Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$562

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-23 07:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% -$11

Politics

20% 0% -$14

Tech

8% 0% -$1

Crypto

3% 33% -$9

Sports

2% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 16?	2	$57	73	73	+0	No	-$3	08-14 17:59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 24?	2	$54	49	49	+0	Yes	-$2	08-23 11:51
will trump meet with mark carney by september 30 2026	2	$47	70	70	+0	No	-$8	08-30 07:30
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	2	$45	27	27	+0	No	-$1	07-22 09:23
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	2	$45	33	33	+0	No	-$1	07-21 18:20
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	2	$38	38	38	+0	open	—	08-27 08:25
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	5	$34	56	51	+5	Yes	-$3	09-21 00:14
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	2	$29	101	101	+0	open	—	10-19 14:02
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$29	81	81	+0	open	—	10-11 11:19
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	2	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	08-30 02:28
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	3	$23	66	66	+0	Yes	-$6	09-28 13:46
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20?	2	$21	40	40	+0	open	—	09-18 14:05
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	6	$20	88	88	+0	No	-$1	09-10 17:10
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	2	$20	50	50	+0	open	—	09-10 20:58
will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	2	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-21 10:53
nba min det 2026 04 02	1	$11	29	0	+29	Pistons	-$11	04-02 20:29
will warsh say bet or betting during july press conference 20260720204109038	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026?	3	$9	53	53	+0	No	$0	09-23 01:12
solana up or down march 18 2026 7am et	1	$9	19	0	+19	Down	-$9	03-16 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 19?	3	$6	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	07-17 10:06
bitcoin up or down march 10 11pm et	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	03-10 18:08
xrp up or down january 7 6pm et	1	$4	7	0	+7	Down	-$4	01-06 23:56
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	2	$3	12	12	+0	open	—	10-06 19:10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 30%-35%?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	10-23 07:17
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	10-17 20:22
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	10-12 20:12
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?	1	$0	2	0	+2	open	—	09-28 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 07:17:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd805e5…
10-23 07:15:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8ceff5…
10-19 14:02:29	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	14¢	$14	0xb4b02f…
10-19 14:02:20	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	15¢	$15	0x6008c4…
10-17 20:22:06	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x8b96eb…
10-12 20:12:38	Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xeea14a…
10-11 11:19:51	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	81	17¢	$14	0xefd736…
10-11 11:18:27	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	81	19¢	$15	0xff5b8d…
10-06 19:10:12	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x284d9b…
10-06 19:07:26	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x9cecb9…
09-28 13:46:23	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	13¢	$9	0x2f508b…
09-28 11:51:14	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x16c196…
09-28 11:51:11	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x50056d…
09-28 06:42:41	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd071ae…
09-23 01:12:02	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	9¢	$5	0xd5a38e…
09-23 01:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0xe845eb…
09-23 01:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x7dda95…
09-21 00:14:20	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xba51f1…
09-20 19:26:31	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xef4abf…
09-20 18:37:31	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x704dab…
09-20 18:34:13	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x65a6e5…
09-20 17:50:00	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	38¢	$21	0xeb1759…
09-18 14:05:17	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xfb64b0…
09-18 14:03:51	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xd30518…
09-10 20:58:57	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xcea90c…
09-10 20:58:31	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xfbeee7…
09-10 17:10:30	Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	88	11¢	$10	0xafd4ad…
09-10 17:10:12	Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8cacf0…
09-10 17:10:12	Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x4cb5e7…
09-10 17:10:12	Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x233d49…
09-10 17:10:12	Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x095fb2…
09-10 17:10:12	Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x026bcf…
08-30 07:30:21	will trump meet with mark carney by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	70	28¢	$20	0xf514f0…
08-30 06:15:28	will trump meet with mark carney by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0x81f1ab…
08-30 02:28:25	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	Yes	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0xecac3b…
08-30 02:27:51	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	Yes	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x305891…
08-27 08:25:21	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	49¢	$19	0x5b6ce8…
08-27 08:25:01	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x8db330…
08-23 11:51:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 24?	No	SELL	49	53¢	$26	0xe056ef…
08-23 11:51:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 24?	No	BUY	49	57¢	$28	0xf6ad5d…
08-14 17:59:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	73	37¢	$27	0xe58380…
08-14 17:52:48	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x9c5ef5…
07-22 09:23:19	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	83¢	$22	0x3dffaa…
07-22 09:21:30	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0xe4e281…
07-21 18:20:18	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	33	67¢	$22	0x86c9f2…
07-21 18:20:04	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0xcf6eb2…
07-21 14:39:09	will warsh say bet or betting during july press conference 20260720204109038	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x9996be…
07-21 14:28:34	will warsh say bet or betting during july press conference 20260720204109038	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7a5998…
07-21 10:53:51	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xf64b6a…
07-21 10:43:10	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xcd1745…
07-17 10:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x82633c…
07-17 09:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x5cbe0c…
07-17 09:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xc8d840…
04-02 20:29:15	nba min det 2026 04 02	Timberwolves	BUY	29	40¢	$11	0xc3fb3a…
03-16 12:27:19	solana up or down march 18 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$9	0x1e3a44…
03-10 18:08:57	bitcoin up or down march 10 11pm et	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xec9e42…
01-06 23:56:37	xrp up or down january 7 6pm et	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xc2b14d…