Intent-Fit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

290

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% -$2

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 9?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:34
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 10:19
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:20
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 05:48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 12:25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 04:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:18
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 06:52
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:39
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:52
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:33
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:26
highest temperature in los angeles on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:13
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe70f46…
11-02 06:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c0802…
10-31 15:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1512d0…
10-30 14:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee311d…
10-29 17:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7b61d…
10-29 09:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62dfb6…
10-28 07:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde63ba…
10-27 09:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ba108…
10-26 09:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc02508…
10-24 11:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad5797…
10-22 10:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7b104…
10-20 07:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd891f2…
10-19 09:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x320851…
10-18 10:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38da1c…
10-17 15:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c9f08…
10-16 10:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbab24a…
10-15 13:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2c07a…
10-14 09:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99f432…
10-13 10:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd258b0…
10-12 09:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa995ca…
10-11 09:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22b2a4…
10-08 12:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8e545…
10-07 15:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8e581…
10-06 15:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d0a4e…
10-05 06:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94d4d5…
10-03 09:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c7da9…
10-02 13:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39d9fc…
10-01 09:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2e299…
09-30 14:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6e435…
09-30 03:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61984a…
09-28 09:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe503df…
09-27 09:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c7264…
09-25 16:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf80bae…
09-24 08:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb342b2…
09-23 08:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6f7bc…
09-22 08:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadb2f2…
09-21 09:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc25d1…
09-20 05:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9a6ac…
09-19 08:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80909e…
09-18 07:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab290d…
09-17 04:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0f155…
09-16 08:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38e5cb…
09-15 10:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84f4ec…
09-14 09:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35bf92…
09-13 03:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a8974…
09-11 09:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f64c5…
09-10 08:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45afb5…
09-09 02:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba9695…
09-08 06:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35de80…
09-07 08:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74c10e…
09-06 11:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72ab23…
09-05 01:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9b341…
09-04 01:01:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x438c69…
09-02 07:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c4846…
08-30 14:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x073223…
08-29 09:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x339dd8…
08-28 08:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bfd94…
08-27 09:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa07f8f…
08-26 08:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5dc91a…
08-25 09:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2a89b…
08-24 14:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x877b4e…
08-23 15:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31363a…
08-22 09:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x536b45…
08-21 08:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa03262…
08-20 09:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec40b7…
08-18 08:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd15c3…
08-17 08:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a68ff…
08-16 14:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x558eff…
08-15 10:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x710e8a…
08-14 06:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85aaae…
08-13 09:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x276b2c…
08-12 09:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63dd1d…
08-11 07:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56ed3d…
08-10 08:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd016c5…
08-09 06:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fb99d…
08-08 07:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc687b…
08-07 08:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f23ab…
08-06 07:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ccad1…
08-05 08:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5e1e0…
08-04 08:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee115d…
08-03 07:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52e2fa…
08-02 06:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d4769…
08-01 07:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb25616…
07-31 14:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e14cd…
07-30 07:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53500c…
07-29 07:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0565b…
07-28 07:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf07638…
07-27 09:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01b461…
07-26 08:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x461242…
07-25 09:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3ef90…
07-24 13:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x569fc5…
07-23 08:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd539c1…
07-22 02:11:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24c656…
07-21 09:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a2aee…
07-21 00:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f8bc0…
07-20 08:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26ba05…
07-18 23:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e52f9…
07-18 05:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fb966…
07-17 07:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x32b315…
07-15 22:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x575bc3…