01 21:51:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xaf5bb8…
08-01 21:51:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x5852b5…
08-01 21:51:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x3ee1e8…
08-01 21:51:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xc1ad2f…
08-01 21:51:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x5e50a3…
08-01 21:46:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x96f5c4…
08-01 21:42:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xdf455a…
08-01 21:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x99db86…
08-01 21:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x667463…
08-01 21:04:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x092318…
08-01 21:02:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1fc25a…
08-01 20:56:23	megaquake by august 31 20260729155103111	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x9b56e1…
08-01 20:55:08	Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf2d00e…