Insecure-Billion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

Trades

142

lifetime

Volume

$732

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 06-08 02:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 71% -$5

Other

1% 50% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	6	$77	55	55	+0	Up	+$7	05-19 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	7	$58	61	29	+32	Down	-$22	05-19 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	6	$33	18	18	+0	Up	-$1	05-20 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	6	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$3	05-19 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$31	68	68	+0	Up	-$19	05-19 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	6	$31	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	5	$28	17	17	+0	Down	+$3	05-19 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	05-19 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$11	05-19 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$10	05-19 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-19 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	4	$16	23	23	+0	Down	-$4	05-19 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$16	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$16	30	11	+19	Down	-$4	05-19 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	5	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-20 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$15	18	8	+10	Down	-$6	05-19 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-19 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-19 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-19 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-19 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$12	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$11	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 02:28:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x57b608…
06-03 09:51:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x99615f…
06-02 18:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x126cbf…
06-02 18:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc22682…
06-02 12:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x4f7ecc…
06-02 12:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf7e15d…
06-02 12:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf88d7b…
06-02 12:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xcdd165…
06-02 12:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa9c24c…
06-02 12:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xecc13d…
06-02 12:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x63e1e8…
06-02 12:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4006b6…
06-02 12:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xfa5c7a…
06-02 12:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb8a1a9…
06-02 12:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x376f5b…
06-02 12:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x159e23…
06-02 12:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7b7cbe…
05-21 01:29:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xb698c9…
05-20 23:44:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x96fd30…
05-20 23:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xdb7947…
05-20 23:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xcf3715…
05-20 23:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd03c0b…
05-20 01:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x5b757f…
05-20 01:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x17bbe4…
05-20 01:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc7423f…
05-20 01:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x279ecd…
05-20 01:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x12fc36…
05-20 01:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb7056…
05-20 01:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xadd1b5…
05-20 01:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8791d6…
05-20 01:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x42f063…
05-20 01:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa7c235…
05-20 01:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x7f506f…
05-20 01:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8e7c54…
05-20 01:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x106357…
05-20 01:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x895a36…
05-20 01:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xcdad71…
05-20 01:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x4ed299…
05-20 01:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x25f918…
05-20 00:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xa3730e…
05-20 00:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x38b9c3…
05-20 00:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6ef6fd…
05-19 23:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe04801…
05-19 23:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6a7eb0…
05-19 23:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9178fb…
05-19 23:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9319dd…
05-19 23:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1539ef…
05-19 23:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe0cdb3…
05-19 23:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x7fb58e…
05-19 23:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9366cb…
05-19 22:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x27c729…
05-19 22:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x18ac6d…
05-19 22:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb943b2…
05-19 22:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x071c55…
05-19 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4f5b20…
05-19 22:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x94cc42…
05-19 22:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x454b75…
05-19 22:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x564101…
05-19 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x99d62c…
05-19 22:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcd0a99…
05-19 22:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xb30563…
05-19 22:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd7e8c8…
05-19 22:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x6e7731…
05-19 22:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2fe42c…
05-19 22:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x9c85e9…
05-19 22:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xea3815…
05-19 22:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x051f1a…
05-19 22:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xe1f8ef…
05-19 22:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xca76de…
05-19 22:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf2cec4…
05-19 22:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3ac5aa…
05-19 08:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x25026b…
05-19 07:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xb05e94…
05-19 07:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdfa3e2…
05-19 07:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x780655…
05-19 07:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5d8c54…
05-19 07:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	68	10¢	$6	0x525d45…
05-19 07:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x77e38b…
05-19 07:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x9b5b0b…
05-19 07:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x846304…
05-19 07:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	90¢	$16	0xe935c9…
05-19 07:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xdf0995…
05-19 06:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xdfeaa0…
05-19 06:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xddc57f…
05-19 06:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x342744…
05-19 06:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfcb072…
05-19 06:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x961ae3…
05-19 06:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xed67ce…
05-19 06:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5a85ae…
05-19 06:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xde6587…
05-19 06:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x2bc5ec…
05-19 06:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2a3286…
05-19 06:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x98cd48…
05-19 06:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8c5ca5…
05-19 06:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$5	0x7a9c7f…
05-19 06:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x10aece…
05-19 06:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4e2359…
05-19 06:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa236cc…
05-19 06:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x087932…
05-19 06:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x529ebf…