Winding-Structure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$501

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

217

Trades

730

lifetime

Volume

$5.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 05-18 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 41% -$444

Other

3% 0% -$46

Politics

0% 0% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:15 UTC	9	$263	732	230	+502	Down	+$10	03-29 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:35 UTC	6	$245	187	185	+2	Down	-$5	03-29 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:00 UTC	9	$224	239	209	+30	Down	-$14	03-29 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:45 UTC	4	$180	184	181	+3	Down	+$4	03-29 16:48
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:55 UTC	7	$157	147	145	+2	Up	+$8	03-29 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:30 UTC	9	$146	1,121	120	+1,002	Up	-$3	03-29 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 00:40 UTC	11	$138	447	115	+331	Down	-$18	03-29 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:30 UTC	2	$123	63	63	+0	Down	+$0	03-29 16:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$123	782	782	+0	open	—	05-18 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	5	$116	68	68	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:50 UTC	8	$86	86	84	+1	Down	+$6	03-29 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:05 UTC	8	$84	70	69	+1	Up	+$2	03-14 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$84	91	90	+0	Up	-$16	05-12 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	7	$73	63	47	+17	Down	-$7	04-12 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	6	$71	80	79	+0	Up	-$9	05-18 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:25 UTC	3	$67	101	23	+78	Down	-$47	03-14 01:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:45 UTC	6	$66	47	46	+1	Up	+$6	03-14 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 03:05 UTC	10	$65	42	41	+0	Up	+$3	03-14 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC	6	$62	43	43	+0	Up	+$3	03-14 01:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:45 UTC	6	$61	73	72	+1	Down	+$11	03-29 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:50 UTC	4	$59	58	56	+2	Up	-$1	04-12 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:50 UTC	8	$59	52	51	+1	Up	-$1	03-14 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:50 UTC	6	$58	95	34	+61	Up	-$22	03-29 15:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$54	714	714	+0	No	-$46	04-12 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$53	50	50	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:45 UTC	4	$51	90	28	+62	Up	-$9	04-12 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 21:50 UTC	10	$49	50	49	+1	Up	$0	03-29 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 02:40 UTC	3	$47	27	27	+0	Up	+$7	03-08 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:00 UTC	4	$46	45	44	+1	Down	+$6	03-29 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:10 UTC	5	$45	84	34	+50	Down	-$14	03-14 01:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 17:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	214	9¢	$19	0xb10e95…
05-18 17:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	41	33¢	$13	0xa1b90b…
05-18 17:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xe812ff…
05-18 17:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0x6553f7…
05-18 17:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x07b71e…
05-18 17:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0x60b606…
05-18 17:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf4fc8c…
05-18 16:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0xb1433f…
05-18 16:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xbf1145…
05-18 16:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xfb7694…
05-18 16:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0xcacb0d…
05-18 16:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x73ff75…
05-18 16:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x851cb6…
05-18 15:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	89¢	$25	0xe9b6ff…
05-18 15:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe137c9…
05-18 15:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x664c1b…
05-18 15:54:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	782	7¢	$55	0xdf8ce2…
05-12 23:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x3e8876…
05-12 23:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x06fb2e…
05-12 23:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3ac9c7…
05-12 23:33:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	9¢	$18	0x15e15c…
05-12 23:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$5	0xa0ef0a…
05-12 23:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb099c0…
05-12 23:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x9383a7…
05-12 23:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	37	40¢	$15	0x3f05ea…
05-12 23:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x4f0b60…
05-12 23:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	53	35¢	$19	0x284282…
05-12 23:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xf9a69f…
05-12 23:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xf96b7d…
05-12 23:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x2b24cb…
05-12 23:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xd0129e…
05-12 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xff087a…
05-12 23:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	38	85¢	$33	0xc56a1c…
05-12 23:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x1e09b7…
05-12 23:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x026260…
05-12 23:02:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	575	9¢	$50	0x0462ec…
04-13 17:50:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x49ca0a…
04-13 17:48:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x0fa131…
04-13 17:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x5d3244…
04-13 17:46:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x694163…
04-13 17:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfc9f18…
04-12 20:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x674dcf…
04-12 20:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x814b4b…
04-12 20:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x23c5e7…
04-12 20:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x63e4ab…
04-12 20:02:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x763cb6…
04-12 20:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xba6cac…
04-12 20:02:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	16	72¢	$11	0xedf7dc…
04-12 20:01:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x7545a4…
04-12 20:00:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x36998d…
04-12 20:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8a23ac…
04-12 19:57:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x9e5528…
04-12 19:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x38d2c6…
04-12 19:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0xaf6d7b…
04-12 19:55:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2fe0e9…
04-12 19:55:09	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x3a122a…
04-12 19:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0x170375…
04-12 19:53:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x301e77…
04-12 19:51:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:50 UTC	Down	SELL	38	52¢	$20	0x2bd93c…
04-12 19:51:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x2281aa…
04-12 19:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x5c9138…
04-12 19:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	28	75¢	$21	0x871612…
04-12 19:48:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x87573d…
04-12 19:47:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x267e03…
04-12 19:41:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x55bba9…
04-12 19:39:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0xae7157…
04-12 19:38:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5b2b04…
04-12 19:37:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x8aa1f5…
04-12 19:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x546a10…
04-12 19:36:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	714	0¢	$4	0xce95bd…
04-12 19:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe32132…
04-12 19:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	21	54¢	$12	0x9435bf…
04-12 19:31:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb86a11…
04-12 19:27:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3e4313…
04-12 19:09:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x73ad35…
04-12 18:33:43	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x16fa06…
04-12 18:29:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x7240fc…
03-30 12:31:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0x256c54…
03-30 12:30:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0xef2fb2…
03-30 12:30:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x9dd7ed…
03-30 12:27:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0xbdfb37…
03-30 12:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x1bc73b…
03-30 12:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:20 UTC	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xac2089…
03-30 12:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x6e129a…
03-30 09:37:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x8031f4…
03-30 09:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x733351…
03-30 09:32:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x2fd01c…
03-30 09:31:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x58916b…
03-30 09:30:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd64e1a…
03-30 09:28:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x358408…
03-30 09:27:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x0bf128…
03-30 09:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xc314e0…
03-30 09:26:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x941235…
03-30 09:26:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x6c279b…
03-30 09:25:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xd9b876…
03-30 09:18:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0xb89287…
03-30 09:17:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x00ae67…
03-30 09:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	23	28¢	$6	0x21acd6…
03-30 09:10:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0xeebe7a…
03-30 09:09:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	13	59¢	$7	0xeafcf5…