Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$137

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 09-14 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

96% 63% +$8

Politics

3% 0% -$4

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	1	$10	33	0	+33	No	-$10	07-22 07:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$1	08-25 12:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	08-25 12:11
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 12:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$4	4	2	+2	Yes	$0	09-13 15:12
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of August 24 2026?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	+$1	08-25 12:10
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	09-13 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	09-13 15:12
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 12:10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 12:11
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	07-31 20:14
will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-25 07:21
will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$2	08-17 05:17
will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-19 12:56
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-13 14:36
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	+$5	08-04 12:28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-20 13:22
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	08-11 21:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	08-14 06:42
spy up or down on august 11 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	-$2	08-11 13:09
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	08-12 05:29
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	08-02 22:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	08-16 21:16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	08-03 16:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	8	0	+8	Yes	-$2	07-24 07:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	08-04 20:28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-16 07:22
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-05 04:33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-01 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-13 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 19:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcab90a…
09-13 15:12:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x6264ec…
09-13 15:12:39	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x418d39…
09-13 15:12:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xbf0def…
09-13 04:33:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc511ea…
09-12 16:17:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x77758b…
09-12 08:15:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbd74ce…
09-12 00:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xaf6124…
09-11 01:08:43	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x89f6eb…
09-09 16:49:30	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x08be76…
09-09 08:47:45	wti closes above 96 on september 9 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc2b352…
09-09 00:31:07	Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb1e215…
09-09 00:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x70ca4e…
09-08 12:29:13	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8953b6…
09-08 02:37:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb8c55d…
09-07 17:51:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc85660…
09-07 09:44:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0cded5…
09-04 00:48:57	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe42a4e…
09-03 16:32:45	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa5f4cf…
09-03 16:29:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3688d9…
08-30 13:04:52	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9d80d0…
08-30 04:59:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6a9bec…
08-29 08:46:21	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc0aaec…
08-28 08:31:36	Will Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe64a06…
08-28 00:30:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x849069…
08-27 16:29:24	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7cf166…
08-27 08:29:04	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf7d1b7…
08-27 00:28:22	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa5265d…
08-26 16:13:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x33c9f0…
08-26 16:12:51	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4bfa74…
08-26 08:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa90760…
08-25 23:33:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9a6547…
08-25 12:11:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x769d6c…
08-25 12:11:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x81cffb…
08-25 12:11:19	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd4fa10…
08-25 12:11:09	Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x3bd0e5…
08-25 12:10:34	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xe07c3c…
08-25 12:10:24	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x773200…
08-25 12:10:12	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x347a4c…
08-25 12:09:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0xe32a05…
08-25 02:56:16	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xae4b34…
08-24 06:18:34	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfad258…
08-23 22:18:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9240f4…
08-23 12:29:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd531cd…
08-23 04:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe5ae87…
08-22 19:48:34	Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2f1360…
08-21 23:21:15	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9bcc7b…
08-21 14:08:39	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe87895…
08-21 05:33:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5258e5…
08-20 21:31:46	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x46f30c…
08-20 13:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x84fd8a…
08-19 12:56:39	will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xefc86a…
08-19 02:47:33	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x733d56…
08-17 15:25:39	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8f6eda…
08-17 05:17:22	will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbbb960…
08-16 21:16:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9504b4…
08-16 07:22:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf53f9a…
08-14 06:42:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4e0357…
08-13 22:41:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x168f7c…
08-13 14:36:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9a6c5b…
08-13 06:35:39	Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd446c8…
08-12 21:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x10cb88…
08-12 13:30:34	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf71775…
08-12 05:29:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x13cd4e…
08-11 21:29:15	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa51d17…
08-11 13:09:27	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x087eb1…
08-05 04:33:11	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb977d9…
08-04 20:28:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x105c4e…
08-04 12:28:09	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xffc24c…
08-03 16:25:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2095c4…
08-03 08:25:11	will googl dip to 345 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xdd09b8…
08-02 22:53:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6b328b…
08-01 13:23:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xba0a72…
08-01 04:15:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf37b14…
07-31 20:14:18	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc4ffd8…
07-31 12:10:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x7a192b…
07-26 07:22:16	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7ef2ab…
07-25 19:21:42	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1e1f64…
07-25 07:21:10	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x55353f…
07-24 19:20:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf9c9ac…
07-24 07:20:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbb1005…
07-23 19:19:30	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe7bff6…
07-23 07:19:21	will warsh say restrictive during july press conference 20260720204109047	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe3d029…
07-22 19:15:27	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x89bf2a…
07-22 07:14:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf8a91f…
07-21 19:13:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x67509b…
07-21 07:13:37	will msft reach 412 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa745b0…