Political-Play — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

113

Trades

1,706

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-30 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	7	$80	120	68	+52	Up	$-21	05-11 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	8	$80	93	0	+93	Up	+$13	05-11 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	7	$74	83	31	+52	Up	$-14	05-11 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$70	86	0	+86	Down	+$16	05-12 00:02
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$69	37	37	+0	Down	$-3	05-12 21:57
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$68	37	37	+0	Down	$-4	05-12 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$63	76	19	+57	Down	$-0	05-11 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	7	$61	74	51	+23	Down	$-16	05-11 23:54
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$57	30	30	+0	Up	$-3	05-07 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	5	$57	50	25	+25	Up	+$2	05-11 23:38
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	2	$57	31	31	+0	Down	$-3	05-08 01:57
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$57	33	33	+0	Down	$-5	05-14 03:12
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	3	$55	33	33	+0	Down	$-5	05-06 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$50	65	0	+65	Down	+$15	05-11 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$50	55	0	+55	Down	+$5	05-11 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	5	$50	61	0	+61	Down	$-8	05-11 23:19
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$49	27	27	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	5	$47	52	30	+22	Up	$-12	05-11 23:14
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$41	23	23	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$40	48	0	+48	Down	+$8	05-11 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$40	44	0	+44	Down	+$4	05-12 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	05-11 23:32
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$39	20	20	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 21:14
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$38	21	21	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 00:58
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	1	$36	36	0	+36	Down	+$0	05-09 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	05-29 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$35	35	18	+18	Down	+$13	05-11 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$35	42	0	+42	Down	+$7	05-12 00:14
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 23:58
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-28 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 22:57:08	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd1c9bc…
06-30 22:47:38	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xd2115e…
06-30 22:37:38	eth updown 15m 1782858600	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xf8b081…
06-30 22:37:11	btc updown 15m 1782858600	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x133c70…
06-30 22:29:11	eth updown 5m 1782858300	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x76c97d…
06-30 22:27:38	eth updown 5m 1782858300	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xefcc2e…
06-30 22:27:34	btc updown 5m 1782858300	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xbf3236…
06-30 22:14:25	xrp updown 5m 1782857400	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0xe20315…
06-30 22:14:07	xrp updown 5m 1782857400	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x564566…
06-30 22:07:25	btc updown 15m 1782856800	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd68a75…
06-30 22:01:43	btc updown 5m 1782856800	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x513855…
06-30 21:56:55	xrp up or down june 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x7d9f6f…
06-30 21:45:14	solana up or down june 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb7ecb6…
06-30 21:11:34	btc updown 5m 1782853800	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x48e23e…
06-30 20:55:49	xrp up or down june 30 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xbc68c4…
06-30 20:46:43	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x484916…
06-30 19:57:13	xrp updown 5m 1782849300	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x799d58…
06-30 19:32:14	eth updown 5m 1782847800	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbe5f9f…
06-30 18:52:41	eth updown 15m 1782845100	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x132648…
06-30 18:52:13	btc updown 15m 1782845100	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xfb20a2…
06-30 18:51:23	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xb66291…
06-30 18:41:44	btc updown 15m 1782844200	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x033cff…
06-30 16:51:52	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xaff07d…
06-30 16:26:08	btc updown 15m 1782836100	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x07de3a…
06-30 15:58:35	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xd6e6cd…
06-30 15:51:47	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x888006…
06-30 14:54:35	solana up or down june 30 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x88e1da…
06-30 14:45:50	solana up or down june 30 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xc9fae3…
06-30 12:55:56	eth updown 15m 1782823500	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x95398e…
06-30 12:10:25	eth updown 15m 1782820800	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x34c127…
06-30 12:07:31	btc updown 15m 1782820800	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x932f3f…
06-30 11:55:49	eth updown 15m 1782819900	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8b19e0…
06-30 11:24:31	xrp updown 5m 1782818400	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x23c168…
06-30 04:12:56	eth updown 15m 1782792000	Down	SELL	9	71¢	$7	0x516d18…
06-30 04:08:20	eth updown 15m 1782792000	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb02753…
06-30 04:08:16	eth updown 5m 1782792300	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x16f77d…
06-30 03:54:28	btc updown 15m 1782791100	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xbc1b77…
06-30 03:50:22	xrp up or down june 29 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xcec775…
06-30 03:49:05	btc updown 5m 1782791100	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x674ebf…
06-30 03:38:31	btc updown 15m 1782790200	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x0ef424…
06-30 03:26:14	eth updown 15m 1782789300	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x70aee6…
06-30 03:23:05	eth updown 15m 1782789300	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6f63fd…
06-30 03:17:37	xrp updown 5m 1782789300	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x82ef86…
06-30 02:50:19	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xfcb881…
06-30 02:12:32	xrp updown 5m 1782785400	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x1ddea8…
06-30 00:57:17	xrp updown 5m 1782780900	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfa1291…
06-30 00:38:28	btc updown 15m 1782779400	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xdfa9f3…
06-30 00:37:56	eth updown 5m 1782779700	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x0b8f1b…
06-30 00:34:10	btc updown 5m 1782779400	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xdeb649…
06-30 00:28:14	btc updown 5m 1782779100	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x63ac7a…
06-29 23:52:35	solana up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xce0f7c…
06-29 23:49:14	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xbbe4b8…
06-29 23:12:28	eth updown 5m 1782774600	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xf08275…
06-29 22:58:13	btc updown 5m 1782773700	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc0025c…
06-29 22:57:17	xrp updown 5m 1782773700	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x2dea8a…
06-29 22:45:52	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x2c3a1c…
06-29 22:45:22	xrp up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x70e012…
06-29 22:40:16	btc updown 15m 1782772200	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2df63f…
06-29 22:12:19	eth updown 5m 1782771000	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x83fdc7…
06-29 21:54:25	btc updown 15m 1782769500	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x6a2011…
06-29 21:37:41	eth updown 15m 1782768600	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xeab4fc…
06-29 21:33:34	btc updown 5m 1782768600	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xd5f675…
06-29 21:24:11	btc updown 15m 1782767700	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbd5192…
06-29 20:47:38	eth updown 5m 1782765900	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x4fddd4…
06-29 19:51:49	ethereum up or down june 29 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xae3693…
06-29 19:22:29	btc updown 15m 1782760500	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1db861…
06-29 19:22:25	eth updown 15m 1782760500	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3e2fd4…
06-29 19:07:22	btc updown 15m 1782759600	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x348b65…
06-29 19:02:25	btc updown 5m 1782759600	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa01cfb…
06-29 17:11:49	eth updown 5m 1782753000	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x007280…
06-29 17:06:13	eth updown 5m 1782752700	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0c1614…
06-29 16:51:23	ethereum up or down june 29 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xdc322e…
06-29 14:11:20	eth updown 15m 1782741600	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x7772c5…
06-29 13:50:14	solana up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xa595c2…
06-29 13:37:23	btc updown 5m 1782740100	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xeb7682…
06-29 13:07:58	btc updown 15m 1782738000	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x982062…
06-29 12:10:29	eth updown 15m 1782734400	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x9db0f2…
06-29 11:46:55	btc updown 4h 1782720000	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x6c7af0…
06-29 11:45:23	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x2592a7…
06-29 11:41:02	btc updown 15m 1782732600	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x465643…
06-29 10:45:19	xrp up or down june 29 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf9d81a…
06-29 09:47:13	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x19d5d6…
06-29 09:45:55	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xe7488a…
06-29 03:08:25	eth updown 15m 1782702000	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x52ae0f…
06-29 01:39:49	eth updown 15m 1782696600	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xda3b85…
06-29 00:58:47	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x9c5e54…
06-29 00:55:47	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x4375c1…
06-29 00:51:04	solana up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xca22fb…
06-29 00:47:22	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x9403ed…
06-29 00:45:41	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7e8d24…
06-29 00:34:44	eth updown 5m 1782693000	Down	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x1d7b23…
06-29 00:33:32	eth updown 5m 1782693000	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x0b739e…
06-29 00:32:41	btc updown 5m 1782693000	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd92ff6…
06-29 00:18:05	eth updown 5m 1782692100	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7f40e4…
06-28 23:50:26	btc updown 4h 1782676800	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xa791fe…
06-28 19:47:28	xrp updown 5m 1782675900	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x066e36…
06-28 19:45:25	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf3bde7…
06-28 19:11:19	eth updown 15m 1782673200	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xed3507…
06-28 17:45:20	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x7df366…
06-28 17:37:10	xrp updown 5m 1782668100	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x85dae0…