Strong-Bacon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.2%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$179

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-21 01:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

57% 25% $-0

Politics

14% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Sports

8% — —

Tech

7% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	16	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	02-02 02:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-18 03:33
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	01-14 04:47
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-09 05:54
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 07:00
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	03-14 08:45
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 01:03
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 01:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 01:38
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 02:08
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	03-23 02:08
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-22 08:02
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 03:24
will trump dance during tpusa event on april 17	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 02:34
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 07:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 02:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 05:56
nba nop tor 2026 03 27	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:56
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 07:19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 02:34
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-11 02:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 01:31
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 07:39
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 08:45
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-29 08:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 05:57
nhl chi phi 2026 03 26	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 01:19
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 08:00
cbb tulsa charlt 2026 01 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-15 01:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 03:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 01:31:59	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x339d97…
05-21 01:31:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0fd67c…
05-21 01:30:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7755bf…
05-21 01:28:13	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcae7f7…
05-15 07:19:35	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0bc19a…
05-15 07:18:44	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x1453dc…
05-15 07:15:33	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa79f89…
05-15 03:03:37	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x986aa0…
05-15 03:02:58	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcae2c1…
05-14 02:49:34	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x170955…
05-14 02:48:48	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xbad46a…
05-14 02:47:42	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6a6cc7…
05-14 02:36:46	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6196e6…
05-13 01:08:05	Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumar	Alastair Gray	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x964c54…
05-13 01:06:46	Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumar	Alastair Gray	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x306c81…
05-06 02:33:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14a09e…
04-27 01:03:58	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x88d575…
04-27 01:03:48	Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny	Alexis Galarneau	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xa3ea01…
04-27 00:58:36	Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x014832…
04-27 00:55:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb6929b…
04-24 01:36:56	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x444000…
04-17 02:34:48	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf8d170…
04-17 02:34:36	will trump dance during tpusa event on april 17	Yes	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xd7d12b…
04-17 02:34:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcfa436…
04-17 02:33:30	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x6e148b…
04-17 02:32:54	will trump dance during tpusa event on april 17	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbc5e00…
04-17 02:32:30	will trump dance during tpusa event on april 17	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd339b9…
04-15 01:52:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe3e0a1…
04-13 02:05:41	val eterna bjk 2026 04 13	Eternal Fire Passion	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x3ff9dd…
04-13 02:05:13	val eterna bjk 2026 04 13	Eternal Fire Passion	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5bd0ab…
04-08 05:57:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdee19c…
04-08 05:56:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1c660b…
04-08 05:56:25	dota2 pari gl 2026 04 08	PARIVISION	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x373718…
04-08 05:55:49	dota2 pari gl 2026 04 08	PARIVISION	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaf80f8…
04-08 05:55:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x061fe0…
04-07 06:44:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0f5324…
04-02 01:38:39	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe06db0…
04-02 01:38:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x01efec…
04-02 01:37:19	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf8f136…
04-02 01:35:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14fd58…
04-01 07:40:19	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbb10c1…
04-01 07:39:59	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd6bf21…
04-01 07:37:53	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1cc11d…
04-01 07:36:15	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d2b72…
03-31 01:14:23	will bitcoin reach 74k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7f1ad3…
03-31 01:13:29	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2d8b00…
03-31 01:11:09	will bitcoin reach 74k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6d0e98…
03-31 01:04:11	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x624b2c…
03-31 00:59:45	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x024656…
03-28 01:56:01	nba nop tor 2026 03 27	Raptors	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x094980…
03-28 01:55:43	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x8ad06d…
03-28 01:55:11	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb66f5a…
03-28 01:54:09	nba nop tor 2026 03 27	Raptors	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdffcb9…
03-27 01:20:09	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0ef8ac…
03-27 01:19:39	nhl chi phi 2026 03 26	Flyers	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7bd5d9…
03-27 01:19:11	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d5952…
03-27 01:18:31	nhl chi phi 2026 03 26	Flyers	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a2a73…
03-24 02:04:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0b975e…
03-24 02:04:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x19f7cb…
03-24 02:03:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3aafc2…
03-24 02:02:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72f9ca…
03-23 08:00:15	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xc9d399…
03-23 08:00:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9e766c…
03-23 07:59:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53e156…
03-23 07:59:23	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf3a6bd…
03-23 02:08:45	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4a08bd…
03-23 02:08:15	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x19adef…
03-23 02:07:21	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x767333…
03-23 02:06:23	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x30bd8e…
03-21 03:51:49	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xadc55b…
03-21 03:51:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1c72f8…
03-21 03:50:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x326926…
03-21 03:50:11	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x285f72…
03-20 03:24:31	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x10e622…
03-20 03:24:13	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa42df9…
03-20 03:23:47	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9e9cf9…
03-20 03:22:39	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf59425…
03-19 01:01:03	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x171919…
03-19 00:56:49	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2ca802…
03-19 00:56:31	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf8de27…
03-19 00:56:11	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x75b7ea…
03-18 07:06:09	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xeaacf8…
03-18 07:04:53	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x64c00e…
03-17 02:09:07	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xf84e90…
03-17 02:08:57	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd1c4ea…
03-17 02:07:23	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6a299c…
03-17 02:06:57	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf9319a…
03-17 02:05:51	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb823d0…
03-14 08:45:31	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xa64e6b…
03-14 08:45:09	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x061ece…
03-14 08:40:45	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x58653f…
03-14 08:39:31	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbdcbef…
03-09 02:40:47	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xbca745…
03-09 02:39:41	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbd862d…
03-09 02:38:21	tsla above 375 on march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf24ede…
03-05 10:00:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x757579…
03-05 09:59:35	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa7d399…
02-27 07:06:53	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x50b496…
02-27 06:57:38	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5a09eb…
02-23 05:29:38	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7033dd…