Political-Play — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

3,551

Trades

4,131

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 11-02 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% -$58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	7	$80	120	68	+52	Up	-$21	05-11 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	8	$80	93	0	+93	Up	+$13	05-11 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	7	$74	83	31	+52	Up	-$14	05-11 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$70	86	0	+86	Down	+$16	05-12 00:02
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$69	37	37	+0	Down	-$3	05-12 21:57
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	2	$68	37	37	+0	Down	-$4	05-12 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$63	76	19	+57	Down	$0	05-11 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	7	$61	74	51	+23	Down	-$16	05-11 23:54
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$57	30	30	+0	Up	-$3	05-07 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	5	$57	50	25	+25	Up	+$2	05-11 23:38
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	2	$57	31	31	+0	Down	-$3	05-08 01:57
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$57	33	33	+0	Down	-$5	05-14 03:12
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	3	$55	33	33	+0	Down	-$5	05-06 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$50	65	0	+65	Down	+$15	05-11 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$50	55	0	+55	Down	+$5	05-11 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	5	$50	61	0	+61	Down	-$8	05-11 23:19
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$49	27	27	+0	Down	-$3	05-13 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	5	$47	52	30	+22	Up	-$12	05-11 23:14
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$41	23	23	+0	Down	-$1	05-11 02:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:40 UTC	4	$40	27	17	+10	Up	+$0	08-04 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$40	48	0	+48	Down	+$8	05-11 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$40	44	0	+44	Down	+$4	05-12 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	05-11 23:32
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$39	20	20	+0	Down	-$1	05-07 21:14
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$38	21	21	+0	Down	-$2	05-10 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:30 UTC	2	$38	31	8	+23	Down	+$1	08-01 18:35
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	1	$36	36	0	+36	Down	+$0	05-09 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$36	21	21	+0	Up	-$4	05-29 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$35	35	18	+18	Down	+$13	05-11 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:30 UTC	2	$35	37	0	+37	Down	+$2	08-12 12:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x25fd99…
11-02 09:01:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x31204c…
11-02 03:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8f6dbe…
11-01 23:17:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x628fb9…
11-01 22:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7c35a7…
11-01 20:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbb11b0…
11-01 16:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x98c4b3…
11-01 15:16:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcf6978…
11-01 12:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa8ae68…
11-01 10:42:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x14b5e7…
11-01 02:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf29136…
10-31 17:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0a1777…
10-30 22:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xa7a27f…
10-30 17:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x49bfb7…
10-30 17:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd40185…
10-30 15:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbdcf67…
10-30 14:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x46cccb…
10-30 12:02:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdbc33b…
10-30 11:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x015de7…
10-30 11:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xee5dc4…
10-30 10:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7b40db…
10-30 09:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdc4089…
10-30 09:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x6aaaa3…
10-30 04:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xda7c8c…
10-30 00:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x21bcea…
10-29 23:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6fe677…
10-29 22:37:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xbf048b…
10-29 21:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xeefc93…
10-29 21:17:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x03b2ea…
10-29 20:32:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x35a37b…
10-29 17:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xccc57b…
10-29 13:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc2d252…
10-29 02:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa0bd4a…
10-29 01:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xfac924…
10-28 23:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x055e89…
10-28 21:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdd827b…
10-28 21:16:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x55ce41…
10-28 20:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x22e313…
10-28 20:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x056dae…
10-28 19:56:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x824802…
10-28 18:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x01cde0…
10-28 16:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x224fd3…
10-28 15:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x76998f…
10-28 13:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8e5aa6…
10-28 12:16:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfe4846…
10-28 11:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x25d2ac…
10-28 01:36:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xff8178…
10-27 21:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x42daad…
10-27 14:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa7b6bb…
10-27 04:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf9689e…
10-27 02:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x786b79…
10-26 20:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x69d14e…
10-26 20:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x06a772…
10-26 16:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x309eb6…
10-26 16:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8d2eee…
10-26 14:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc68cb4…
10-26 13:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x82775e…
10-26 00:02:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc4bfdb…
10-25 22:16:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5b990f…
10-25 18:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xed738d…
10-25 16:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6dfb52…
10-25 14:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd8794b…
10-25 10:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7a6b94…
10-25 09:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xacc505…
10-25 03:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb8c545…
10-24 23:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6519b6…
10-24 20:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xecdaa0…
10-24 19:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xed5984…
10-24 18:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x800676…
10-24 16:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd01e05…
10-24 14:31:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4bd285…
10-24 14:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcd3970…
10-24 00:26:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x86a19a…
10-23 22:52:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe65338…
10-23 18:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x545a19…
10-23 14:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xe5b6e7…
10-23 14:11:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa92b17…
10-23 13:56:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xf54f24…
10-23 13:42:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x15b65a…
10-23 13:37:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8efb11…
10-23 13:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x08aaf2…
10-23 13:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xdceb7a…
10-23 13:07:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xa90571…
10-23 13:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x1fb3dc…
10-23 11:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x595359…
10-23 01:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3792c9…
10-22 22:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcfee95…
10-22 22:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x104269…
10-22 16:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa48630…
10-22 15:41:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x65b1a0…
10-22 01:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xd1c535…
10-21 22:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xda99fc…
10-21 18:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x56a816…
10-21 14:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x91eb87…
10-20 22:31:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6e045b…
10-20 16:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x636a67…
10-20 12:27:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfb51fc…
10-20 11:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc03dfe…
10-20 02:16:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1cc41a…
10-20 02:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb71604…